Saturday, November 27th, 2010 at
11:16 am
The below is todays lay selection from a well researched and live tested approach called Terrys Lays.
Terrys lays are one of the many things you get as a full member of www.PunterProfits.com. Selections are emailed out daily.
So far in 2010 with a one point lay on each selection you would be in the region of 55 points ahead !
The method has further proven similar past success however over past years as well.
Long term strike rate is a very comfortable 85%
PunterProfits provide a detailed spreadsheet of historic results.
Obviously a useful aid to anyone seeking to refine their personal staking plan.
For details click this link ==> Horse Laying Tips
Today’s selection from this method is
6.20 Wolv – Sworn Tigress
Currently layable at about 7/4 on Betfair
Saturday, May 1st, 2010 at
12:00 pm
Saturday Horse Racing Stats
The below was provided by RacingTrends
for more info click here ==> Horse Racing Blog
=====================================
Sat May 1st 2010
Best races for favourites
2.55 Thirsk
4.15, 5.25 Newmarket
6.45 Doncaster
Trainer stat to note
W Haggas has a good record with horses off track for 8+ weeks assuming they start in the top 3 of the betting. His strike rate is around 30% with profits of just under 30%. He runs Shamali in the 1.55 Newmarket and he is currently 3rd favourite.
Best race for front runners
5.15; 5.45 Thirsk
Strong course trainer stats
Doncaster trainer stats
| Trainer |
Wins |
Runs |
Strike Rate (%) |
Profit |
ROI (%) |
Engagements |
| M P Tregoning |
5 |
13 |
38.5 |
+£3.30 |
+25.4 |
8.20 |
| H R A Cecil |
7 |
34 |
20.6 |
+£12.00 |
+35.3 |
7.15 |
Newmarket trainer stats
| Trainer |
Wins |
Runs |
Strike Rate (%) |
Profit |
ROI (%) |
Engagements |
| J H M Gosden |
80 |
416 |
19.2 |
+£115.79 |
+27.8 |
5.25 |
| J R Best |
10 |
56 |
17.9 |
+£56.75 |
+101.3 |
3.05, 3.05, 4.15 |
| H Candy |
14 |
85 |
16.5 |
+£33.25 |
+39.1 |
3.40 |
| A P O’Brien |
16 |
98 |
16.3 |
+£21.89 |
+22.3 |
3.05, 3.05, 3.05 |
Saturday, March 20th, 2010 at
12:43 pm
LINGFIELD 4.10
7/4 Becausewecan, 9/2 Dance The Star, 7/1 Cluain Alainn,
Samarinda, 10/1 Cashpoint.
This is a nasty framed race with 7 runners. Its a 0-92 handicap over 12 furlongs.
There has been 176 similar races at this time of year.
If you look at 4 year olds like BECAUSEWECAN who are having their
seasonal debuts when they have had 9 or more career starts their strike
rate dips dramatically and they have a 1-35 record with that winner having
far less weight. That would encourage me to oppose him first time out from his career high
handicap mark. Equally no 4yo first time out debutant was like
CLUAIN ALAINN and he wouldnt interest me either. I think it is asking too
much of CASHPOINT to win this from a maiden and a small stable.
I think its between DANCE THE STAR and SAMARINDA who finished
2nd and 5th in the same handicap last time. DANCE THE STAR has a solid chance.
Statistically SAMARINDA has an excellent profile as a 7yo running well last time.
All his wins have been at shorter but he hasnt had a chance to show he stays properly
at 12f. He ran well over 12f last time but that was inconclusive.
He is probably value but DANCE THE STAR did beat him last time.
I think I would have to bet one and save on another.
As SAMARINDA is better handicapped and a better price I’d see him as the best
option. Therefore DANCE THE STAR has to be the danger
but SAMARINDA the bet at around 7/1
SELECTION – SAMARINDA
7/1 Betfred Bet365
Guy Ward
The Mathematician
To read more from Guy click here Horse Betting Blog
Saturday, July 18th, 2009 at
12:47 pm
This bet comes from the NH Portfolio over at www.PunterProfits.com
The Nh Portfolio is actually a collection of six different horse racing systems.
Todays bet qualifes under not just one system but two.
Hostorically these “double qualifers” have produced stronger results than the single qualifers. ( which are pretty darn good anyhow )
Over ten years or so of records these double qualifers have produced a strike rate of 46% and a return on investment of over 20% at starting price.
Market Rasen 4.50 Arctic Shadow SYSTEM A & D
Best priced 15/8 centrebet
lots of 7/4 available as well Ladbrokes , bsquare , Bet365 etc.
Saturday, July 4th, 2009 at
11:21 am
This is a small snippet from a comprehensvive
client message from Dave Renham over at www.RacingTrends.co.uk
COURSE FAVOURITE STATS
This section looks at the stats for favourites at courses in certain
race types
(data taken from 2002 to 2008)
Beverley favourites
|
Race
type
|
Wins
|
Runs
|
Strike
Rate %
|
Profit
|
ROI
%
|
Race
times
|
|
3yo
handicaps
|
46
|
175
|
26.3
|
-£29.69
|
-17.0
|
3.20,
4.25
|
|
3yo+/4yo+
handicaps
|
99
|
381
|
26.0
|
+£1.36
|
+0.4
|
2.45,
3.55
|
|
3yo+
maidens
|
24
|
59
|
40.7
|
-£4.23
|
-7.2
|
5.00
|
|
3yo
only maidens
|
12
|
26
|
46.2
|
-£4.02
|
-15.5
|
|
|
2yo
maidens
|
51
|
125
|
40.8
|
-£0.96
|
-0.8
|
2.15
|
Carlisle favourites
|
Race
type
|
Wins
|
Runs
|
Strike
Rate %
|
Profit
|
ROI
%
|
Race
times
|
|
3yo
handicaps
|
26
|
87
|
29.9
|
+£3.07
|
+3.5
|
9.05
|
|
3yo+/4yo+
handicaps
|
35
|
184
|
19.0
|
-£41.77
|
-22.7
|
7.05,
8.35, 9.35
|
|
3yo+
maidens
|
11
|
16
|
68.8
|
+£2.31
|
+14.4
|
|
|
3yo
only maidens
|
4
|
12
|
33.3
|
-£4.63
|
-38.6
|
|
|
2yo
maidens
|
33
|
72
|
45.8
|
+£7.84
|
+10.9
|
7.35
|
Haydock favourites
|
Race
type
|
Wins
|
Runs
|
Strike
Rate %
|
Profit
|
ROI
%
|
Race
times
|
|
3yo
handicaps
|
46
|
167
|
27.5
|
-£21.25
|
-12.7
|
2.20,
4.35
|
|
3yo+/4yo+
handicaps
|
86
|
387
|
22.2
|
-£34.40
|
-8.9
|
2.55,
5.10, 5.45
|
|
3yo+
maidens
|
31
|
49
|
63.3
|
+£21.61
|
+44.1
|
|
|
3yo
only maidens
|
22
|
41
|
53.7
|
+£4.64
|
+11.3
|
|
|
2yo
maidens
|
51
|
140
|
36.4
|
+£2.45
|
+1.8
|
|
Leicester Favourites
|
Race
type
|
Wins
|
Runs
|
Strike
Rate %
|
Profit
|
ROI
%
|
Race
times
|
|
3yo
handicaps
|
36
|
132
|
27.3
|
-£13.31
|
-10.1
|
2.30
|
|
3yo+/4yo+
handicaps
|
60
|
246
|
24.4
|
-£7.02
|
-2.9
|
3.35,
4.10
|
|
3yo+
maidens
|
24
|
47
|
51.1
|
+£1.85
|
+3.9
|
5.20
|
|
3yo
only maidens
|
23
|
43
|
53.5
|
+£11.64
|
+27.1
|
|
|
2yo
maidens
|
59
|
157
|
-£37.60
|
-20.28
|
-12.9
|
|
Nottingham Favourites
|
Race
type
|
Wins
|
Runs
|
Strike
Rate %
|
Profit
|
ROI
%
|
Race
times
|
|
3yo
handicaps
|
49
|
183
|
26.8
|
-£15.98
|
-8.7
|
8.50
|
|
3yo+/4yo+
handicaps
|
75
|
313
|
24.0
|
-£28.74
|
-9.2
|
6.20,
8.20, 9.20
|
|
3yo+
maidens
|
21
|
50
|
42.0
|
-£8.55
|
-17.1
|
|
|
3yo
only maidens
|
36
|
85
|
42.4
|
-£6.96
|
-8.2
|
|
|
2yo
maidens
|
61
|
184
|
33.2
|
-£30.12
|
-16.4
|
7.20,
7.50
|
Sandown favourites
|
Race
type
|
Wins
|
Runs
|
Strike
Rate %
|
Profit
|
ROI
%
|
Race
times
|
|
3yo
handicaps
|
53
|
208
|
25.5
|
-£19.36
|
-9.3
|
4.55,
5.30
|
|
3yo+/4yo+
handicaps
|
70
|
250
|
28.0
|
+£26.14
|
+10.5
|
2.40
|
|
3yo+
maidens
|
15
|
26
|
57.7
|
+£7.85
|
+30.2
|
|
|
3yo
only maidens
|
10
|
28
|
35.7
|
-£2.75
|
-9.8
|
|
|
2yo
maidens
|
42
|
102
|
41.2
|
+£8.36
|
+8.2
|
|
Saturday, June 6th, 2009 at
12:21 pm
Derby Racing System Bets
These bets come from a system that has been devised after examining the past 22 years of The Derby.
Long Term Results are
Bets 42
Wins 14
Profit +£59.25 (to £1 level stakes)
Return on Investment +141.1%
14 winning years out of 21 (Strike Rate 67%)
Pretty impressive stats I am sure you would agree.
Qualifiers for this year’s Derby are
Sea The Stars best price 3/1 centrebet
and
Black Bear Island best price 9/1 William Hill
The System is question is part of the Big Race Systems bonus package over at www.RacingTrends.co.uk
Saturday, May 23rd, 2009 at
11:55 am
The racing system bets below come from a system called The 50% System.
So called as the strike rate going back over years of research has been .. you guessed it, 50%.
This is one of the systems monitored over at www.PunterProfits.com
50% SYSTEM -
2.45 Bev ORPEN ARMS
5.10 Newm SEAWAY
5.45 Catt WINGED HARRIET
