The following racing information for Ascot is provided courtesy of www.RacingTrends.co.uk

Nb these Trend Reports as per below is only a small section of what they do there.

They are worth investigation if you are the sort who likes to think for yourself but at the same time appreciate the assistance of daily well researched stats to improve your decission making abiliites.

Stick your neck out and ask for a free trial ..the worst they can do is say no :)

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2.05 Ascot – Cornwallis Stakes – 5f (Group 3) 2yo

POSITIVE TRENDS

Market: The top five in the betting have provided all 10 winners.
Price: All of the winners have been priced 12/1 or shorter.
Days since last run: Horses off the track for between 22 and 29 days have provided 6 of the last 10 winners.
Position LTO: 5 of the last 10 winners won LTO. Backing all 27 qualifiers would have produced a profit of £14.25 (ROI +52.8%).
Market position LTO: 8 of the last 10 winners were in the top 3 of the betting LTO.
Distance LTO: 8 of the last 10 winners raced over 5f LTO.
Running style: 9 of the last 10 winners raced up with or close to the pace.

NEGATIVE TRENDS

Price: Horses priced 14/1 or bigger have produced 0 winners from 64.
Days since last run: Horses off the track for 21 days or less have provided just 1 winner from 50 runners for a loss of £37.00 (ROI -74%).
Handicaps LTO: Horses that raced in a handicap LTO have provided 0 winners from 20.
Beaten distance LTO: Horses that were beaten by 5 or more lengths LTO have provided 0 winners from 40.

GENERAL STATS

Favourites: 2 wins from 10 for a loss of £1.75 (ROI -17.5%).
Sex of horse: Male runners have provided 6 winners from 82 (SR 7.3%); females have won 4 races from 46 (SR 8.7%).

Trends analysis: This has essentially been a market driven race with all of the winners from the top 5 in the betting, and no winners from 64 runners for horses priced 14/1 or bigger. Other positives include a run over 5f LTO, a position in the top 3 in the betting LTO and time off the track of between 22 and 29 days. In terms of negatives, horses that were beaten by 5 or more lengths LTO have a poor record as do horses that raced in a handicap LTO.

2.40 Ascot – Cumberland Lodge – 1m4f (Group 3) 3yo+

POSITIVE TRENDS

Favourites: 7 wins from 10 for a profit of £6.63 (ROI +66.3%).
Market: All 10 winners have come from the top 2 in the betting.
Price: Horses priced 7/2 or shorter have provided all of the last 10 winners.
Position LTO: Horses that finished won LTO have provided 7 of the last 10 winners.
Days since last run: 7 of the last 10 winners had last raced between 15 and 22 days ago.
Breeding: 7 wins from 31 for British bred runners; 3 wins from 8 for USA bred runners.
Trainers: Marcus Tregoning has won the race 5 times from just 6 runners!
Course LTO: Only 12 horses raced at Doncaster LTO but 5 have come on to win here.
Price LTO: 8 of the last 10 winners were priced 5/1 or shorter LTO.

NEGATIVE TRENDS

Breeding: 0 wins from 25 for Irish bred runners.
Market: 0 wins from 49 for horses 3rd or bigger in the betting market.
Beaten distance LTO: Horses that were beaten by 2 or more lengths LTO have provided just 1 winner from 34 for a loss of £30.00 (ROI -88.2%).

GENERAL STATS

Age: 3yos have provided 3 winners from 14 (SR 21.4%); 4yos have provided 5 winners from 29 (SR 17.2%); 5yos+ have provided 2 winners from 28 (SR 7.1%).

Trends analysis: In recent years this race has been totally dominated by the top two in the betting, with favourites having an outstanding record. LTO winners are also worth noting having won 70% of the races from just 24% of the total runners. Trainer Marcus Tregoning clearly targets this race as he has saddled the winner an amazing 5 times from only 6 runners. In terms of breeding, British and American bred runners have won all the races between them, with Irish bred runners really struggling. In terms of age, 3 and 4yos definitely have the edge over their older rivals.

3.15 Ascot – Bengough Stakes – 6f (Group 3) 3yo+

POSITIVE TRENDS

Price: 8 of the last 10 winners have been priced between 6/1 and 16/1.
LTO winners: 4 of the last 10 winners won LTO. Backing all qualifiers would have produced a small profit of £3.50 (ROI +11.3%).
LTO price: 7 of the last 10 winners were priced 8/1 or shorter LTO.
Trainers: 2 wins a piece for Chris Wall and Saeed Bin Suroor.

NEGATIVE TRENDS

Favourites (inc. joints): 2 wins from 13 for a loss of £4.00 (ROI -30.8%).
Price: 0 wins from 61 for horses priced 20/1 or bigger.
Days since last run: Horses off the track for 21 days or less have provided 3 winners but from 88 runners for a loss of £59.00 (ROI -59%).
Position LTO: 32 runners finished 2nd or 3rd LTO and none have gone on to win here.
Handicaps LTO: Horses that raced in a handicap LTO have provided just 1 winner from 40 qualifiers for a loss of £23.00 (ROI -57.5%).
Course LTO: Horses that ran at Newmarket LTO have provided 0 winners from 23. Horses coming from Ascot LTO have produced 2 winners, but from 49 qualifiers.
Headgear: Horses wearing any type of headgear (blinkers, tongue tie, cheekpieces etc) have provided just 1 winner from 34 for a loss of £27.00 (ROI -79.4%).

GENERAL STATS

Age: 3yos have provided 2 winners from 37 (SR 5.4%); 4yos have provided 4 winners from 39 (SR 10.3%); 5yos have provided 2 winners from 34 (SR 5.9%); 6yos have provided 2 winners from 21 (SR 9.5%); 7yos+ have provided 0 winners from 20 (SR 0%).
Sex of horse: Male runners have provided 8 winners from 132 (SR 6.1%); females have won 2 races from 19 (SR 10.5%).

Trends analysis: It should be noted that this race has slightly stronger negative trends than positive ones. Horses wearing headgear have a poor record as do runners that raced at either Ascot or Newmarket LTO. In addition horses returning to the track within 3 weeks have a below average record. It terms of price it looks best to focus on prices between 6/1 and 16/1 as they have provided 80% of the winners from around 45% of the total runners. Age wise there are no clear trends although horses aged 7 or older look worth avoiding.

www.RacingTrends.co.uk

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