Cheltenham Ten Year Trends
Favourites (inc. joints): There have been 8 winning favourites (including joints) from 13 for a profit of £7.71 (ROI +59.3%).
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Position LTO: 9 of the last 10 winners finished 1st or 2nd LTO.
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Price: 9 of the last 10 winners have been priced 4/1 or shorter.
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Days off track: 7 of the last 10 winners had been off the track for between 20 and 27 days.
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Price LTO: 8 of the last 10 winners were priced 4/1 or shorter LTO (all 10 winners were 15/2 or shorter LTO).
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LTO Favourites: Horses that started favourite LTO have provided 6 winners from 26 runners for a profit of £6.63 (ROI +25.5%).
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LTO course: Horses that raced at Cheltenham last time out have a good record with 5 of the 15 qualifiers going onto win this race.
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Trainers: 2 wins from 4 for Alan King.
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Jockets: 3 wins from 5 for Tony Mc Coy.
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Race type LTO: Horses that raced in a handicap LTO have a poor record with 0 wins from 14.
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Age: 4 years olds have won 2 races from 7 qualifiers (SR 28.6%),5 year olds have won 3 races from 33 qualifiers (SR 9.1%); 6 year olds have won 4 races from 19 qualifiers (SR 21.1%); 7 year olds and older have won 1 race from 14 qualifiers (SR 7.1%).
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Favourites (inc. joints): There have been 7 winning favourites (including joints) from 12 for a profit of £5.69 (ROI +47.4%).
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Position LTO: All of the last 10 winners finished in the first three LTO. 7 won LTO.
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Recent wins: All of the last 10 winners had won at least once in their last four starts.
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LTO course: Horses that raced at Cheltenham last time out have a good record producing 6 winners from 20 for a profit of £33.80 (+169%).
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LTO race type: Horses that ran in a handicap LTO have provided 6 winners from 24 for a profit of £23.80 (ROI +99.2%).
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Days since last run: All of the last 10 winners have run within the past 28 days.
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Trainers: 3 wins from 7 for Philip Hobbs; 2 wins from 7 for Nicky Henderson.
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Breeding: Irish bred horses have managed just 2 wins from 30 for a loss of £23.75 (ROI -79.2%).
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Beaten distance LTO: Horses that were beaten by more than 10 lengths LTO have provided 0 winners from 17.
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Position LTO: Horses that finished 4th or worse last time out have produced 0 winners from 21 qualifiers.
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Age: 4 years olds have won 3 races from 17 qualifiers (SR 17.7%),5 year olds have won 3 races from 18 qualifiers (SR 16.7 %); 6 year olds have won 1 race from 9 qualifiers (SR 11.1%); 7 year olds have won 2 races from 13 qualifiers (SR 15.4%); 8 year olds and older have won 1 race from 16 qualifiers (SR 6.3%).
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Market: 9 of the last 10 winners came from the top three in the betting.
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Price: All of the last 10 winners were priced 9/1 or shorter.
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Position LTO: Horses that finished first or second LTO have provided 6 of the last 10 winners for a break even situation.
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Course LTO: All of last 10 winners raced at a Grade 1 track LTO.
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Breeding: 6 of the last 10 winners were French bred.
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Running style: 9 of the last 10 winners raced up with or close to the pace.
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Previous Cheltenham run: 9 of the last 10 winners had all had experience of Cheltenham.
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Trainers: 3 wins from 6 for Alan King.
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Upped in class: Horses that were upped in class from their most recent run have a moderate record with 3 wins from 29.
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Favourites (inc. joints): There have been 4 winning favourites (including joints) from 11 for a loss of £3.00.
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Age: 4 year olds have won 4 races from 19 qualifiers (SR 21.1%); 5 year olds have won 2 races from 17 qualifiers (SR 11.8%); 6 year olds have won 2 races from 17 qualifiers (SR 11.8%); 7 year olds have won 2 races from 11 qualifiers (SR 18.2%).
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Tagged with: 5 Year Olds • Alan King • Cheltenham Statistics • dave renham • Festivals • Handicap • Horses • Negative Trends • racing trends • ten year trends • Uk Horse Racing
Filed under: Horse Racing Tips
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