Course Favourite Statistics

Saturday, July 25th, 2009 at 11:29 am  
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COURSE FAVOURITE STATS – this section looks at the stats for favourites at today’s courses in certain race types (data taken from 2002 to 2008)

This is just a small section of a very comprehensive horse racing statistics message provided daily by the excellent www.RacingTrends.co.uk

( give it a go.. get your money back with their 30 day refund guarantee if not for you in the end )

  Ascot favourites  

Race type Wins Runs Strike Rate % Profit ROI % Race times
3yo handicaps 18 70 25.7 +£7.38 +10.5 3.15, 5.35
3yo+/4yo+ handicaps 49 240 20.4 -£36.47 -15.2 1.25, 3.50

  York favourites  

Race type Wins Runs Strike Rate % Profit ROI % Race times
3yo+/4yo+ handicaps 75 334 22.5 +£11.46 +3.4 2.35, 3.45, 4.50, 5.25
2yo maidens 35 95 36.8 +£0.11 +0.1 4.15

  Newmarket July favourites  

Race type Wins Runs Strike Rate % Profit ROI % Race times
3yo handicaps 40 155 25.8 -£6.77 -4.4 2.50, 4.35, 5.10
3yo+/4yo+ handicaps 83 333 24.9 -£15.02 -4.5 2.20, 3.25
2yo maidens 62 161 38.5 +£2.82  +1.8 1.50, 4.00

  Newcastle favourites  

Race type Wins Runs Strike Rate % Profit ROI % Race times
3yo handicaps 29 94 30.9 +£12.41 +13.2 4.10
3yo+/4yo+ handicaps 67 320 20.9 -£29.66 -9.3 4.45, 5.20, 6.25
2yo maidens 44 122 36.1 -£3.71 -3.0 3.00, 3.30

  Salisbury favourites  

Race type Wins Runs Strike Rate % Profit ROI % Race times
3yo handicaps 20 106 18.9 -£35.98 -33.9 8.40
3yo+/4yo+ handicaps 54 262 20.6 -£67.37 -25.7 6.00, 8.10
3yo+ maidens 18 49 36.7 -£7.14 -14.6 7.35
3yo only maidens 24 52 46.2 +£15.24 +29.3  
2yo maidens 36 119 30.3 -£17.79 -14.9 7.05

  Lingfield (turf) favourites  

Race type Wins Runs Strike Rate % Profit ROI % Race times
3yo handicaps 28 93 30.1 +£22.80 +24.5 7.55
3yo+/4yo+ handicaps 49 186 26.3 +£7.63 +4.1 5.45, 6.15, 8.25
3yo+ maidens 31 73 42.5 -£3.31 -4.5 7.20
3yo only maidens 6 12 50.0 -£1.57 -13.1  
2yo maidens 47 92 51.1 +£9.51 +10.3 6.45

Info provided by RacingTrends. To visit their site click here ==> UK Horse Racing Advice

Betting Advice For Salisbury

Saturday, July 11th, 2009 at 11:42 am  
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I have a few what I deem stronger bets today but out of respect for clients who pay for my betting advice I must unfortunately refrain from putting them up here.

Still I have an interesting angle for at a race at Salisbury later with a couple of decent priced contenders.

SALISBURY 6.20

BATHWICK TYRES NOVICE AUCTION STAKES
(CLASS 5)(2yo) 6f

6/4 Raine’s Cross, 13/8 Dick Turpin, 8/1 Drift And Dream
12/1 Emma Dora, 12/1 Perfect Ch’I, 25/1 Pherousa
25/1 San Cassiano, 33/1 Fantastic Pick, 33/1 Weliketobouggie 66/1 Bush Master, 66/1 Chocolate Cookie.

This race is a 6f Novice Auction Contest. Salisbury has
12 renewals of this race. This is a race where Fillies have
dominated. They lead 9-3 in the 12 races and there has
been fewer Fillies run as well. They should really be 10-2
ahead as one year they had no chance of winning. I feel
a male horse can win but if they do you know they will
turn out to be pretty smart. Considering unraced horses
are 0-17 in this race lets take out the unraced males first
so SAN CASSIANO and WELIKETOBOUGGIE are out. I cant see a case for BUSH MASTER. No past winner dropped in trip and the male FANTASTIC PICK does not appeal. CHOCOLATE COOKIE doesnt appeal as a debutant and no filly was beaten more than 10 lengths last time so PHEROUSA has to go.

The issue is whether the 3 remaining fillies EMMA DORA – PERFECT CH’I
or DRIFT AND DREAM can beat the a male who has Group form in RAINE´S CROSS and a male that has won his only race in DICK TURPIN. Its much better to come from an Auction maiden so I will take out EMMA DORA. I respect the males but feel the Fillies are advantaged in a race like this. I plan to bet one and save on the other

SELECTION – DRIFT AND DREAM 10/1 Bet365 S James Betfred
SAVER – PERFECT CH’I 16/1 blue sq VC

best wishes
Guy

To visit Guys site Click Here ==> Horse Racing Tips