The below is a brief extract from today’s email from Guy over at www.mathematician-betting.co.uk

————————————

Yesterday’s client message focussed on the 2pm at Sandown
and both horses dissapointed. Not too bothered about the race
Ace of Spies ran in 7th as he was a big priced outsider
and it was an optimistic shout. I was bothered about a
disgraceful ride that EQUULEUS PICTOR ran. I dont
think the horse was doing his best. My view is that he
was deliberately stopped from winning. It’s all too easy
to say that after a loser but thats my impression. The
horse drifted ominously in the betting. He was the one
horse that missed the break. Within a furlong Daryll
Holland switched him to the far side of the track well
known to be the slowest part of the course. He raced
there isolated away from the action and only when he
had conceded a lot of ground did he try and faked the
impression he was racing. At the very best it was one
of the most Naive and stupid rides I have witnessed
in a long time. At worst he was stopped and that has
to be my view. In the end pleased I didnt make him a
full bet. Perhaps with the horse so well backed in the
morning connections missed their price. I might just
be completely wrong but if you havent seen the race
yet its worth a look. I’d be surprised if most people
didnt agree with me that the ride was very suspicious.

If any of you have your own comments on that race
feel free to post them below.

On to today

DONCASTER 3.40

Bet On Breeders Cup At Totesport.com
Wentworth Stakes (Listed Race)
(CLASS 1) (3yo+) 6f

5/1 Inler, Mac´s Power, 9/1 Tax Free, 10/1 Doncaster Rover
10/1 Hitchens, 10/1 Kaldoun Kingdom, 12/1 Croisultan
14/1 Cheveton, 16/1 R Woody, 20/1 Angel´s Pursuit
20/1 Anglezarke, 20/1 Mirza, 20/1 Russian Spirit
25/1 Enderby Spirit, 25/1 Icelandic, 33/1 Fullandby
40/1 Doric Lady, 40/1 Esuvia, 100/1 Great Charm.

* This is a Listed race over 6f
* Doncaster has had 20 renewals of this race
* There are a few angles that could narrow this down
* All past winners were aged 7 or lower
* All past winners had at least 3 runs that season
* Horses beaten 10 + lengths last time were 0-67
* No horse aged 3 or 4 won if beaten 6 + lengths last time
* Horses from 5f races struggled
* None were female and None came from 5f handicaps
* Horses from 7f races had a weak 1-71 record
* 3 year olds are weak and none came from handicaps
* There are 3 horses that pass these angles
* MAC´S POWER – DONCASTER ROVER -HITCHENS

Selection -  MAC’S POWER each way

Currently 11/2 at blue sq

or see http://mathematician-betting.bestbetting.com/horse-racing/2010-11-06/doncaster/15-40/betting

0saves
If you enjoyed this post, please consider leaving a comment or subscribing to the RSS feed to have future articles delivered to your feed reader.

Tagged with:

Filed under: Horse Racing Tips

Like this post? Subscribe to my RSS feed and get loads more!