This is a sample message from Dave Renham’s excellent RacingTrends Service.

NOT a tipping service. Much more so a stats service aimed at those who like to have well researched information to aid them making their own backing or laying decissions.

Typically he will produce separate messages covering both flat and national hunt.  This is the flat version which just happens to be all all weather racing today.

If you are interested in a  short free trial of this service to test it more fully yourself contact me and let me know and I will try and swing it for you.

Flat Message for Sat 4 Feb 2012

COURSE FAVOURITE STATS FLAT –

this is a section looking at the stats for favourites at courses in certain
race types

Lingfield aw favourites

Race type Wins Bets SR (%) Profit ROI (%) Race Times
3yo+/4yo+ handicaps 362 1369 26.4 -£55.15 -4.0 12.55, 2.00, 2.30, 3.00, 3.35
3yo+ maidens 63 153 41.2 -£10.30 -6.7 4.05, 4.35

Wolverhampton aw favourites

Race type Wins Bets SR (%) Profit ROI (%) Race Times
3yo only maidens 28 84 33.3 -£23.50 -28.0 4.45
3yo+/4yo+ handicaps 489 1929 25.4 -£232.71 -12.1 2.05, 2.40, 3.15, 3.45, 5.15

FAVOURITE STATS – this is a section looking
at the stats for favourites certain race types. These race types occur less
often so the course favourite stats for such races would have fairly small samples
- hence they have been grouped together to give you an overview.

Race type Wins Bets SR Profit ROI Race Times
3yo+/4yo+ claimers 346 939 36.8 -£13.97 -1.5 Wolv 4.15
3yo+/4yo+ sellers 214 574 37.3 +£26.22 4.6 Ling 1.25

DRAW SECTION – the stats are collated from studying 10+ runner
handicaps. Each race is split into three – a top third of the draw, a middle
third of the draw and a bottom third of the draw.

Course & distance (time) Bottom third win % Middle third win% Top third win%
Lingfield aw 6f (2.00, 2.30) 33 34 33
Lingfield aw 1m (3.00) 24 33 43
Wolverhampton aw 7f (2.05, 2.40) 37 40 24

Wolverhampton aw 7f (2.05, 2.40) low draws
have a slight advantage although it is not a strong enough bias to be fully
confident in.

POSITIVE STATS – (TRAINER / SIRE / DRAW) Please note – some
are price** or going* dependent 4.05 Lingfield – Falcon’s Reign **:
J Noseda – Lingfield aw; male aged 2 or 3yo; must be favourite; SR 56% ROI +30%
(win & pl 76%)

NEGATIVE STATS – Please note – some are price** or going*
dependent 4.05 Lingfield – Godber: Poor Jockey Stat – 7lb claimers
riding 2 and 3yos ALL RACES; SR 6% ROI -48% (win & pl 19%)

POOR VALUE LAST TIME OUT WINNER – The idea is to find horses
that won LTO that perform poorly in comparison to all LTO winners. The stats
for all LTO winners in Flat races the strike rate (SR) is 16.2% and losses are
-16.7%. These are my benchmarks. None today

PACE INFORMATION

Course Leaders % (win) Prominent / chased leaders % (win) Hold up / behind % (win)
Lingfield aw 7f handicap (12.55) 1.1 1.4 0.7
Lingfield aw 6f handicap (2.00, 2.30) 1.7 1.3 0.7
Lingfield aw 1m handicap (3.00) 0.9 1.2 0.9
Lingfield aw 1m non handicap (4.05) 1.6 1.4 0.6
Wolverhampton aw 7f handicap (2.05, 2.40) 1.5 1.0 0.9
Wolverhampton aw 6f non handicap (4.45) 1.6 1.3 0.7

Lingfield aw 6f handicap (2.00) – Front
runners have a decent enough advantage. Here are the ratings for this race:
Waterloo Dock 3.9 Captain Dimitrios 3.3 Microlight 3.3 Efistorm 3.2 Mandy’s
Hero 3.1 Captainrisk 2.8 Waabel 2.8 Cut The Cackle 2.2 Fantasy Fighter 1.8 Forty
Proof 1.8

Conclusion – Waterloo Dock looks the best trading option here.

Lingfield aw 6f handicap (2.30) – Here are the ratings for
this race: Royal Intruder 3.6 High Voltage 3.1 Slatey Hen 3.1 Chjimes 2.5 Custom
House 2.4 Court Applause 2.4 Picansort 2.2 Diamond Vine 1.8 Memphis Man 1.5
The Wee Chief 1.5 Conclusion – no real front runner
to trade here.

Horses mentioned in 2 or more sections – none

RECENT TRAINER FORM – FLAT (last 14 days exc. Friday) – in
strike rate order

Name Wins Runs Strike rate (%) Placed Win & Placed Win & Placed % Engagements
Jimmy Fox 2 3 66.7 0 2 66.7 Ling 12.55, Ling 2.30
Jane Chapple-Hyam 2 4 50.0 1 3 75.0 Wolv 2.40
Michael Bell 1 2 50.0 1 2 100.0 Ling 1.25, Wolv 5.15
William Knight 1 2 50.0 1 2 100.0 Ling 3.00
Hughie Morrison 2 5 40.0 1 3 60.0 Wolv 4.45
David Barron 2 6 33.3 0 2 33.3 Ling 3.00
Eve Johnson Houghton 1 3 33.3 0 1 33.3 Ling 4.05
Ian Williams 3 9 33.3 2 5 55.6 Wolv 3.45
Jeremy Gask 2 7 28.6 0 2 28.6 Ling 3.00
Mark Johnston 6 26 23.1 6 12 46.2 Ling 3.35, Wolv 3.15
John Bridger 2 9 22.2 1 3 33.3 Ling 3.00
James Given 1 5 20.0 0 1 20.0 Wolv 3.15
David Simcock 2 12 16.7 1 3 25.0 Ling 4.05, Wolv 2.40, Wolv 4.45
Joseph Tuite 1 6 16.7 1 2 33.3 Wolv 2.05, Wolv 4.15, Wolv 5.15
Reg Hollinshead 1 6 16.7 1 2 33.3 Wolv 2.05
Brian Baugh 2 13 15.4 5 7 53.8 Wolv 2.05, Wolv 4.45
Richard Fahey 4 29 13.8 5 9 31.0 Ling 3.00, Wolv 2.40, Wolv 3.15, Wolv 4.15
Daniel Mark Loughnane 1 8 12.5 2 3 37.5 Ling 12.55, Wolv 5.15
Julia Feilden 1 8 12.5 2 3 37.5 Wolv 3.15
Eric Wheeler 1 9 11.1 3 4 44.4 Ling 12.55
Ronald Harris 3 27 11.1 1 4 14.8 Ling 1.25, Ling 2.30
Frank Sheridan 1 10 10.0 0 1 10.0 Wolv 4.45
David Evans 3 32 9.4 9 12 37.5 Ling 12.55, Ling 2.00, Ling 2.30, Wolv 2.40, Wolv 3.15, Wolv 4.15, Wolv 4.45
Jim Boyle 1 11 9.1 3 4 36.4 Ling 12.55
Marco Botti 1 11 9.1 1 2 18.2 Ling 4.35, Wolv 2.40
Conor Dore 1 13 7.7 1 2 15.4 Ling 2.00, Ling 2.30, Wolv 3.15
Scott Dixon 1 15 6.7 4 5 33.3 Ling 4.35
Richard Guest 3 53 5.7 8 11 20.8 Ling 12.55, Ling 2.00, Ling 2.30, Ling 3.35, Wolv 3.15
Alan McCabe 1 22 4.5 1 2 9.1 Ling 2.00, Ling 3.00
Anthony Carson 0 4 0.0 1 1 25.0 Ling 3.35
Bill Turner 0 4 0.0 1 1 25.0 Ling 1.25
Christine Dunnett 0 4 0.0 0 0 0.0 Ling 2.00
Gay Kelleway 0 9 0.0 2 2 22.2 Ling 3.35
Jo Hughes 0 9 0.0 2 2 22.2 Ling 4.35, Wolv 2.40, Wolv 3.15, Wolv 4.45, Wolv 5.15
John Best 0 8 0.0 1 1 12.5 Ling 1.25
John E Long 0 6 0.0 0 0 0.0 Ling 2.00, Ling 2.30
John Wainwright 0 4 0.0 1 1 25.0 Wolv 2.05
Kevin Ryan 0 9 0.0 2 2 22.2 Wolv 2.05, Wolv 5.15
Michael Appleby 0 13 0.0 2 2 15.4 Ling 3.00, Ling 3.35, Wolv 3.15, Wolv 4.15, Wolv 5.15
Michael Easterby 0 8 0.0 2 2 25.0 Wolv 2.40
Michael Quinn 0 6 0.0 0 0 0.0 Ling 2.00, Ling 4.05
Olivia Maylam 0 7 0.0 2 2 28.6 Ling 2.00
Peter Crate 0 4 0.0 1 1 25.0 Ling 2.30
Peter Hiatt 0 13 0.0 3 3 23.1 Ling 1.25
Rod Millman 0 6 0.0 0 0 0.0 Wolv 2.40
Terry Clement 0 6 0.0 1 1 16.7 Ling 3.00
Zoe Davison 0 7 0.0 0 0 0.0 Ling 4.05

COURSE TRAINER STATS FLAT
Lingfield trainer stats ALL RACES 2006 – Thursday

(ordered by strike rate – min 3 runs or 1 win)

Trainer Wins Runs Strike Rate (%) Profit ROI (%) Engagements
Jeremy Noseda 51 216 23.6 -£40.35 -18.7 4.05, 4.35
David Barron 8 36 22.2 +£12.17 +33.8 3.00
Scott Dixon 1 5 20.0 +£16.00 +320.0 4.35
William Knight 34 172 19.8 +£141.31 +82.2 3.00
Mark Johnston 88 457 19.3 -£112.29 -24.6 3.35
Daniel Mark Loughnane 3 17 17.7 +£3.25 +19.1 12.55
Richard Hannon 102 667 15.3 -£141.93 -21.3 3.00
Alan McCabe 34 232 14.7 +£115.23 +49.7 2.00, 3.00
Conor Dore 36 253 14.2 -£35.20 -13.9 2.00, 2.30
Michael Bell 19 135 14.1 -£39.03 -28.9 1.25
Jo Crowley 17 133 12.8 +£53.68 +40.4 4.35
David Simcock 23 187 12.3 -£46.73 -25.0 4.05
Peter Hiatt 21 171 12.3 +£14.08 +8.2 1.25
Marco Botti 20 168 11.9 -£19.12 -11.4 4.35
Richard Fahey 19 161 11.8 -£34.49 -21.4 3.00
Jeremy Gask 15 129 11.6 -£55.92 -43.3 3.00
Gay Kelleway 21 184 11.4 -£45.65 -24.8 3.35
Jim Boyle 56 522 10.7 -£117.10 -22.4 12.55
David Evans 48 474 10.1 -£136.50 -28.8 12.55, 2.00, 2.30
Peter Hedger 5 52 9.6 +£43.38 +83.4 3.35, 4.35
Ronald Harris 34 355 9.6 -£30.25 -8.5 1.25, 2.30
John Best 61 675 9.0 -£294.61 -43.6 1.25
William Muir 21 244 8.6 -£147.62 -60.5 2.30
Ralph Smith 4 51 7.8 +£12.00 +23.5 4.05
John E Long 10 131 7.6 -£4.17 -3.2 2.00, 2.30
Bill Turner 13 176 7.4 -£56.88 -32.3 1.25
Michael Appleby 2 29 6.9 -£20.00 -69.0 3.00, 3.35
Laura Mongan 9 131 6.9 -£19.50 -14.9 12.55, 3.35
Jamie Poulton 12 178 6.7 -£10.75 -6.0 12.55
Brendan Powell 17 256 6.6 -£93.00 -36.3 3.35
Michael Quinn 10 164 6.1 -£93.28 -56.9 2.00, 4.05
Eve Johnson Houghton 4 69 5.8 -£38.25 -55.4 4.05
J W Hills 11 196 5.6 -£107.29 -54.7 4.05
John Bridger 17 336 5.1 -£146.13 -43.5 3.00
Richard Guest 4 79 5.1 -£56.00 -70.9 12.55, 2.00, 2.30, 3.35
Mark H Tompkins 5 101 5.0 -£66.00 -65.3 1.25, 3.00, 4.35
Eric Wheeler 4 86 4.7 -£24.50 -28.5 12.55
Zoe Davison 3 68 4.4 -£15.50 -22.8 4.05
Christine Dunnett 3 109 2.8 -£81.00 -74.3 2.00
Jimmy Fox 1 48 2.1 -£41.50 -86.5 12.55, 2.30
Terry Clement 1 51 2.0 -£47.00 -92.2 3.00

Wolverhampton trainer stats ALL RACES 2006 – Thursday
(ordered by strike rate – min 3 runs or 1 win)

Trainer Wins Runs Strike Rate (%) Profit ROI (%) Engagements
Oliver Sherwood 1 4 25.0 £0.00 +0.0 5.15
Mark Johnston 112 504 22.2 +£13.74 +2.7 3.15
Michael Bell 33 152 21.7 -£4.70 -3.1 5.15
Don Cantillon 7 34 20.6 -£7.97 -23.4 4.15
George Baker 35 181 19.3 +£18.46 +10.2 3.45
Andrew Reid 8 45 17.8 +£47.00 +104.4 3.45
Marco Botti 48 275 17.5 +£12.23 +4.4 2.40
Hughie Morrison 20 126 15.9 -£16.23 -12.9 4.45
Joseph Tuite 3 19 15.8 +£0.38 +2.0 2.05, 4.15, 5.15
Kevin Ryan 100 689 14.5 -£139.04 -20.2 2.05, 5.15
Ian Williams 39 285 13.7 +£11.24 +3.9 3.45
David Simcock 27 199 13.6 -£30.87 -15.5 2.40, 4.45
Frank Sheridan 20 167 12.0 +£87.00 +52.1 4.45
Michael Easterby 39 330 11.8 -£63.33 -19.2 2.40
John Mackie 21 178 11.8 +£94.10 +52.9 5.15
Daniel Mark Loughnane 9 77 11.7 +£19.50 +25.3 5.15
Reg Hollinshead 91 787 11.6 -£7.96 -1.0 2.05
Tom Keddy 11 97 11.3 +£45.90 +47.3 2.40, 3.15
David Evans 111 991 11.2 -£196.59 -19.8 2.40, 3.15, 4.15, 4.45
Noel Quinlan 4 36 11.1 -£21.93 -60.9 3.45
Jane Chapple-Hyam 12 109 11.0 -£27.13 -24.9 2.40
James Given 33 302 10.9 -£27.21 -9.0 3.15
Richard Fahey 63 599 10.5 -£100.24 -16.7 2.40, 3.15, 4.15
Peter Niven 5 48 10.4 +£11.25 +23.4 2.05
Jo Hughes 1 10 10.0 +£7.00 +70.0 2.40, 3.15, 4.45, 5.15
Rod Millman 13 132 9.9 -£51.45 -39.0 2.40
Julia Feilden 15 158 9.5 -£23.13 -14.6 3.15
Gordon Elliott 2 24 8.3 -£19.06 -79.4 3.45, 4.15
Brian Baugh 43 517 8.3 -£82.80 -16.0 2.05, 4.45
James Unett 19 231 8.2 -£60.97 -26.4 5.15
Richard Guest 19 242 7.9 -£112.38 -46.4 3.15
Conor Dore 24 336 7.1 -£173.63 -51.7 3.15
Philip Kirby 2 30 6.7 -£20.00 -66.7 3.45
John Wainwright 2 31 6.5 -£18.00 -58.1 2.05
Ray Peacock 4 68 5.9 +£0.50 +0.7 2.05
Alex Hales 3 51 5.9 -£32.50 -63.7 3.45
Robin Bastiman 2 43 4.7 -£32.00 -74.4 2.05
Michael Appleby 4 151 2.7 -£103.50 -68.5 3.15, 4.15, 5.15

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