Trends For Cheltenham

3.05 Cheltenham – International Hurdle – 2 miles 1f (Grade 2)

POSITIVE TRENDS

Favourites (inc. joints): There have been 7 winning favourites (including joints) from 11 for a profit of £4.69 (ROI +42.6%).
Position LTO: Horses that won LTO have provided 6 of the last 10 winners.
Position LTO: All of the last 10 winners finished in the first three LTO.
Recent wins: All of the last 10 winners had won at least once in their last four starts (this stretches back to the last 17 renewals).
LTO course: Horses that raced at Cheltenham last time out have a good record producing 6 winners from 20 for a profit of £33.79 (+169%). Indeed focusing on the runners that raced in the Greatwood Hurlde LTO this improves to 5 wins from 11 for a profit of £40.42 (ROI +367.4%).

NEGATIVE TRENDS

Beaten distance LTO: Horses that were beaten by 5 or more lengths LTO have provided 0 winners from 23.
Position LTO: Horses that finished 4th or worse last time out have produced 0 winners from 16 qualifiers.

GENERAL STATS

Age: 4 years olds have won 2 races from 15 qualifiers (SR 13.3%),5 year olds have won 4 races from 15 qualifiers (SR 26.7%); 6 year olds have won 1 race from 9 qualifiers (SR 11.1%); 7 year olds have won 2 races from 14 qualifiers (SR 14.3%); 8 year olds and older have won 1 race from 16 qualifiers (SR 6.3%).

Trends analysis: the best starting point looks to be horses that finished in the first three LTO as they have provided all of the last 10 winners. From there, look for horses that have won at least once in their last four starts. Horses that ran at Cheltenham last time out have a good record, especially those that ran in the Greatwood hurdle LTO.. Favourites also have a very good record. From a negative perspective, horses beaten by 5 or more lengths LTO look worth avoiding. In terms of age, 5 year olds have done well.

Provided by www.RacingTrends.co.uk

Saturday Horse Racing Stats

Saturday Horse Racing Stats

The below was provided by RacingTrends

for more info click here ==> Horse Racing Blog

=====================================

Sat May 1st 2010

Best races for favourites

2.55 Thirsk

4.15, 5.25 Newmarket

6.45 Doncaster

Trainer stat to note

W Haggas has a good record with horses off track for 8+ weeks assuming they start in the top 3 of the betting. His strike rate is around 30% with profits of just under 30%. He runs Shamali in the 1.55 Newmarket and he is currently 3rd favourite.

Best race for front runners

5.15; 5.45 Thirsk

Strong course trainer stats

Doncaster trainer stats

Trainer Wins Runs Strike Rate (%) Profit ROI (%) Engagements
M P Tregoning 5 13 38.5 +£3.30 +25.4 8.20
H R A Cecil 7 34 20.6 +£12.00 +35.3 7.15

Newmarket trainer stats

Trainer Wins Runs Strike Rate (%) Profit ROI (%) Engagements
J H M Gosden 80 416 19.2 +£115.79 +27.8 5.25
J R Best 10 56 17.9 +£56.75 +101.3 3.05, 3.05, 4.15
H Candy 14 85 16.5 +£33.25 +39.1 3.40
A P O’Brien 16 98 16.3 +£21.89 +22.3 3.05, 3.05, 3.05

Football Correct Score Betting

Football Correct Score Betting

Two wins out of two so far for this betting strategy. Please note this style of betting turned £1000 into £8753 last season and £11,123 the season before. Past results are only an indication of what can be done but i am confident you will not lose money in the long-term.

Today’s game is Liverpool vs Man City

Starting Bank: £1000, Current Bank: £1099.34, Next Stake: 10%

Stake £109.93
Score Decimal Odds Stake Amount Winnings *
1-0 9.2 £19.32 £168.82
1-1 8.4 £21.16 £168.82
2-0 10.5 £16.92 £168.82
2-1 9.4 £18.90 £168.82
1-2 18 £9.87 £168.82
2-2 17.5 £10.15 £168.82
1-3 48 £3.70 £168.82
3-2 28 £6.35 £168.82
2-3 50 £3.55 £168.82
ROI % 53.57%
Profit Gain £ £58.89

* After 5% Commission

I could not post the bet any earlier as I had to wait for the required liquidity. Please note odds constantly change (for better or worse) so below is a screenshot on the current odds for proof. If the odds do change slightly then I have a calculator which re-calculates the stake. If you require this, please contact Mick (Football-bets.co.uk Owner)

Screen shot from Betfair

Liverpool vs Man City Correct Score Odds

Good Luck

Fordster

=============

Fordster has spent many years working on the inside of a major bookmaker.

Now instead of helping the bookmaker to take your money he wants to help you win some back.

For more info click here ==> Football Betting Tips

Course Favourites Stats

This is a small snippet from a comprehensvive
client message from Dave Renham over at www.RacingTrends.co.uk

COURSE FAVOURITE STATS

This section looks at the stats for favourites at courses in certain
race types

(data taken from 2002 to 2008)

Beverley favourites
Race
type
Wins
Runs
Strike
Rate %
Profit
ROI
%
Race
times
3yo
handicaps
46
175
26.3
-£29.69
-17.0
3.20,
4.25
3yo+/4yo+
handicaps
99
381
26.0
+£1.36
+0.4
2.45,
3.55
3yo+
maidens
24
59
40.7
-£4.23
-7.2
5.00
3yo
only maidens
12
26
46.2
-£4.02
-15.5
2yo
maidens
51
125
40.8
-£0.96
-0.8
2.15
Carlisle favourites
Race
type
Wins
Runs
Strike
Rate %
Profit
ROI
%
Race
times
3yo
handicaps
26
87
29.9
+£3.07
+3.5
9.05
3yo+/4yo+
handicaps
35
184
19.0
-£41.77
-22.7
7.05,
8.35, 9.35
3yo+
maidens
11
16
68.8
+£2.31
+14.4
3yo
only maidens
4
12
33.3
-£4.63
-38.6
2yo
maidens
33
72
45.8
+£7.84
+10.9
7.35
Haydock favourites
Race
type
Wins
Runs
Strike
Rate %
Profit
ROI
%
Race
times
3yo
handicaps
46
167
27.5
-£21.25
-12.7
2.20,
4.35
3yo+/4yo+
handicaps
86
387
22.2
-£34.40
-8.9
2.55,
5.10, 5.45
3yo+
maidens
31
49
63.3
+£21.61
+44.1
3yo
only maidens
22
41
53.7
+£4.64
+11.3
2yo
maidens
51
140
36.4
+£2.45
+1.8
Leicester Favourites
Race
type
Wins
Runs
Strike
Rate %
Profit
ROI
%
Race
times
3yo
handicaps
36
132
27.3
-£13.31
-10.1
2.30
3yo+/4yo+
handicaps
60
246
24.4
-£7.02
-2.9
3.35,
4.10
3yo+
maidens
24
47
51.1
+£1.85
+3.9
5.20
3yo
only maidens
23
43
53.5
+£11.64
+27.1
2yo
maidens
59
157
-£37.60
-20.28
-12.9
Nottingham Favourites
Race
type
Wins
Runs
Strike
Rate %
Profit
ROI
%
Race
times
3yo
handicaps
49
183
26.8
-£15.98
-8.7
8.50
3yo+/4yo+
handicaps
75
313
24.0
-£28.74
-9.2
6.20,
8.20, 9.20
3yo+
maidens
21
50
42.0
-£8.55
-17.1
3yo
only maidens
36
85
42.4
-£6.96
-8.2
2yo
maidens
61
184
33.2
-£30.12
-16.4
7.20,
7.50
Sandown favourites
Race
type
Wins
Runs
Strike
Rate %
Profit
ROI
%
Race
times
3yo
handicaps
53
208
25.5
-£19.36
-9.3
4.55,
5.30
3yo+/4yo+
handicaps
70
250
28.0
+£26.14
+10.5
2.40
3yo+
maidens
15
26
57.7
+£7.85
+30.2
3yo
only maidens
10
28
35.7
-£2.75
-9.8
2yo
maidens
42
102
41.2
+£8.36
+8.2

Derby Racing System Bets

Derby Racing System Bets

These bets come from a system that has been devised after examining the past 22 years of The Derby.

Long Term Results are

Bets 42
Wins 14
Profit +£59.25 (to £1 level stakes)
Return on Investment +141.1%
14 winning years out of 21 (Strike Rate 67%)

Pretty impressive stats I am sure you would agree.

Qualifiers for this year’s Derby are

Sea The Stars best price 3/1 centrebet
and
Black Bear Island best price 9/1 William Hill

The System is question is part of the Big Race Systems bonus package over at www.RacingTrends.co.uk

SP Plus – Enhanced Horse Racing Betting Odds

One of the key ways of improving your betting profits is to keep a keen eye not just on which horses you bet but also what prices you bet them at.

Over one hundred bets it is very possible for two people to bet exactly the same horses.
One will lose money and the other will win it.

How?

The smarter punter will work hard at finding the best possible prices available.

In my own opinion there are two key areas you need to focus on if trying to maximise the prices you obtain about your selections.

1 – You need to shop around various bookmakers and Exchanges and pick off the best prices.

2 – You need to consider direction of market movements. For example if the horse is moving in strongly consider taking the best price available right then. If on the other hand the horse is generally drifting consider holding off and letting it drift further. Judging direction of market movement is somewhat touch and feel.

To many however the ability to put a lot of time and effort into price hunting and trying to judge the markets is a luxury they may not have the free time or even daily net access to achieve.

What then?

If you are in that position is there anything you can do to make more profit from your betting?

Well yes there is a very simply way to increase your winnings over betting at starting price.

All you need do is use a bookmaker who offers to pay you more than starting price.

This scheme is called SP Plus and is offered by bookmaker CentreBet

How Does SP Plus work ?

It is pretty simple really.

Bet at SP Plus and the bookmaker will raise your payout up the ladder one notch.

For example if the horse wins at 10/1 starting price the SP Plus pay out will be one notch up the ladder ie 11/1.

So simple. For little or no extra afford you can be earning more profits via a simple choice of who you bet with.

Are you ever going to bet at SP again?
Surely only a mug would do that.
The bookmaker will be laughing at you.

Odds Improvement Table

The table below you may find of use.

This is based on CentreBet SP Plus returns.

It indicates the starting price and the associated SP Plus payout prices.
Also you can see how much better SP Plus  is in percentage terms for any particular price.

NB if you look at  7/2 you will note that improving that to 4/1 is one
of the more significant jumps at an improvement percentage of over 14%. Not
hard to understand why then Centrebet decided to introduce the strange odds
of 15/4 on their version of the ladder.


SP
SP+
% Improvement
1/10
1/9
11.11%
1/9
2/17
5.88%
2/17
1/8
6.25%
1/8
2/15
6.67%
2/15
1/7
7.14%
1/7
2/13
7.69%
2/13
1/6
8.33%
1/6
2/11
9.09%
2/11
1/5
10.00%
1/5
2/9
11.11%
2/9
1/4
12.50%
1/4
2/7
14.29%
2/7
3/10
5.00%
3/10
1/3
11.11%
1/3
4/11
9.09%
4/11
2/5
10.00%
2/5
4/9
11.11%
4/9
1/2
12.50%
1/2
8/15
6.67%
8/15
4/7
7.14%
4/7
8/13
7.69%
8/13
4/6
8.33%
4/6
8/11
9.09%
8/11
4/5
10.00%
4/5
5/6
4.17%
5/6
10/11
9.09%
10/11
1/1
10.00%
1/1
11/10
10.00%
11/10
6/5
9.09%
6/5
5/4
4.17%
5/4
11/8
10.00%
11/8
6/4
9.09%
6/4
13/8
8.33%
13/8
7/4
7.69%
7/4
15/8
7.14%
15/8
2/1
6.67%
2/1
9/4
12.50%
9/4
5/2
11.11%
5/2
11/4
10.00%
11/4
3/1
9.09%
3/1
10/3
11.11%
10/3
7/2
5.00%
7/2
15/4
7.14%
4/1
9/2
12.50%
9/2
5/1
11.11%
5/1
11/2
10.00%
11/2
6/1
9.09%
6/1
13/2
8.33%
13/2
7/1
7.69%
7/1
15/2
7.14%
15/2
8/1
6.67%
8/1
17/2
6.25%
17/2
9/1
5.88%
9/1
10/1
11.11%
10/1
11/1
10.00%
11/1
12/1
9.09%
12/1
14/1
16.67%
14/1
16/1
14.29%
16/1
18/1
12.50%
18/1
20/1
11.11%
20/1
22/1
10.00%
22/1
25/1
13.64%
25/1
28/1
12.00%
28/1
33/1
17.86%
33/1
40/1
21.21%
40/1
50/1
25.00%
50/1
66/1
32.00%
66/1
80/1
21.21%
80/1
100/1
25.00%
100/1
125/1
25.00%
125/1
150/1
20.00%
150/1
200/1
33.33%

If you are one of those who wants to bet on uk horse racing but does not have
huge ammounts of time to watch betting markets , then the sp plus offer fom Centrebet
is a very quick and easy way to boost your betting profits over starting price
returns.