Scottish Football Betting Advice

Scottish Football Betting Advice

The following is a tip from Tammboy over at the Football Bets site.

Tammboy is an ex bookmaker odds compiler who has now turned his hand to winning cash

for his clients.

So far this season his strike rate is over 50% and perhpas even more impressive is a return on investment in the 40% region !!

This is just one of several bets he has today.

SPL – Kilmarnock WIN @ Evs (vs. St Mirren) – 3 Star Bet ( Bet365, Ladbrokes, PaddyPower )

Analysis

Kilmarnock vs. St Mirren

Kilmarnock are in good form having won their last 4 games on the trot. They’ve been strong at home managing to beat Celtic too. St Mirren haven’t been quite as impressive having not won any in their last 6, their away form in woeful too so this rates as a good bet at Evens for Kilmarnock to win.

To finfd out more about him click here ==> Football Betting Advice

Trainers Who Send Just One Horse To A Meeting

In Uk Horse Racing it is often judged by punters a positive sign if a trainer sends just one horse to a meeting. The assumption made may be that if he is going to the expense and trouble to transport just one horse all the way to a course he must have good reason.

Is this just an old wives tale or is there some truth in it?

Dave Renham from PunterProfits.com trawled through about 5 years of National Hunt Horse Racing Results to try and get to the truth of things.

He made the assumption that each trainer would take a different attitude so he researched everything on a trainer by trainer basis.

For members over there he produced a downloadable spreadsheet with all the key facts and info such as strike rates and return on investment listed.

The full spreadsheet can be downloaded at the link below.

Note however you have to be a full member of punterprofits.com to get it.

http://www.punterprofits.com/profit/index.php?showtopic=10247

In respect to Dave and the members there I don’t want to detail all his research here however here are a few selected facts from his research for two of the top National Hunt Trainers

Trainer Runners Wins Strike rate (%) Profit ROI (%)
PF Nicholls 354 114 32.2 £24.04 6.8
D Pipe 268 62 23.1 £38.51 14.4

( ROI = Return On Investment .. a measure of profitability )

As you can see if one of these two trainers sends just one horse to a meeting it can indeed be taken as a positive sign.

Word of warning however .. not all trainers think the same way.

Dave’s fuller research details where this can be taken as a positive sign and where it should be ignored.

Interestingly it is even more positive than the above with some of the mid range / not so well known  trainers.

If you have been burnt by so called miracle systems and the sellers who hype them up you may start to come round to the conclusion that the only way to get ahead in your racing betting  is via knowledge and hard work.

If you have reached that stage of your racing betting career yet the continual research carried out by Dave over at PunterProfits.com should be of interest to you in keeping you ahead of the field on the Exchanges.

Horse Racing System Bet For Saturday

This bet comes from the NH Portfolio over at www.PunterProfits.com

The Nh Portfolio is actually a collection of six different horse racing systems.

Todays bet qualifes under not just one system but two.

Hostorically these “double qualifers” have produced stronger results than the single qualifers. ( which are pretty darn good anyhow )

Over ten years or so of records these double qualifers have produced a strike rate of 46% and a return on investment of over 20% at starting price.

Market Rasen 4.50 Arctic Shadow  SYSTEM A & D

Best priced 15/8 CentreBet

lots of 7/4 available as well Ladbrokes , BSquare , Bet365 etc.

One Bet Per Month

The “One Bet Per Month” thread is running over in the full member area of www.PunterProfits.com

The rough idea is that several key contributers contribute one strong or good value bet each month each.

( with several contributers and some somethimes stretching beyond just one each month there is more than one bet per month on the thread )

This concentration and focus is paying dividends so far with 15.5 points profit at SP from 40 selections.

That’s a healthy return on investment of over 38 % !

There is a selection for today.

4.40 Chester Act Of Kalanisi best priced at 5/4 Ladbrokes and VC.

Roughly the same on Betfair.

To visit PunterProfits click here ===> Horse Racing Systems

Horse Racing Stats For Saturday

It always helps to understand the past when betting on horses.

Below are a few interesting facts for Saturday’s racing.

These are just a tiny tiny sample from the member message over at www.RacingTrends.co.uk

Positive Stat

Pegasus Lad   (1:50 Sandown)      Mark Johnston – horses stepping up in trip from 1m or less and tackling at least 1m1f; SR 20.6% ROI +23.8%

Negative Stat

The Two G’s   (5:50 Lingfield)       Poor sire stat – Mark of Esteem 2yo non handicaps over 5f SR 3.3% ROI loss -71.3%

SR = strike rate

ROI = return on investment

figures based on about a decade of past horse racing history