Saturday, January 28th, 2012 at
12:25 pm
Over Under Soccer Betting
A couple of football bets today from 99Reds over at the Football Bets service.
99Reds is an ex player manager so has a better feel for the game than most.
He is however a soccer stats freak and it is stats research that is the cornerstone of the long term
profitable record he has built up for clients there.
Here are a couple of his suggestionss for today
12.45pm Liverpool to Beat Man Utd 8/5 Coral, Ladbrokes 1pt
1.00pm Hereford v Shrewsbury Over 2.5 goals 23/20 Hills 1pt
To visit his site clieck here ==> Football Betting Tips
.
Saturday, October 2nd, 2010 at
10:11 am
Scottish Football Bet From Bookmaker
This comes from Tammboy an ex bookmaker odds compiler
who is now providing Scottish soccer tips at the Football Bets website.
Tammboy is one of three soccer experts there.
Combined all three have racked up a profit of about £10k to £100 level stakes
since circa November 2009
For further info on how to get regular football betting advice advice from two
ex bookmakers and an ex player manager visit the football bets website.
Click here ==> Football Betting Tips
———————————————————
Stenhousemuir vs. East Fife
Scottish Division 2 – East Fife WIN @33/20 (vs. Stenhousemuir) – 2 star bet (Bet365)
East Fife drew against Livingston last week and are one of the stronger sides in the division.
Expect them to be competing for 2nd place along with the likes of Alloa.
Although some results haven’t worked out, it’s clear that they’ve been scoring freely
even against the better teams. Stenhousmuir are an in and out side and although they’re
better at home the percentage play is in backing East Fife
(which are still value at 13/8 with Betfred and Ladbrokes) as they should be favourites for this tie.
Saturday, August 14th, 2010 at
12:53 pm
The football tip below is from Tammboy over at the football bets site.
Tammboy is an ex odds compiler for a major bookmaker.
Alsong with another ex boookmaker emploee phil and ex player manager Kevin he provides long term profitable football tips for members of the footballbets site.
To vit that site click here ==> football betting
———————————————————————–
Welcome back to the weekly Scottish Selections email after the summer break. I’m always a little cagey at the start of a new season. In the scottish lower leagues there’s a lot of movement of players and tons of loan signings. I know a few of the people that run the clubs in the 2nd and 3rd divisions so I talk to them but results can be eratic in the first few games. My systems are heavy on statistics too and it takes a few weeks before I have enough data to be confident. For the first few weeks it’ll be question of 1star bets going on what my spies report but when the stats bed in, it’ll be full steam ahead and I’m very confident of another highly profitable campaign. I’ve been betting on the Scottish lower leagues since 2002 and every season’s been a winner!
This week:
SD1 Ross County WIN @ 6/4 (vs. Falkirk) – 1 star bet (Bet365, Paddy Power)
Analysis
Ross County vs. Falkirk
Last season’s cup run showed Ross County to be a team going places and a good start to the new campaign last week thumping new boys Cowdenbeath 2-0. They’ll be a team to follow this season, they have an excellent management team and I expect them to be challenging for the title come the end of the season. They take on Falkirk who continued miserable SPL form by losing to Dumbarton at home last week and look out of sorts still coming to terms with SD1. It’s often the case that it takes a while for the SPL relegation team to settle and Ross County can take advantage of this at 6/4.
Saturday, April 10th, 2010 at
9:59 am
This bet comes from Tammboy an ex bookmaker odds compiler and trader.
To get more from him click here ==> Scottish Football Betting Tips
Scottish Division3 – Queen’s Park WIN@13/8 (vs. Stranraer) – 2 Star bet (Bet365)
Stranraer vs. Queen’s Park
Queen’s park have hit form at the right time and bar Livingston are the team to beat at the moment – they might even nick 3rd if they keep playing like they have been. They’re a solid outfit and should arguably have been challenging for the title. Stranraer are an in and out middle of the table side and although these ties don’t always go the way you want, this is not a pick’em affair – Queen’s should be far shorter than the 13/8 with Bet365. Back them at that price before it goes.
Saturday, May 23rd, 2009 at
11:46 am
Saturday Football Tips From Football Bets
1pt Aston Villa to beat Newcastle in the Premiership, 7/5 Bet365, Coral (Sunday 24th May 4pm ko)
If Newcastle do not take at least a point away from Villa Park on Sunday, they will be relegated.
It is a game they cannot afford to lose.
However, as is so often the case at this time of year, the prices have moved far too much and
do not accurately reflect the true chances of each outcome.
Consequently, there is value to be had in backing the home team.
Villa’s form in the second half of the season has been terrible.
They were six points ahead of Arsenal in fourth place back in March but now lie ten
points behind them in sixth. They have also won just one of their last five matches. However,
Aston Villa still have more than enough quality to beat a very poor Newcastle side.
Had this game been played six weeks ago then Villa would be long odds on and 7/5 about a
home win is a very big price. Although Villa have little to play for, they will still want to win their
final home game and can still finish fifth above Everton, which would represent progress on last season.
Newcastle have won just twice on the road all season and have scored just two goals in their last five away games.
They have wasted chances to pull clear of the drop zone at home to Portsmouth and Fulham recently
and this is a far harder task. Newcastle’s record against top half opposition has also been dreadful this season.
In nineteen fixtures they have won just twice and both of those were home games.
The Geordies are missing several important players for this fixture too.
The absence of full backs Beye and Enrique will be especially difficult to deal with as
they have no natural replacements. Beye in particular has been an important player for
Newcastle and they have won just one of twenty four fixtures without him.
There is a twenty five point gap between these two sides in the table and just because
Newcastle need the points more than Villa do, does not justify a price of 7/5 about a home win.
Minimum price to take – 11/10
To visit The Oracles Site Click Here ==> Football Betting Tips
Saturday, May 16th, 2009 at
11:45 am
Saturday Football Bet
1pt draw between Caen and Sochaux in French Ligue One
11/5 Stan James, Totesport and William Hill (Saturday 16th May 6pm ko)
We had a lot of success earlier in the season backing draws in France and this is another game that fits the bill. Thirteen out of Caen’s thirty five matches this season have finished in draws (37% = 17/10). Sochaux have drawn twelve out of thirty five (34% = 15/8). Backing draws blindly in Caen and Sochaux games at around the 2/1 mark would clearly be a profitable strategy. When two such teams meet the chances of a draw seem to be further increased and the last three meetings between these two sides have all resulted in draws. Odds of 11/5 suggest that there is only a 31% chance of a draw when the stats seem to suggest otherwise.
Minimum price to take – 15/8
The Oracle
To visit The Oracle’s web site click here ===> Football Betting Tips
Saturday, February 21st, 2009 at
1:11 pm
Soccer Betting Advice
1pt Exeter to beat Chester in League Two, 23/20 William Hill and Boylesports or 11/10 widely available (Saturday 21st February 3pm ko)
Chester City are currently a club in turmoil. Financial difficulties saw six first team players depart in January and a transfer embargo put in place. Since beating Accrington on boxing day they have gone ten games without a win, plummeting down the table. They have lost their last six games on the bounce, scoring just once in the process. They have had to field several teenagers in recent weeks and two more will have to be drafted in tomorrow to replace the suspended Paul Linwood and Jay Harris. Linwood picked up his fifth booking of the season in Tuesday’s defeat at Shrewsbury whilst Harris was sent off in the same game, leaving boss Mark Wright down to the bare bones:
“Come training on Thursday when all the kids are at college, we’ll only have six or seven out there because the others are nursing injuries”.
“We know we need four or five players. I’m not saying that in an effort to put pressure on the club or the chairman. It’s a reality”.
“Life’s tough at the moment and Exeter will be a hard game and it depends on what bodies we have available”.
Exeter are a side well placed to take advantage. The Grecians are enjoying a fantastic season and currently sit in seventh place just six points off the top. They have won three of their last four scoring eleven goals in the process. Exeter beat a far stronger Chester side at home back in November and should really be odds on to complete the double.
Minimum price to take – 10/11
The Oracle
=========
To Visit The Oracle’s Site click Here ==> Free Football Tips
Saturday, January 10th, 2009 at
1:38 pm
A brand new football tipping service launched today called PremiershipPreview.
I have arranged a free trial for you at the link below.
Click Here ===> Football Tips – Free Trial
Produced by a professional football odds compiler, it is a service that focuses only on the big premier league matches being shown on Sky or Setanta.
I help run the Premiership Preview site so am bound to say favourable things about it.
Best you judge for yourself.
A sample message is below.
Take up the free trial to pick up the other games this weekend and for the month to come.
( use link above to reach the hidden free trial page )
| www.PremiershipPreview.co.uk Friday, 09-Jan-2009 |
|
Stoke v Liverpool
Saturday 10th January 5.30pm ko Live on Setanta
|
2008/2009
|
|
Premier League
|
20/09/2008
|
Liverpool
|
0-0
|
Stoke City
|
HOME/AWAY AVERAGES (LAST 20 GAMES)
STOKE – HOME (Last 10 games as Stoke not in Premier League last year)
|
WIN
|
5
|
50%
|
evens
|
|
DRAW
|
2
|
20%
|
4/1
|
|
LOST
|
3
|
30%
|
23/10
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
OVER 2.5 GOALS
|
4
|
40%
|
6/4
|
|
UNDER 2.5 GOALS
|
6
|
60%
|
4/6
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
FOUR GOALS OR MORE
|
2
|
20%
|
4/1
|
|
0-0 DRAW
|
1
|
10%
|
9/1
|
LIVERPOOL – AWAY
|
WIN
|
10
|
50%
|
evens
|
|
DRAW
|
7
|
35%
|
15/8
|
|
LOST
|
3
|
15%
|
11/2
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
OVER 2.5 GOALS
|
7
|
35%
|
15/8
|
|
UNDER 2.5 GOALS
|
13
|
65%
|
8/15
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
FOUR GOALS OR MORE
|
5
|
25%
|
3/1
|
|
0-0 DRAW
|
3
|
15%
|
11/2
|
H2H (LAST 5 SEASONS – 1 LEAGUE GAME) (Stoke and Liverpool have only played one League game in last 5 years)
|
OVER 2.5 GOALS
|
0
|
0%
|
|
|
UNDER 2.5 GOALS
|
1
|
100%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
FOUR GOALS OR MORE
|
0
|
0%
|
|
|
0-0 DRAW
|
1
|
100%
|
|
CURRENT FORM
STOKE – LAST FIVE GAMES
|
Premier League
|
13/12/2008
|
Stoke
|
0-0
|
Fulham
|
|
Premier League
|
20/12/2008
|
Blackburn
|
3-0
|
Stoke
|
|
Premier League
|
26/12/2008
|
Stoke
|
0-1
|
Man Utd
|
|
Premier League
|
28/12/2008
|
West Ham
|
2-1
|
Stoke
|
|
English FA Cup
|
03/01/2009
|
Hartlepool
|
2-0
|
Stoke
|
LIVERPOOL– LAST FIVE GAMES
|
Premier League
|
13/12/2008
|
Liverpool
|
2-2
|
HullCity
|
|
Premier League
|
21/12/2008
|
Arsenal
|
1-1
|
Liverpool
|
|
Premier League
|
26/12/2008
|
Liverpool
|
3-0
|
Bolton
|
|
Premier League
|
28/12/2008
|
Newcastle
|
1-5
|
Liverpool
|
|
English FA Cup
|
03/01/2009
|
Preston
|
0-2
|
Liverpool
|
TEAM NEWS
Ricardo Fuller is suspended for Stoke.
Andy Griffin, Amdy Faye and Leon Cort look likely to be ruled out through injury. Mamadie Sidibie is also a doubt but has a better chance of making it.
Positive news for Stoke is that Richard Cresswell returns from a ban and Dave Kitson is fit again. Matthew Etherington has also signed from West Ham.
Alvaro Arbeloa is still missing for Liverpool as is fellow right back Philip Degen. Therefore Carragher is set to continue at right back. Sami Hyypia, Daniel Agger and fit again Martin Skrtel will compete for the two centre back positions.
Aurelio returns at left back to replace Insua, who is now away on international duty with Argentina’s U20 squad.
Fernando Torres came off the bench to score in the FA cup last week and should start against Stoke.
TOP SCORERS (LEAGUE ONLY)
STOKE LIVERPOOL
|
PLAYER
|
Goals
|
|
PLAYER
|
Goals
|
|
Ricardo Fuller
|
6
|
|
Steven Gerrard
|
8
|
|
Mamady Sidibe
|
3
|
|
Robbie Keane
|
5
|
|
Abdoulaye Faye
|
2
|
|
Dirk Kuyt
|
5
|
|
Seyi George Olofinjana
|
2
|
|
Fernando Torres
|
5
|
|
Liam Lawrence
|
1
|
|
Alberto Riera
|
2
|
|
Danny Higginbotham
|
1
|
|
Xabi Alonso
|
2
|
THE ORACLE’S MATCH PRICES (100% BOOK)
STOKE 10/1 9%
DRAW 4/1 20%
LIVERPOOL 2/5 71%
ANALYSIS
MATCH:
League leaders Liverpool travel to Stoke looking to open up a five point gap at the top of the premiership. Their away form is excellent with seven wins from ten and just a single defeat, which was a bit of a freak result against Spurs, in a game they had completely dominated. Stoke, like many promoted sides, started the season very well, but after the initial high of premiership football wore off, their results nosedived. Since beating Arsenal on November the first Stoke have won just once in nine league games, and that was a narrow victory against fellow strugglers WBA. In this time they have failed to score five times and are now facing a fourth defeat on the bounce. They were knocked out of the cup last week by league one Hartlepool, and have scored just once in five games. Their task of beating Liverpool is made all the more difficult by the suspension of top scorer Ricardo Fuller who was sent off against West Ham for slapping his own captain, Andy Griffin, across the face. This incident will surely have damaged morale in the dressing room too. Griffin will also be missing with an injury as will Amdy Faye. It all points to an away win, but best odds of 4/9 are not big enough to warrant backing. Stoke did manage a 0-0 draw at Anfield earlier in the season but they might be a little more adventurous at home and this will play into Liverpool’s hands. Liverpool “to win to nil” is almost a bet at 11/10 with Ladbrokes and the Tote but is just a little too short.
GOALS:
The stats above suggest that there will not be many goals in this one and under 2.5 goals at evens with Stan James and VC is worth a bet. From the tables above you can see that 65% of Liverpool’s last twenty away games have featured two goals or less. At the same time, Stoke’s home games this season have resulted in two goals or less 60% of the time. The previous fixture this season also finished 0-0 yet under 2.5 goals is available at evens, suggesting it is only a 50% possibility. When Manchester United visited Stoke earlier in the season they won by just a single goal, and when Chelsea visited they won by two goals to nil. Both these scorelines are strong possibilities on Saturday. Stoke are going to struggle to score without their top scorer and against a defence that has kept five clean sheets on the road already. Their approach should be negative enough to also ensure that Liverpool do not score more than two.
GOALSCORERS:
With a low goals expectancy, it generally means that anytime goalscorer bets should be avoided. Nobody stands out as any real value. If I had to pick someone out I’d have a couple of quid on either Sammi Hyypia or Daniel Agger to score first at 28/1, but check the line ups first.
RECOMMENDATIONS
Info for Sunday will be sent around lunchtime on Saturday
Best Wishes and good luck
The Oracle
www.PremiershipPreview.co.uk |
Click Here ===> Football Tips – Free Trial