Saturday Football Bet

VALUE OUTSIDERS

1PT Bristol Rovers to beat Stockport in League one 2/1 Coral or 9/5 PaddyPower and B365

(Saturday 15th August, 3.00pm KO)

We hit the bar backing the other Bristol side last week but hopefully Rovers will be capable of holding on to a 2-0 lead with less than ten minutes of normal time remaining. Sorry, I’m still a bit bitter about last week as you can probably tell. In all seriousness, I think Rovers look a good bet at a nice price on Saturday. Under normal circumstances, you wouldn’t usually be rushing to back a side that had just sold their twenty nine goal top scorer from the previous season. However, although the departure of Ricky Lambert is an obvious blow to Bristol Rovers, I think that they have capable replacements in Duffy and Kuffour, both of whom managed double figures last season. They will be eager to take their chance to build a reputation for themselves and persuade manager Paul Trollope that he doesn’t need to go and spend a lot of money on another striker. Rovers are a decent league one side and have benefited from a board that has kept faith with a young manager. Paul Trollope is beginning his fifth season at the Memorial ground and he has built a useful team with minimal resources. Trollope is actually the second longest serving manager in the division and the tenth longest serving manger in the country, which is some achievement considering the modern day craziness that sees managers sacked one game into a new season?

The main reason for this bet however, is that Stockport County just have to be opposed right now and a 2/1 quote from Coral was just too big to miss out on. Stockport were placed into administration at the end of last season and are still struggling badly. They punched above their weight for much of last year but have since lost manager Jim Gannon along with most of their best players in McNulty, Dicker, Rowe and Pilkington. There have been no new arrivals of any note over the summer apart from manager Gary Ablett. I am not convinced Ablett is going to be the man for the job at all and his record is far from inspiring. He has never managed in the football league and has just a spell as a youth coach at Everton and a stint as Liverpool reserve manager on his CV. He was only available after Liverpool terminated his contract at the end of last season.

Ablett has a very limited squad to work with and no money for new players. In a situation like this you need experienced players to see you through, yet Stockport have probably got the most inexperienced squad in the football league. The twelve players Ablett used at Oldham last week had an average age of just twenty two. Eight of them were under twenty three and the oldest player was just twenty seven. Although they left Boundary Park with a point last week, this was thanks to a man of the match performance from goalkeeper Fon Williams and was followed up by a 3-1 cup defeat at Huddersfield. The Hatters look nailed on for relegation and I will be looking to oppose them as often as prices allow. Paul Trollope seemed confident of getting a win in his pre match interview and I have to agree with him:

“Stockport are in a little bit of transition with a new manager and I’m sure Gary is trying to mould things how he’d like them – although that can take a little bit of time.

“We are confident that if we can produce the football we’re capable of and defend right, we can win the game.”

The Oracle

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Football Tip For Saturday

Saturday Football Bet From The Oracle at Football Bets

1pt Huddersfield to beat Stockport in league one, 12/5 Skybet or 9/4 Tote (Saturday 28th February 3pm ko)

I’ve said before that I felt Stockport are a club punching above their weight this season, and I think they are on the verge of a significant downturn. They have been enduring financial difficulties for some time now and managing director Mark Magurie quit earlier this month. They had to sell two of their best players in January to balance the books and are left with a young squad thin on numbers. Anthony Pilkington was one of the players sold in January and he was their top scorer at the time. He will return to Edgeley Park tomorrow as a Huddersfield player.

Things came to a head this week when Brighton made an approach for Stockport’s manager Jim Gannon. It was Gannon who masterminded Stockport’s promotion last season and if he leaves I think Stockport could be in real trouble. I say “if” he leaves, because he turned down the Brighton job in the end. However, in a statement during the week, Gannon declared:

“I don’t think any other manager would’ve put up with what’s gone on in the last six months.

“My position became untenable a long time ago.”

This suggests that even though he has turned down Brighton, he will be leaving sooner rather than later. All this is likely to have an extremely unsettling affect on the squad. They lost away at Colchester on Tuesday and I think another defeat is likely to follow tomorrow.

Huddersfield have had the week to prepare for this fixture and have sold out their away allocation. They have a squad full of talented players and I think it is only a matter of time before they put together a run of results. Victories over Leeds and Peterborough in the last month are good evidence of what they are capable of. I think they are a big price to take advantage of Stockport’s troubles tomorrow.

Minimum price to take – 15/8

The Oracle

To visit the Oracle’s site Click Here ===> Football Betting Tips