Over Under Soccer Bet

Louise the lady soccer tipster who uses her maths degree to battle the bookmakers with had a great weekend last weekend with five out of seven winning over under soccer bets.  ( Rather than try and be a jack of all trades she is firmly focussed on the over under betting market )

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Saturday Free Football Betting Tips

A nice winner last weekend up here from Phil the ex bookmaker.

We have another few football betting tips from him this weekend.

Swansea v Reading (3:00pm)
OVER 2.5 Goals at Evens (2.0) Ladbrokes 39/40 (1.98) Pinnacle  1pt

West Brom v QPR (3:00pm)
West Brom TO WIN at 10/11 (1.91) Coral Betfred Tote BoyleSports PaddyPower 1pt

NB These are not all his advices for this weekend. Just a few of them.

More for today Saturday and also one  premiership betting tip for Sunday in the full member area

over at the Football Bets site.

It is only £1 to get in and sample with your own eyes the advices from an ex bookmaker  with a  very impressive proofed long term profit record.

To visit his site click here ==> Football Bets





Football – Bet of The Week

2 pts West Bromwich Albion to beat Newcastle in the Championship 13/10 Bet365 (Saturday 8th August 5.30pm ko – Live on the BBC)
blog price comment: that price has now gone best available as I type is 11/10 Betfred
As you can probably tell from my ante post preview, I’m not expecting Newcastle to do very well this season. The club is in turmoil. Owner Mike Ashley cannot sell the club for love nor money and until he does everything is in limbo. Alan Shearer has now made television commitments for the new season and probably won’t be their new manager, which may not be a bad thing. As it stands, Chris Hughton is caretaker boss and he is literally working on a week by week basis, knowing that somebody else is likely to come in and take over sooner rather than later. Consequently, Newcastle have brought in no new players and are slowly offloading their top earners. Michael Owen, Obafemi Martins, David Edgar, Sebastian Bassong and Habib Beye have all left the club whilst Danny Guthrie is currently injured. The departures or Owen and Martins severely weaken the Newcastle attack but even more crucial is the departure of defenders Bassong and Beye, leaving a threadbare looking back line. They were beaten 6-1 by Leyton Orient in a pre season friendly recently and their preparations for the new season could not have been any worse.
West Brom have lost manager Tony Mowbray to Celtic but they have a promising replacement in Roberto Di Matteo and more importantly, they have kept their squad together. Scott Carson, Giannni Zuiverloon, Neil Clemet, Robert Koren, Jonathan Greening, Chris Brunt and James Morrison should all do very well at this level whilst Swindon’s prolific goalscorer Simon Cox has been added to the attack. The Baggies are favourites to win the Championship and I don’t think you will get too many opportunities to back them at odds against this season. Newcastle are artificially short for the title in my opinion just because of the size of the club. They will be a major scalp to every Championship side and I think they will be lucky to scrape into the play offs once everything has been sorted out. West Brom should really be odds on in my opinion and I can see money coming for them before kickof.
The Oracle
The Oracle is a professional soccer odds compiler by trade.
He runs his own soccer betting advice site in his spare time.
One thing you will find there is a FREE football betting course / guide.
Interested? click here == > football betting course

Saturday Premier League Bet

Stoke v Newcastle Saturday 11th April 5.30pm ko Live on Setanta  

H2H in Premier League

06/12/2008 Newcastle United 2-2 Stoke City


WON 8 53% 9/10
DRAW 4 27% 11/4
LOST 3 20% 4/1
OVER 2.5 GOALS 5 33% 2/1
UNDER 2.5 GOALS 10 67% 1/2
0-0 DRAW 2 13% 7/1


WON 3 15% 11/2
DRAW 8 40% 6/4
LOST 9 45% 6/5
OVER 2.5 GOALS 13 65% 8/15
UNDER 2.5 GOALS 7 35% 15/8
FOUR GOALS OR MORE 6 30% 23/10
0-0 DRAW 3 15% 11/2


OVER 2.5 GOALS 1 100% -
UNDER 2.5 GOALS 0 0% -
0-0 DRAW 0 0% -


STOKE 2.5 2.1 2.9
NEWCASTLE 2.8 3 2.6


Premier League 01/03/2009 Aston Villa 2-2 Stoke DRAW
Premier League 04/03/2009 Stoke 2-0 Bolton WON
Premier League 14/03/2009 Everton 3-1 Stoke LOST
Premier League 21/03/2009 Stoke 1-0 Middlesbrough WON
Premier League 04/04/2009 West Brom 0-2 Stoke WON


Premier League 01/03/2009 Bolton 1-0 Newcastle LOST
Premier League 04/03/2009 Newcastle 1-2 Man Utd LOST
Premier League 14/03/2009 Hull 1-1 Newcastle DRAW
Premier League 21/03/2009 Newcastle 1-3 Arsenal LOST
Premier League 04/04/2009 Newcastle 0-2 Chelsea LOST

TEAM NEWS Newcastle are without defenders Steven Taylor and Jose Enrique.   Joey Barton and Mark Viduka are closing in on a return but won’t start training again until next week.   Forwards Shola Ameobi and Peter Lovenkrands also remain on the sidelines.   Stoke have the luxury of a near fully fit squad to choose from, Mamady Sidibe is their only absentee.  

STOKE Squad: Sorensen, Wilkinson, Shawcross, Abdoulaye Faye, Higginbotham, Lawrence, Delap, Whelan, Etherington, Beattie, Fuller, Simonsen, Pugh, Cresswell, Olofinjana, Kelly, Camara, Sonko, Amdy Faye, Diao, Cort, Tonge, Griffin.    

NEWCASTLE Squad:Harper, Forster, Krul, Beye, Bassong, Coloccini, Edgar, Cacapa, Butt, Duff, R. Taylor, Gutierrez, Nolan, Guthrie, Geremi, Smith, Martins, Owen, Carroll, Xisco, Ranger.      


STOKE                                                                         NEWCASTLE

Ricardo Fuller 8 Michael Owen 8
James Beattie 6 Obafemi Martins 7
Mamady Sidibe 3 Shola Ameobi 4
Ryan Shawcross 3 Damien Duff 3
Rory Delap 2 Steven Taylor 3
Abdoulaye Faye 2 Peter Lövenkrands 2


STOKE                          5/4      44%

DRAW                          12/5      29%

NEWCASTLE                11/4      27%      


MATCH:   Stoke’s win at West Brom last week was their first on the road this season. It moved them six points clear of the relegation zone and was their third win in four games. They are now unbeaten in six and victory over Newcastle tomorrow would move them nine points clear of the drop zone. Stoke’s home record is up there with that of the big four and they are unbeaten at the Britannia stadium by anyone outside the top six. It is a very difficult place to go and Stoke have kept four clean sheets in their last five home games.

Newcastle on the other hand, are a team in deep trouble. They have no wins in six and just one win from their last fifteen. The club has been nothing short of a circus this season and whilst the appointment of Alan Shearer as manager has pleased the fans, it could well be the final nail in the coffin. Shearer has no experience of management whatsoever and will be hard pressed to get performances out of the same limited pool of talent that far more experienced managers failed with. If we compare his appointment to that of Kevin Keegan, we can see that Keegan took eight games to win his first game. Shearer has just seven to keep Newcastle up.   Appalling away form has been a problem several different Newcastle managers have failed to solve. This season, the Geordies have won just two of fifteen away games. Last season they won just three of nineteen. Going back to the start of last season therefore, Newcastle have won five out of thirty four away games. That’s a win percentage of just fifteen and the equivalent fixed odds price is 11/2. We can say, therefore, that since the start of last season, the true chances of a Newcastle victory away from home is represented by odds of 11/2. Consequently, it is strange that Newcastle are as short as 7/4 to beat Stoke tomorrow considering this price represents 36%, more than double their average win ratio?   Newcastle have lost one of the best keepers in the league in Shay Given, and will be without Steven Taylor and Jose Enrique at the back tomorrow. The loss of Taylor could be especially painful as he would have played an important role against a very direct Stoke side with a significant aerial threat. Joey Barton is still missing in midfield and Michael Owen and Obafemi Martins are still struggling for sharpness after long injury layoffs.   Stoke fought back from two goals down to earn a point at St James’ Park earlier in the season and are more than capable of winning on their own patch. I think that the “Shearer affect” has been given far too much weight and it is interesting to see that Ladbrokes and the Tote are just 6/5 about a home win. The 8/5 on offer by Coral is definite value.

GOALS:   Stoke home games average just 2.1 goals per game whilst Newcastle away average 2.6. Under 2.5 goals is rightfully favourite but offers little value at 8/11. The reverse fixture earlier in the season saw four goals but a repeat is unlikely tomorrow. Stoke have been a lot more solid at the back recently and with Owen and Martins lacking sharpness, I wouldn’t be surprised to see Stoke win to nil.

GOALSCORERS:   James Beattie has bagged six goals for Stoke since signing in January and is a fair price at 15/8 to score anytime with Corals. He should also be on penalty duty and is just 5/4 with Hills. If you want a few quid on someone at a bigger price then you could do worse than backing Ryan Shawcross at 25/1 with Victor Chandler to score the first goal. Shawcross has been particularly dangerous from set pieces recently scoring in three of Stoke’s last five games.


Best Wishes

The Oracle