Over to Guy from www.Mathematician-Betting.co.uk for our usual free Saturday horse racing tip
PS he mentions his firm bets below. A rough back of envelope calc on these firm bets would indicate a high level of profit on them over the past 8 months or so. Ball park 40% profit on turnover.
Just shows what you can do if you work really hard at research and are selective about what horses you bet on.
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I do have what I feel are stronger bets today and have in fact tipped two firm bets today for my main clients. They always moan however if I post for free my firm bets. I guess they have a fair point. This is from further down the message in my Profiles and Previews section.
Worth a nosey if devoid of inspiration yourself this afternoon.
N o t t i n g h a m 5.30
9/2 Join Up, 5/1 Myraid, 5/1 Woteva, 6/1 Alluring Star
6/1 Crocodile Bay, 6/1 Sky Diamond, 10/1 Caledonia Prince
10/1 Eyes On, 20/1 Centre Stage, 33/1 Femme Royale.
This is a low grade Apprentice handicap over a Mile.
I have problems with ALLURING STAR as she goes
up in distance as a filly. CALEDONIA PRINCE also
comes up in trip and was beaten too far doing that.
There are several here that fail for backclass with a
few having never run beyond a Class 5 grade before.
CALEDONIA PRINCE fails that. Both EYES ON
and MYRAID also fail that. CROCODILE BAY has
lots to prove aged 9 and coming up in distance. I’m
shortlisting SKY DIAMOND who has the class that
you require for the race. JOIN UP is also an option.
I think the best bet is WOTEVA. She has ran twice
now after a long break. Her last run illustrates there
is a good chance she retains her old ability and that
run showed just how well handicapped she was and I
think in light of no outstanding option she is the bet.
Selection
WOTEVA 7/1 Win Bet at spreadex
SKY DIAMOND 5/1 Saver at betfred
(Saver = a bet staked to break even if saver wins and main bet loses )
For latest bookmakers odds for this race see
http://mathematician-betting.bestbetting.com/horse-racing/2012-05-12/nottingham/17-30/betting/
.