Horse Racing Systems Archives

Free Horse Racing Course

Uk Horse racing researcher Dave Renham has just released a FREE Horse Racing Course

It covers some basics those new to betting on the horses may find useful to help them get to grips with the game.

Also however there is a bit of more advanced thinking in the latter chapters as Dave expalins some of the key elements of race form one should use if assessing a horse race.

On the whole its an interesting read and well worth a look at the hefty price tag of a big fat zero.

Get your copy now at the link below.

Click Here ==>      Free Horse Racing Course

Horse Racing System Bet

Huntingdon  1.55 – Rackham Lerouge

Best price 15/8     LadbrokesVCSkybet

This bet comes from the PunterProfits NH Portfolio a method that has produced significant net profits over many years.

For further info click here ==>  Horse Racing System

Trainers Who Send Just One Horse To A Meeting

In Uk Horse Racing it is often judged by punters a positive sign if a trainer sends just one horse to a meeting. The assumption made may be that if he is going to the expense and trouble to transport just one horse all the way to a course he must have good reason.

Is this just an old wives tale or is there some truth in it?

Dave Renham from PunterProfits.com trawled through about 5 years of National Hunt Horse Racing Results to try and get to the truth of things.

He made the assumption that each trainer would take a different attitude so he researched everything on a trainer by trainer basis.

For members over there he produced a downloadable spreadsheet with all the key facts and info such as strike rates and return on investment listed.

The full spreadsheet can be downloaded at the link below.

Note however you have to be a full member of punterprofits.com to get it.

http://www.punterprofits.com/profit/index.php?showtopic=10247

In respect to Dave and the members there I don’t want to detail all his research here however here are a few selected facts from his research for two of the top National Hunt Trainers

Trainer Runners Wins Strike rate (%) Profit ROI (%)
PF Nicholls 354 114 32.2 £24.04 6.8
D Pipe 268 62 23.1 £38.51 14.4

( ROI = Return On Investment .. a measure of profitability )

As you can see if one of these two trainers sends just one horse to a meeting it can indeed be taken as a positive sign.

Word of warning however .. not all trainers think the same way.

Dave’s fuller research details where this can be taken as a positive sign and where it should be ignored.

Interestingly it is even more positive than the above with some of the mid range / not so well known  trainers.

If you have been burnt by so called miracle systems and the sellers who hype them up you may start to come round to the conclusion that the only way to get ahead in your racing betting  is via knowledge and hard work.

If you have reached that stage of your racing betting career yet the continual research carried out by Dave over at PunterProfits.com should be of interest to you in keeping you ahead of the field on the Exchanges.

Horse Racing System Bets

Horse Racing System Selections

The following bets come from the increasingly famous
PunterProfits NH Portfolio.

This betting  method has been tested for over 15 years horse racing.
It averages 50 points level stakes profit each year.

Long term strike rate is about 40%

For more info click here ==>  Horse Racing System

SYSTEM C
Chp 4.45 Fongoli  ( 5/2 Coral , PaddyPowerStan James )

SYSTEM D
Ban 3.20 Hello Nod  ( 5/1 William Hill )

If you are interested in a free trial of the PunterProfits service
email their admin address and ask about a free trial for sports betting blog readers.
http://www.punterprofits.com/contact.php

Horse Laying System

Horse Laying System Tip

3.35 Haydock – Green Manalishi

This selection comes from a long term profitable laying system thread over in the full member area of www.PunterProfits.com

The system was devised by a member there after reading a horse racing research article into favourites.

http://www.punterprofits.com/horse-racing/can_you_make_a_profit_backing_favorites.php

Nb the above research is full member only there but if you email punterprofits and say you are coming from sports betting blog  and ask for a one month free trial you can get in for free for a month.

Rough guidlines for following these selections are do not lay at greater than 6/1 for the win.

Also lay thehorse to place as well as win.

Market Bias Horse Racing System

The Market Bias Racing System is one from the betting think tank over at PunterProfits.com

It is an approach currently being monitored on the full member forums over there.  Its early days in the testing but it is doing well so far with a decent level stakes profit.

The general concept of is was to use historical research to indentify race situations where the outsider / long shots had a better than anticipated strike rate.

Forecast odds price bands are used to group horses into groups of fancied, middled odds & Outsiders. ( hence the Market Bias name tag )

There is also a filter based on horse age as this proved important in the historical research.

And remember the choice of race type / course etc is based on historical research.

So quite simply the system tells you..

1 -this particular race falls into a long term past profitable category for outsiders.

2 – the horse falls into the desired age band. ( its not too inexperienced or to past it )

3 – these are the horses today from that race that fit the price band.

Most often there may be two or so per race.

Overall its an interesting approach.

I think the ideal place to back these horses is Betfair.

Betfairs 20% better than SP big public quote is a bit misleading.

The reality is that short odds horses there go off very close to SP.

Long shots however on Betfair very often pay out well in excess of 20% above SP ( or any early bookmaker price )

Any how the selections for today are as follows

4.25 hayd
Atlantic Beach
Flying Applause
Jack Rackham

5.00 hay
Kashimin
Supermassive Muse

Nb there is quite a bit going on over at PunterProfits.com

There are research articles, research reports, historic data downloads on certain areas. Also monitored systems by the site organisers and by clients alike. ( the research provided is a great starting point for anyone seeking to create their own educated systems )

Any reader of sports betting blog is welcome to test the site out with a one month free trial. ( you will have to stick card details in as they do not want anomononous nobodies with a throw away email address in their private forums )

Your first month will be free however. Its a good way to judge if suitable for your self.

See their contact page and email the admin email address quoting the free trial for sports betting blog viewers and you will get free trial join instructions sent back to you.

To go to their site now  click here ==> Horse Racing Systems

Horse Racing System Bet For Saturday

This bet comes from the NH Portfolio over at www.PunterProfits.com

The Nh Portfolio is actually a collection of six different horse racing systems.

Todays bet qualifes under not just one system but two.

Hostorically these “double qualifers” have produced stronger results than the single qualifers. ( which are pretty darn good anyhow )

Over ten years or so of records these double qualifers have produced a strike rate of 46% and a return on investment of over 20% at starting price.

Market Rasen 4.50 Arctic Shadow  SYSTEM A & D

Best priced 15/8 CentreBet

lots of 7/4 available as well Ladbrokes , BSquare , Bet365 etc.

One Bet Per Month

The “One Bet Per Month” thread is running over in the full member area of www.PunterProfits.com

The rough idea is that several key contributers contribute one strong or good value bet each month each.

( with several contributers and some somethimes stretching beyond just one each month there is more than one bet per month on the thread )

This concentration and focus is paying dividends so far with 15.5 points profit at SP from 40 selections.

That’s a healthy return on investment of over 38 % !

There is a selection for today.

4.40 Chester Act Of Kalanisi best priced at 5/4 Ladbrokes and VC.

Roughly the same on Betfair.

To visit PunterProfits click here ===> Horse Racing Systems

Course Favourites Stats

This is a small snippet from a comprehensvive
client message from Dave Renham over at www.RacingTrends.co.uk

COURSE FAVOURITE STATS

This section looks at the stats for favourites at courses in certain
race types

(data taken from 2002 to 2008)

Beverley favourites
Race
type
Wins
Runs
Strike
Rate %
Profit
ROI
%
Race
times
3yo
handicaps
46
175
26.3
-£29.69
-17.0
3.20,
4.25
3yo+/4yo+
handicaps
99
381
26.0
+£1.36
+0.4
2.45,
3.55
3yo+
maidens
24
59
40.7
-£4.23
-7.2
5.00
3yo
only maidens
12
26
46.2
-£4.02
-15.5
2yo
maidens
51
125
40.8
-£0.96
-0.8
2.15
Carlisle favourites
Race
type
Wins
Runs
Strike
Rate %
Profit
ROI
%
Race
times
3yo
handicaps
26
87
29.9
+£3.07
+3.5
9.05
3yo+/4yo+
handicaps
35
184
19.0
-£41.77
-22.7
7.05,
8.35, 9.35
3yo+
maidens
11
16
68.8
+£2.31
+14.4
3yo
only maidens
4
12
33.3
-£4.63
-38.6
2yo
maidens
33
72
45.8
+£7.84
+10.9
7.35
Haydock favourites
Race
type
Wins
Runs
Strike
Rate %
Profit
ROI
%
Race
times
3yo
handicaps
46
167
27.5
-£21.25
-12.7
2.20,
4.35
3yo+/4yo+
handicaps
86
387
22.2
-£34.40
-8.9
2.55,
5.10, 5.45
3yo+
maidens
31
49
63.3
+£21.61
+44.1
3yo
only maidens
22
41
53.7
+£4.64
+11.3
2yo
maidens
51
140
36.4
+£2.45
+1.8
Leicester Favourites
Race
type
Wins
Runs
Strike
Rate %
Profit
ROI
%
Race
times
3yo
handicaps
36
132
27.3
-£13.31
-10.1
2.30
3yo+/4yo+
handicaps
60
246
24.4
-£7.02
-2.9
3.35,
4.10
3yo+
maidens
24
47
51.1
+£1.85
+3.9
5.20
3yo
only maidens
23
43
53.5
+£11.64
+27.1
2yo
maidens
59
157
-£37.60
-20.28
-12.9
Nottingham Favourites
Race
type
Wins
Runs
Strike
Rate %
Profit
ROI
%
Race
times
3yo
handicaps
49
183
26.8
-£15.98
-8.7
8.50
3yo+/4yo+
handicaps
75
313
24.0
-£28.74
-9.2
6.20,
8.20, 9.20
3yo+
maidens
21
50
42.0
-£8.55
-17.1
3yo
only maidens
36
85
42.4
-£6.96
-8.2
2yo
maidens
61
184
33.2
-£30.12
-16.4
7.20,
7.50
Sandown favourites
Race
type
Wins
Runs
Strike
Rate %
Profit
ROI
%
Race
times
3yo
handicaps
53
208
25.5
-£19.36
-9.3
4.55,
5.30
3yo+/4yo+
handicaps
70
250
28.0
+£26.14
+10.5
2.40
3yo+
maidens
15
26
57.7
+£7.85
+30.2
3yo
only maidens
10
28
35.7
-£2.75
-9.8
2yo
maidens
42
102
41.2
+£8.36
+8.2

Trainer Records at Newmarket

Dave Renham Provides an informative service over at www.RacingTrends.co.uk

His clients tend to be canny punters who appreciate the importance of having good stats and information to hand when making betting decissions.

Below is just a tiny sample of some of the information they got from Dave today.

It is a quick and ready reconer to the top trainers at Newmarket.

Newmarket Trainer Stats

ALL RACES 2005-2009 (ordered by strike rate – 5 or more wins)

Trainer
Wins
Runs
Strike
Rate (%)
Profit
ROI
(%)
J
Bolger
8
26
30.8
+£22.57
+86.8
G
Swinbank
8
35
22.9
+£19.45
+55.6
J
Gosden
75
358
21.0
+£145.46
+40.6
T
Tate
5
24
20.8
+£28.00
+116.7
H
Cecil
33
162
20.4
+£8.81
+5.4
S
Bin Suroor
45
224
20.1
-£17.78
-7.9
J
R Best
9
49
18.4
+£61.75
+126.0
J
Portman
5
29
17.2
+£50.50
+174.1
H
Candy
11
69
15.9
+£27.75
+40.2
A
O’Brien
14
88
15.9
-£3.83
-4.4
R
Charlton
19
120
15.8
-£9.57
-8.0
M
Tregoning
11
71
15.5
+£3.58
+5.1
B
Smart
6
40
15.0
+£14.00
+35.0
Sir
M Stoute
50
344
14.5
-£69.18
-20.1
R
Beckett
11
83
13.3
+£33.13
+39.9
J
Noseda
30
229
13.1
-£72.77
-31.8
63
513
12.3
-£43.17
-8.4
W
Haggas
23
194
11.9
-£31.11
-16.0
R
Hannon
63
537
11.7
-144.36
-26.9
J
Fanshawe
22
194
11.3
-£81.00
-41.8
C
Cox
8
75
10.7
+£2.33
+3.1
R
Cowell
5
47
10.6
-£2.00
-4.3
B
Millman
5
47
10.6
-£4.80
-10.2
H
Morrison
12
115
10.4
-£13.63
-11.9
G
Butler
8
77
10.4
-£10.42
-13.5
A
Balding
12
116
10.3
-£4.00
-3.5
T
Mills
6
60
10.0
-£18.17
-30.3
E
Vaughan
5
51
9.8
-£21.25
-41.7
G
Huffer
5
51
9.8
+£7.25
+14.2
L
Cumani
15
154
9.7
-£53.72
-34.9
C
Wall
11
113
9.7
-£34.87
-30.9
6
62
9.7
+£34.50
+55.7
M
Johnston
24
251
9.6
-£57.75
-23.0
D
Elsworth
29
306
9.5
-£101.32
-33.1
M
Wigham
5
53
9.4
-£2.25
-4.3
W
Swinburn
8
87
9.2
-£18.44
-21.2
P
Chapple-Hyam
20
219
9.1
-£83.35
-38.1
M
Channon
33
372
8.9
-£67.63
-18.2
B
Meehan
30
355
8.5
-£83.21
-23.4
Miss
Gay Kelleway
8
95
8.4
-£1.50
-1.6
M
Jarvis
21
252
8.3
-114.29
-45.4
E
Dunlop
17
214
7.9
-£83.88
-39.2
N
Callaghan
13
167
7.8
-£66.75
-40.0
J
Toller
7
90
7.8
+£21.00
+23.3
T
Barron
5
67
7.5
-£29.67
-44.3
M
Bell
14
188
7.5
-£68.30
-36.3
Mrs
A Perrett
11
155
7.1
-£50.75
-32.7
W
Musson
7
99
7.1
-£28.00
-28.3
D
Nicholls
6
85
7.1
-£40.63
-47.8
J
Dunlop
24
349
6.9
-£123.25
-35.3
M
Quinn
5
75
6.7
-£18.50
-24.7
P
Cole
9
147
6.1
-£67.75
-46.1
W
Jarvis
6
104
5.8
-£71.47
-68.7
K
Ryan
8
139
5.8
-£50.00
-36.0
J
Pearce
5
93
5.4
-£48.00
-51.6
M
Tompkins
10
222
4.5
-£112.00
-50.5
C
Brittain
8
198
4.0
-£68.50
-34.6