Another free racing tip today for us from Guy over at

www.mathematician-betting.co.uk

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H a y d o c k  4.30

3/1 Mister Hyde, 4/1 Upthemsteps, 6/1 Cannington Brook
6/1 Scoter Fontaine, 7/1 Lackamon, 7/1 Majala
12/1 Empress Orchid, 12/1 Monsieur Cadou.

* This is a 2m 4f Novice Handicap Chase
* There are 6 renewals of this race
* The 6 winners had 3 4 4 5 3 5 chase runs
* The 6 winners had 6 4 4 5 3 3 runs this season

I would ideally want 3-4-5 chase starts and at least
3 runs this season. CANNINGTON BROOK has 9
Chase starts perhaps more than ideal and I can not
bet him as no winners came from 3m 6f down to a
2m 4f race. Every past winner came from a 2m 4f
race or further. Not sold on SCOTER FONTAINE
who won a 2m race last time. EMPRESS ORCHID
is out as a mare from 2m. MONSIEUR CADOU is
out without any Chasing experience. LACKAMON
and MAJALA both come from Graded Chases and
thats not a typical preparation for a race like this.
I respect UPTHEMSTEPS but he has just 2 chase
starts less than all past winners and he has fewer
runs this season than every other horse and that
worries me on soft ground at this track. The best
bet looks to be MISTER HYDE who came down
in a better class race last time. He will find these
fences much easier than Cheltenham and down in
class and well treated I like him best.

Selection – MISTER HYDE 5/1 EachWay

at various spots including Tote VC Bet365 Coral

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