Saturday, September 26th, 2009 at
11:24 am
1pt Peterborough to beat Blackpool in the Championship, 11/4 Skybet (Saturday 26th September 3.00pm KO)
Blackpool have got off to a flying start to this season and are sitting comfortably in seventh place. However, I feel this is definitely a false position and Peterborough are value as a result. The Tangerines have had a fair bit of luck over the last few weeks and Ian Holloway was almost embarrassed in the post match interview last week, freely admitting that his side had utterly mugged Nottingham Forest who completely dominated from start to finish. Peterborough got off to a slow start but are beginning to find their feet at this level and are growing in confidence. They are now unbeaten in six games in all competitions. Recent results have been very encouraging with their mid week Carling cup victory over Newcastle following a good win over Reading at the weekend. Before that they picked up two good points on the road away at QPR and Leicester. Peterborough’s attacking trident of McLean, Boyd and Mackail-Smith are a real threat and they have to be worth a small interest at a very big price.
The Oracle
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Saturday, July 25th, 2009 at
11:29 am
COURSE FAVOURITE STATS – this section looks at the stats for favourites at today’s courses in certain race types (data taken from 2002 to 2008)
This is just a small section of a very comprehensive horse racing statistics message provided daily by the excellent www.RacingTrends.co.uk
( give it a go.. get your money back with their 30 day refund guarantee if not for you in the end )
Ascot favourites
| Race type |
Wins |
Runs |
Strike Rate % |
Profit |
ROI % |
Race times |
| 3yo handicaps |
18 |
70 |
25.7 |
+£7.38 |
+10.5 |
3.15, 5.35 |
| 3yo+/4yo+ handicaps |
49 |
240 |
20.4 |
-£36.47 |
-15.2 |
1.25, 3.50 |
York favourites
| Race type |
Wins |
Runs |
Strike Rate % |
Profit |
ROI % |
Race times |
| 3yo+/4yo+ handicaps |
75 |
334 |
22.5 |
+£11.46 |
+3.4 |
2.35, 3.45, 4.50, 5.25 |
| 2yo maidens |
35 |
95 |
36.8 |
+£0.11 |
+0.1 |
4.15 |
Newmarket July favourites
| Race type |
Wins |
Runs |
Strike Rate % |
Profit |
ROI % |
Race times |
| 3yo handicaps |
40 |
155 |
25.8 |
-£6.77 |
-4.4 |
2.50, 4.35, 5.10 |
| 3yo+/4yo+ handicaps |
83 |
333 |
24.9 |
-£15.02 |
-4.5 |
2.20, 3.25 |
| 2yo maidens |
62 |
161 |
38.5 |
+£2.82 |
+1.8 |
1.50, 4.00 |
Newcastle favourites
| Race type |
Wins |
Runs |
Strike Rate % |
Profit |
ROI % |
Race times |
| 3yo handicaps |
29 |
94 |
30.9 |
+£12.41 |
+13.2 |
4.10 |
| 3yo+/4yo+ handicaps |
67 |
320 |
20.9 |
-£29.66 |
-9.3 |
4.45, 5.20, 6.25 |
| 2yo maidens |
44 |
122 |
36.1 |
-£3.71 |
-3.0 |
3.00, 3.30 |
Salisbury favourites
| Race type |
Wins |
Runs |
Strike Rate % |
Profit |
ROI % |
Race times |
| 3yo handicaps |
20 |
106 |
18.9 |
-£35.98 |
-33.9 |
8.40 |
| 3yo+/4yo+ handicaps |
54 |
262 |
20.6 |
-£67.37 |
-25.7 |
6.00, 8.10 |
| 3yo+ maidens |
18 |
49 |
36.7 |
-£7.14 |
-14.6 |
7.35 |
| 3yo only maidens |
24 |
52 |
46.2 |
+£15.24 |
+29.3 |
|
| 2yo maidens |
36 |
119 |
30.3 |
-£17.79 |
-14.9 |
7.05 |
Lingfield (turf) favourites
| Race type |
Wins |
Runs |
Strike Rate % |
Profit |
ROI % |
Race times |
| 3yo handicaps |
28 |
93 |
30.1 |
+£22.80 |
+24.5 |
7.55 |
| 3yo+/4yo+ handicaps |
49 |
186 |
26.3 |
+£7.63 |
+4.1 |
5.45, 6.15, 8.25 |
| 3yo+ maidens |
31 |
73 |
42.5 |
-£3.31 |
-4.5 |
7.20 |
| 3yo only maidens |
6 |
12 |
50.0 |
-£1.57 |
-13.1 |
|
| 2yo maidens |
47 |
92 |
51.1 |
+£9.51 |
+10.3 |
6.45 |
Info provided by RacingTrends. To visit their site click here ==> UK Horse Racing Advice
Saturday, May 23rd, 2009 at
11:46 am
Saturday Football Tips From Football Bets
1pt Aston Villa to beat Newcastle in the Premiership, 7/5 Bet365, Coral (Sunday 24th May 4pm ko)
If Newcastle do not take at least a point away from Villa Park on Sunday, they will be relegated.
It is a game they cannot afford to lose.
However, as is so often the case at this time of year, the prices have moved far too much and
do not accurately reflect the true chances of each outcome.
Consequently, there is value to be had in backing the home team.
Villa’s form in the second half of the season has been terrible.
They were six points ahead of Arsenal in fourth place back in March but now lie ten
points behind them in sixth. They have also won just one of their last five matches. However,
Aston Villa still have more than enough quality to beat a very poor Newcastle side.
Had this game been played six weeks ago then Villa would be long odds on and 7/5 about a
home win is a very big price. Although Villa have little to play for, they will still want to win their
final home game and can still finish fifth above Everton, which would represent progress on last season.
Newcastle have won just twice on the road all season and have scored just two goals in their last five away games.
They have wasted chances to pull clear of the drop zone at home to Portsmouth and Fulham recently
and this is a far harder task. Newcastle’s record against top half opposition has also been dreadful this season.
In nineteen fixtures they have won just twice and both of those were home games.
The Geordies are missing several important players for this fixture too.
The absence of full backs Beye and Enrique will be especially difficult to deal with as
they have no natural replacements. Beye in particular has been an important player for
Newcastle and they have won just one of twenty four fixtures without him.
There is a twenty five point gap between these two sides in the table and just because
Newcastle need the points more than Villa do, does not justify a price of 7/5 about a home win.
Minimum price to take – 11/10
To visit The Oracles Site Click Here ==> Football Betting Tips