Frankel Betting Offer

I got this in my inbox last night from Coral
It looks a pretty good offer that is open to both new and existing Coral customers alike.

You can look at it in several ways.

#1 -punt normally and get  a nice little free bet bonus if frankel wins

#2 – play tighter with a  bet at Coral then trade back on Betfair style approach to give yourself minimal risk / downside but with the potential of up to £100 in free bet from Coral if your selections win.

 

Frankel, my Darling, I don’t Give a Damn!

Will this be the fond farewell that the crowds will remember or have the Bookies made a canny move to pull on the heartstrings of sentimental Punters up and down the land – could this be a race too far for the mighty Frankel?

Coral Connect are pleased to offer their first ever promotion on such an auspicious occasion so don’t miss out on this original and attractive promotional idea.

Here are the important details…

Brief Description

Up to £/€100 in free bets if Frankel wins

Place a winning bet on any of the first 4 races at Ascot tomorrow and, we will match your winning stake with a free bet of the same value, if Frankel wins.

 

Significant T&C’s

UK/ROI £/€ customers 18+. Excludes shops. Win Singles/Win part of Each Way Singles refunded on first four Ascot races on 20 th Oct 2012 up to £/€25 per race as free bet if your selection wins and Frankel wins Ascot 16:05 on 20 th Oct 2012. Max total of free bets £/€100. Free bets cannot be withdrawn and each must be wagered in full on any Single sports bet. Not valid on Tote Pool betting. Free Bets valid for 7 days. Free bet stakes not included in returns.

Other T&C’s

 

  • Offer only applies to £/€ Coral customers aged 18 years or over whose accounts are registered in the UK & Republic of Ireland.
  • Offer is available to new & existing online, mobile or telephone customers only.
  • If you place a winning bet on any of the first 4 races from Ascot on Saturday 20/10/2012 (13:45, 14:20, 14:55 & 15:30) and Frankel goes on to win the 16:05 Ascot, we will refund win Singles & Win Part of Each Way Singles up to £/€25 per race as a free bet.
  • Customers will only be eligible to receive a maximum of 4 free bets up to £/€25 or less, to a total of £/€100.
  • The Free Bets will be in the form of free bet tokens and credited within 24 hours of bet settlements. Void bets do not count towards this promotion.
  • If Frankel does not win the Free Bet offer does not apply.
  • Free bet tokens will expire within 7 days of issue and each must be used in their entirety on any Single sports bet (excluding Tote pool betting).
  • Free bet tokens are non-refundable. Free bet stakes are not included in any returns.
  • This free bet offer cannot be used in conjunction with, or contribute to any other Coral.co.uk free bet offer or promotions.
  • Promoter: Coral Interactive (Gibraltar) Limited, Regal House, Queensway, Gibraltar

 

To visit the Coral site for more info click here ==> Coral

Betting For Bread

I recall a story from a cousin of mine who got a summer job
in a factory that baked bread.
His job was bagging the bread or feeding bags into a bagging machine.
The exact same type of bread would be put into two different kinds of bag.

One was supermarket own brand as sold for £x
One was a fancier branded bag and that bread sold for £2x

People were not paying more for better bread.
They were paying more for a better bag :)

The same applies in many walks of life.
Tipping no different.
Some tipsters put a lot of effort into glossy presentation and charge a premium.
Strangely many buyers of certain mentality are drawn to higher ticket price items
as they associate cost with quality.

When looking at a Tipster service try and bear the bread story above in mind.
Try and cut through the gloss hype and presentation and instead focus on the facts of numbers.
On the net the opposite is true as well of course.
There are sites and tipsters with good results
who do a bad job of glossy presentation and are available at cheapish fees.

One example of that perhaps is the full member forum at the PunterProfits site.
Within many skilled members post up their own system and tipping threads.
Presentation values may be low but the numbers look very good.

Up untill this week infact visitors to PunterProfits would have had little idea such profitable tipping threads existed there.
Dave however has just put up a new page where he summarises his favoured picks of member submitted tipping threads.
See info at this link ==> Horse Racing Tips

Some very imprerssive profits listed there I am sure you would agree.

One of the upsides PunterProfits members have of course is access to Dave’s regular horse racing research articles and indepth research pdf reports.
They learn from these and the feedback loop goes on to produce some very profitable member threads on the private board there.
The site I guess as well attracts some reasonably clued up experienced punters
who have gone beyond buying into hype and instead see the benefit of having well researched data to help them assess races.
Even the free membership there is worth having as free members get access
to certain research articles that can help educate them on various aspects of horse racing.

Euro 2012 – Great Free Stuff

There is an excellent FREE Euro 2012 research doc

over at ProGamblerBriefs.

Go Get Yours Now

There is a lot of great content in it you will enjoy.

It’s key purpose however to demonstrate the style of a more comprehensive
paid for version.

The full version is 230 pages of data any punter should be keen to read.

It is aimed at professionally minded punters seekign the edge attention to
fine detail can bring.

Should you invest in the full version there is a not too insignificant bonus.

The author will provide notes and analysis on daily matches via web site
and email.

The value of this aspect is perhasp undersold in the site.

To give you a better feel as to his credibility see an extract from his notes
for today

at the base of this email.

This is about half his message.

He also covers the Russia game in simillar fashion.

Actual final confirmed tip is removed from here but he does have a few for
today.

They are available in the site member area to those who

buy the big research report tournament daily notes package.

Anyhow..thumbs up from me.

I did help put his site up so am not 100% impartial.

Any of you who are long in the tooth however about your punting will

see this is quality stuff and well above the norm of usual drival out there.

At the very least go
get the free stuff.

———————————

Euro 2012 Day One 8 June 2012

And so it begins, a (number) day festival of football kicks off today at
tea-time with hosts Poland facing Greece. Russia play the Czech Republic later.

Fridays Fixtures:

Group A: Poland v Greece (Warsaw, 1700)

Group A: Russia v CzechRepublic (Wroclaw, 1945)

Before looking at the first game specifically it is probably worth looking
at the phenomenon of nervy opening day games at The Euros.

The Record Of Host Nations In The Tournament Curtain-Raiser

On first look it is hard to get animated about backing Poland for three points
at a short-ish best price of around 2.08 (-0.5) Asian Handicap.

With just two of the last eight nations to host or co-host the Euro Finals
obliging in their opening match – clearly nerves and the weight of national
expectation must always be factored into any calculations.

Poland will have the crowd, sure, but will the vocal backing inspire or inhibit
a new Poland side that are still to play their first competitive game together
after a program of friendlies since the World Cup qualifiers for South Africa
2010 ended in 2009?

Looking at the opening games of the last eight Euros final tournaments since
1988, West Germany, Sweden, England, Portugal, Switzerland and Austria have
all failed to claim a win on their tournament bow. The only opening day winners
in that time period were co-hosts Holland and Belgium in 2000. As hosts, Portugal,
Switzerland and Austria were all beaten while West Germany, Sweden and England
all played out 1-1 draws.

In general terms, the hosts have generally recovered from that initial flat
performance. West Germany, Sweden and England all reached the semi-finals
when they hosted their Euros. Indeed Portugal went one better finishing as
runners-up to Greeces setpiece winner in 2004 and they were arguably quite
unlucky not to lift the Henri Delaunay trophy.

However, that doesnt really give us a great steer on what to do specifically
with todays curtain raiser in Warsaw. For that we will need to dig into the
notes….

Group A: Poland v Greece (Warsaw, 1700)

Venue: National Stadium, Warsaw

The new national stadium is due to host the opening match between Poland and
Greece, games between Poland v Russia and Greece v Russia, a quarter-final,
and a semi-final of the UEFA Euro 2012 hosted jointly by Poland and Ukraine.

It is a multi-use stadium but crucially it doesnt have an athletics track.
That is great for producing an electric atmosphere in the ground. The capacity
is 58,000. As Polands top-rated stadium there are no issues. The stadium is
a positive for the home side.

Referee: Carlos Velasco Carballo (Spain)

“Velasco Carballo had his debut in the Spanish Primera Division in 2004.
He moved up to the UEFA elite category at the start of 2011.

In two years he graduated from the lower slopes of La Liga to the knock-out
stage of the Europa League: a very quick, indeed a worryingly quick apprenticeship
– especially so as at times Velasco Carballo has averaged as many as
six cards per game at certain points in Spain. Does that indicate a rashness
born of a lack of experience? If so, it could rear its ugly head at Euro 2012,
the refs first major international tournament.

The Spaniard must be considered to be a very inexperienced referee at this
level with only 34 top level games under his belt as a professional ref.

Match reports from The Champions League 2011-2012 Quarter final between Marseille
v Bayern Munich of 28th April 2012 definitely sets the alarm bells ringing.

The ref appears to have got caught up in the pace of the game which led to
him rewarding a rash of cards in the first half where not all these cards
were convincing. As the reviewer reports: “His decisions were okay,
his card policy remained a mystery to me and his fierce style is not to my
liking.”

I would be concerned that Velasco Carballos style of refereeing could lead
to overreaction under pressure at Euro 2012 and also to broken up games where
the flow of play could be severely disturbed by fussy refereeing.

The ref could be one to avoid if you are looking for goals and a flowing game
to bet in play.

He might be one to consider though if you are looking at high card mark-ups
or to back a sending off in specific games. Mr Velasco Carballo hasnt flashed
a red yet in anger but my sense is that he may not respond well to the increased
scrutiny of Euro 2012 as a result of his relative inexperience. I could easily
see him getting card happy as he loses the plot….He is one to treat with
care.”

The Game

Goran says: “In 2004 Greece had an identity, inspired by Rehagel, and
a gameplan that the players bought into, believed in and took confidence from.
Identity, belief, confidence these are massively valuable commodities at the
top levels of football where details, even the slightest edge can decide a
result.

But the Greece from 2004 and the latest Greece incarnation have nothing in
common.”

Greece travel with one of the weakest teams in the tournament. Gekas, Salpigidis
and Samaras as are not top level strikers. What we can expect from the Greeks
in this tournament is fighting spirit, early crosses from the flanks, deep
defending and counter attacking.

This Greece team will have problem holding onto the ball in attacking situations.
There is no-one capable of playing with their back to goal and linking the
play in the front three. Gekas is a veteran who only comes alive with a sight
of goal. At his best Samaras is a decent channel runner but he lacks heart,
strength and the consistency of technique required of an international frontman
in a serious side. The Celtic misfit is a jack of all trades and a master
of none. Salpigidis is full of energy but lacks football intelligence –
like Gekas his only interest is getting on the end of chances in space.

In midfield, the skipper Karagounis was a wonderful player and a hero of
2004, but he is way past his best. The rest of them are honest performers
but no more than that unless they hit a very good day.

The big negative for Greece is the injury to star man Sotiris Ninis the so-called
Greek Messi. He has been injured for the majority of the season and seems
really unlikely to start although he could feature from the bench. Ninis energy
is important to a Greek midfield that otherwise lacks mobility and pace.

Poland are a work in progress – not least because they havent played
competitively since 2009 and this is a new-look side that takes advantage
of the widely spread Polish diaspora for recruiting its personnel.

Despite that the experienced coach Franciszek Smuda claims he has known virtually
his entire starting XI for better or for worse for some time, and in the likes
of Borussia Dortmund trio Jakub Blaszczykowski, Robert Lewandowski and Lukasz
Piszczek, alongside the Arsenal goalkeeper Wojciech Szczesny he does have
a decent core at his disposal.

After a bold experiment that ended with a 6-0 hammering from Spain in Murcia,
Smudas lesson has been the one usually learned sooner rather than later by
coaches of limited teams. He has reconciled himself to the fact that in order
to successful he has to fit the system to the players he has – rather
than the opposite way around.

We should be prepared for counter-attacking football and for Poland to do
everything they can to support Lewandowski. That should mean direct, one-touch,
fast-played football, based on exploiting the talents of the squads few key
individuals rather than looking for an overall team-based pattern.

With a stronger spine to their side thanks to the Borussia Dortmund trio of
Lukasz Piszczek, Jakub Blaszczykowski (c) and Robert Lewandowski and with
Poland having the home crowd right behind them at a closed stadium (without
a perimeter running track) they simply have to fancy their chances in this
one. And it is a game they will have earmarked as a massive opportunity for
three points.

There is one obvious negative too.

At last count Smuda has eight players (more than a third of this Poland squad)
that could go to Euro 2012 shrouded in doubts on the back of poor form or
injury-hit seasons (or both). For a new Poland team, without the experience
forged by playing together in meaningful competitive internationals to fall
back upon, it is hard to see just how this Poland team will be able to hit
the ground running. They could be just starting to gel together as a side
by the time they play their third fixture in an albeit easy group.

Spain destroyed Poland with goals and shots flying in from everywhere two
years ago. Now the defending is allegedly much improved but it remains untested
in the heat of a proper game. Lack of communication between unfamiliar players
could be an issue and that must make them vulnerable at setpieces and against
midfield runners. Karagounis setpieces are a danger but at least midfield
runners will be in short supply for Greece.

Verdict

Poland look like the likelier winners here they have the better key men in
the Borussia Dortmund trio and home advantage in a tight, atmospheric ground
should boost them greatly.

The negatives are the general fear factor for opening day host sides, the
lack of team cohesion for Poland as a result of being a new side with no competitive
games having been played since 2009.

The referee is a wild card in this game. He could be out of his depth but
if anything he looks more likely to end up favouring the home side in his
decisions in terms of red cards and penalty awards.

Summary Of Todays Selections:

Giorgos Karagounis to be shown a card v Poland 3.1 Paddy Power (2.5 Skybet,
BoyleSports, Sportingbet, 3.33 Betfair) 0.25pt

Double: Both Teams Draw No Bet Poland to bt Greece and Russia to bt Czech
Republic pays: 2.2 Skybet, bet 365, Ladbrokes 0.5pt

Russia to bt Czech Republic Group A 2.58 Pinnacle (2.57 SBOBet, 2.52 188Bet,
2.5 bet 365) 0.5pt

Know Your All Weather Race Types

Know Your All Weather Race Types by David Renham

This is the second article in a series of three all weather articles – the first being on southwell Sires In this piece I am going to look at specific race types in attempt to help you, the reader, gain that important edge over “the crowd”. Many punters are put off the all weather due to the general standard of racing – low grade handicaps, claimers and sellers are regular events on the all weather circuit, but there are plenty of positive and negative angles that once appreciated can improve your chances of making a profit. The focus of this article is these lower grade contests.

The data for this article is taken from last six years; ROI stands for return on investment; SR stands for strike rate and LTO stands for last time out. Unless otherwise stated, all profit and losses are quoted to industry starting price.


Claiming races

Market – the top three in the betting have provided just under 74% of the winners. Favourites have an especially good record in all weather claimers scoring 35.6% of the time. Indeed backing all favourites “blind” would have yielded very small losses of 4%. Indeed backing all favourites since the inception of Betfair SP would have seen you break even and that is taking commission into account. Longer priced horses have a poor record and runners priced 16/1 or bigger show significant losses. Their record reads 73 wins from 3570 qualifiers (SR 2%) showing losses of £1473.00 to (ROI -41.3%). At the completely rank outsider stage – horses priced 80/1 or bigger have produced 425 consecutive losers with just 8 of them managing a place.

Last time out – horses that won LTO go on to win again just over 25% of the time in claimers, and backing all such runners would have produced losses of around 11%. Horses that won on the all weather LTO are much better betting propositions that horses that won on the turf LTO – strike rates of 26% against 15% confirm this. Indeed, regardless of LTO position, it is an advantage to have raced on the all weather LTO rather than on the turf LTO.

Age – interestingly older horses have a better strike rate than younger ones in all age claimers. Horses aged 3 to 5 have a combined strike rate of 8.7%, whereas horses aged 6 or older have a combined strike rate of 14.4%.

Sex of horse – In claimers colts, geldings and horses are 1.62 times more likely to win than fillies and mares.

Miscellaneous stats:

1. Horses that are racing for a new stable in all weather claiming races score around 9% of the time, but backing all runners would have lost you about 46% (46p for every £1 wagered);

2. Maiden runners have a poor record in claimers scoring just 6% of the time and losing around 37%;

3. Horses that have recorded 2 or more course successes have a decent strike rate of 17% and backing all runners would have yielded very small losses of 2.2%;

4. Horses having their first ever racecourse outing are worth avoiding with only 7 wins from 229 qualifiers (SR 3.1%). Backing all debutants would have produced significant losses of £149.50 (ROI -65.3%);

5. Horses that raced in a claiming race last time have a strike rate of 15%; compare this to horses that raced in a selling race last time whose strike rate is under 8%;

6. The following trainers secured a strike rate of 20% or better during the 6-year study (from at least 60 runners) – Tom Dascombe, Dandy Nicholls, Kevin Ryan, Jim Boyle, Jack Pearce, Gary Moore.

 

Selling races

Market – the top three in the betting have provided 71.7% of the winners with favourites winning a third of all races. Backing all selling favourites would have yielded a loss of 6.8%. There are two favourite stats worth noting; firstly horses priced 8/11 or shorter have scored over 70% of the time and backing them all would have produced a profit of 10%; secondly favourites returning to the track less than 10 days since their last run have provided 89 winners from 227 (SR 39.2%) for a profit of £19.55 (ROI +8.6%). Runners priced 25/1 or bigger have an extremely poor record – just 20 wins from 1887 qualifiers (SR 1.1%) showing huge losses of £1164.00 to (ROI -61.7%). Horses priced 50/1 or bigger have produced just 3 winners from 890 runners for losses of over 81%.

Last time out – horses that won LTO are not good propositions in selling races. They win roughly 1 time in 5 but backing all runners would have yielded losses of around 19%. One area worth noting is that horses that ran LTO in 3yo or all age maidens have a dreadful strike rate – they have provided just 14 winners from 317 qualifiers (SR 4.4%).

Age – as with claiming races, older horses have a better strike rate than younger ones in all age claimers. However, the bias is less pronounced. Horses aged 3 to 5 have a combined strike rate of 9%, whereas horses aged 6 or older have a combined strike rate of 12.2%.

Sex of horse – in sellers once again colts, geldings and horses have an edge over fillies and mares. However, it is not quite as clear cut as it was in claimers with the male to female success ratio in sellers standing at 1.4.

Miscellaneous stats:

1. Horses upped in class have won just 4.5% of the time; horses racing in the same class as LTO have won 10.3% of the time; horses dropping in class have won 11.4% of the time;

2. Trainers Peter Evans, Jim Boyle, Gary Moore and George Baker are trainers who have good records in selling races on the all weather;

3. Horses carrying high weights in sellers have a better strike rate than those carrying low weights. Horses carrying 9st or more have a strike rate of 12.6%; horses carrying under 9st have a strike rate of 8.8%;

4. For “in running” punters it should be noted that the early leader of a 5f seller goes on to win over 25% of the time.

 

Handicap races (class 6 or lower)

Market – the top three in the betting have provided just over 54% of the winners. Favourites win around 1 race in 4 (26% to be precise) for losses of under 7%. The most successful favourites in handicaps have been in 2yo nurseries – a strike rate of 30.4% and profits of 6%. 3yo only handicaps see favourites perform solidly thanks to a strike rate of 30.9% with losses amounting to less than 2%. Lingfield has been most successful track for low grade handicap favourites producing a break even situation to SP.

Last time out – LTO winners score 16.6% of the time, with losses standing at 19%. However, if the LTO winners return to the track within 7 days their strike rate increases to 24%. These quick returns score 37% of the time and reach a break even situation if they start favourite. However, beware of LTO winners that start 10/1 or bigger in the betting – they have won just 4.4% of the time with steep losses of 38%.

Horses that ran in handicaps LTO are better betting propositions that horses that ran in non handicaps LTO – strike rates of 9% against 6.5% confirm this. The returns for each category though do not totally mirror the strike rates with losses of 21% for runners that ran in handicaps LTO, compared with losses of 25% for runners who ran LTO in non handicaps.

Sex of horse – the male to female success ratio is 1.3 in low grade handicaps open to both sexes. Percentage losses for male runners stand at only 17% compared with 28% for females. It is also should be noted that female runners have really struggled at Lingfield – their strike rate at the Surrey track is just 5.6% and losses are over 40%. Male runners have a definite advantage over female runners in these handicaps.

Miscellaneous stats:

1. Female runners returning to the track after a break of 57 or more days have a poor record – just 92 wins from 1967 runners (SR 4.7%) for a loss of £788.17 (ROI -40.1%);

2. Colts when starting favourites have been fairly rare (around 40 per year). However, of the 225 qualifiers over the past 6 seasons, 86 have won (SR 38.2%) for a profit of £50.05 (ROI +22.2%);

3. Runners priced 25/1 or bigger have won 2.1% of the time for losses to SP of 25%. However, since Betfair Starting Price was introduced in 2008 you could have made a profit by backing them all at BSP. Despite having only 70 winners from 3717 runners, you would have made a profit of £730.88 (ROI +19.7%).

I hope this article has shown you that the all weather offers betting opportunities in all race types – you just need to do some digging!

—————————————————–

Dave Renham is a leading researcher into uk horse racing.

His site at www.PunterProfits.com contains a lot more of his research work. Some is free and some is member only. It’s a good site for racing realists who believe that knowing your stats is a likely root to success.

The private boards there contain many interesting and highly past profitable threads maintained by members of punterprofits who obvioulsy have learnt a trick or two from all Dave’s horse racing research teachings.


PunterProfits Christmas Sale

PunterProfits is a great site for thinking punters who appreciate the benefits of having lots of racing research work done for them.

Dave Renham has knocked up a few words below highlighting some of
the key things going on in the full member area now.

PS Note info at the bottom about the Christmas sale
:)

—————————————————————————-

PunterProfits is an on-line betting
community where punters share racing systems, betting ideas, tips, research
and the like. The content is mainly horse racing, but football does get an airing,
as does greyhound racing and other sports.

At first glance the
website may look a little over-whelming, as there is so many options
and places to check out. However, it is fairly straight-forward once
you get your bearings as essentially it is a forum with numerous threads.
The forum is split in different sections – the busiest two are ‘Racing-
Daily Tips’ and ‘Racing – Systems, Ratings’. These two sections
have several threads that are on-going and updated each day. Most members
follow threads that suit their betting style, as well as following the
more profitable ones!

One of the impressive
aspects about the threads on PunterProfits is how often big priced winners
are found. For example:

25/11/2010 – on the
aw pacey
thread Abulharith was tipped up going on to win at 50/1
and paying a massive 88.5 Betfair SP;

28/10/2010 – on the
October trainers
thread Educated Evans was a selection winning at
a huge 66/1 and paying roughly double that Betfair SP at 132.47. This
horse was also flagged up on the NH Trainer Report thread.

9/10/2010 – on the
Pacey
thread Tres Coronas won at 33/1 and paid a massive 86.49 on
Betfair SP;

8/10/2010 – on the
2 system to trial
thread No Supper won at 33/1 (BSP 49.18)

30/9/2010 – on the

Sam Specials thread Dance and Dance won at 33/1 (BSP 50.0)

28/9/2010 – on the
Draw Biases
thread, a tricast was landed producing a profit of £842.30
thanks to the 2nd and 3rd horses being priced
at 25/1 and 18/1 respectively. The bet was equivalent to a 36/1 winner.

30/7/2010 – on the
Sam Specials
thread Joseph Henry was advised at 40/1 and won (SP
was 28/1 and BSP 46.54).

7/7/2010 – on the
Sam Specials
thread Crown won at 50/1 paying 61.38 BSP.

21/6/2010 – on the Market Bias system

thread there was an incredible double with Blue
Aura winning at 25/1 (BSP 31.61) and half an hour later The Jailer winning
at 66/1 (BSP 94.57).

14/5/2010 – on the
Market Bias system
thread Ginger Ted won at 40/1 paying a huge 107.53
Betfair SP.

Several big priced
winners show that these are not just flashes in the pan. One aspect
of betting that we encourage at PunterProfits is the need to find VALUE.
To make regular profits from betting there is not one single method
that works, but getting value about your selections is key. We emphasise
the need to use early prices and/or Betfair to enhance profits. As you
will see from the Betfair SPs above, there is a huge advantage to using
Betfair SP especially on big priced runners.

Let me now look at
some of the threads in the full member’s area at PunterProfits:

Terrys Lays

This thread has been our most
successful laying thread since it was launched in July 2007. To date profits
stand at £16,456 to £100 per lay; even at just £20 per lay profits stand at
an impressive £3291.20. The method revolves about laying Racing Post forecast
favourites and has made a profit in each of the four years we have been running
it. This year’s profit stands at about £5000 to £100 per lay.

Southwell breeding thread

This thread revolves
around the fact that Southwell favours certain horses that are influenced
in their pedigree by American breeding. This had been running since
January 2010 and after 90 selections profits stand at +33.62pts to SP;
39.89pts to BSP. Hence £20 per selection at BSP would have yielded
a profit of £797.80. Selections occur mainly in the winter months as
this is when the majority of all weather meetings at Southwell take
place.

Sam’s Specials

This thread started
on June 10th 2010 and soon established itself as one of the
threads to follow. Sam looks at a variety of strong statistics each
day from which he makes his selections. By the end of November profits
stood at an impressive +192.74pts to advised prices; +153.16 using Betfair
SP at level stakes. At £20 per selection profits to advised prices
stand at a highly impressive £3854.80. No wonder he has a huge following.
He is not afraid to put up big prices and he started December in the
same vein as previous months with each way selection Ad Vitam finishing
2nd at 80/1.

Saintmartin’s
Daily Selections

This thread is one
for those who like high strike rates. He uses a staking system to aid
profits and at the end of November profits stood at +72.23 points. The
staking plan is a sensible one which increases only small amounts after
a loser. A very consistent thread.

Pacey/AW Pacey/NH
Pacey

There are three separate
threads run by the same member all based on the idea of pace bias. All
3 are in profit at the end of November 2010. Often horses are decent
prices and this is definitely a thread where it is SO IMPORTANT to beat
SP because although SP profits are excellent at +44.46pts, BSP profits
stand a huge +155.87pts. At £20 this is a difference in profit of £2228.20
– now that is going to make a big difference to most people.

Going Going Gone

This is a relatively
new thread focusing on horses that has shown strong preference for certain
types of going. To the end of November this thread had nailed 8 winners
from 50 for a profit of +21.33 to SP (BSP profit +34.49). Winners have
been a mixture of prices from 5/6 to 25/1. Looks one to keep a close
eye on.

Market Bias system

This has wound up for the year
as it concentrates on the summer months. However, it will be back in May. In
2010 profits stood at +124.75pts; in 2009 profits were +40.18. At £20 per bet
therefore these two summers would have yielded a fantastic profit of £3298.60.
The selections tend to be at the higher end so it is a thread that requires
patience. However, as you may have noted above this thread had a 66/1 winner
and a 25/1 winner on the same day this year.

NH Trainer Report

This thread notes selections
connected with strong trainer trends that were highlighted in the National
Hunt Trainer Report. The National Hunt Trainer Report is a 122 page
report that you receive for free if you join the full member’s area.
This thread had noted numerous winners in the first couple of months
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Trainer Records at Newmarket

Dave Renham Provides an informative service over at www.RacingTrends.co.uk

His clients tend to be canny punters who appreciate the importance of having good stats and information to hand when making betting decissions.

Below is just a tiny sample of some of the information they got from Dave today.

It is a quick and ready reconer to the top trainers at Newmarket.

Newmarket Trainer Stats

ALL RACES 2005-2009 (ordered by strike rate – 5 or more wins)

Trainer
Wins
Runs
Strike
Rate (%)
Profit
ROI
(%)
J
Bolger
8
26
30.8
+£22.57
+86.8
G
Swinbank
8
35
22.9
+£19.45
+55.6
J
Gosden
75
358
21.0
+£145.46
+40.6
T
Tate
5
24
20.8
+£28.00
+116.7
H
Cecil
33
162
20.4
+£8.81
+5.4
S
Bin Suroor
45
224
20.1
-£17.78
-7.9
J
R Best
9
49
18.4
+£61.75
+126.0
J
Portman
5
29
17.2
+£50.50
+174.1
H
Candy
11
69
15.9
+£27.75
+40.2
A
O’Brien
14
88
15.9
-£3.83
-4.4
R
Charlton
19
120
15.8
-£9.57
-8.0
M
Tregoning
11
71
15.5
+£3.58
+5.1
B
Smart
6
40
15.0
+£14.00
+35.0
Sir
M Stoute
50
344
14.5
-£69.18
-20.1
R
Beckett
11
83
13.3
+£33.13
+39.9
J
Noseda
30
229
13.1
-£72.77
-31.8
63
513
12.3
-£43.17
-8.4
W
Haggas
23
194
11.9
-£31.11
-16.0
R
Hannon
63
537
11.7
-144.36
-26.9
J
Fanshawe
22
194
11.3
-£81.00
-41.8
C
Cox
8
75
10.7
+£2.33
+3.1
R
Cowell
5
47
10.6
-£2.00
-4.3
B
Millman
5
47
10.6
-£4.80
-10.2
H
Morrison
12
115
10.4
-£13.63
-11.9
G
Butler
8
77
10.4
-£10.42
-13.5
A
Balding
12
116
10.3
-£4.00
-3.5
T
Mills
6
60
10.0
-£18.17
-30.3
E
Vaughan
5
51
9.8
-£21.25
-41.7
G
Huffer
5
51
9.8
+£7.25
+14.2
L
Cumani
15
154
9.7
-£53.72
-34.9
C
Wall
11
113
9.7
-£34.87
-30.9
6
62
9.7
+£34.50
+55.7
M
Johnston
24
251
9.6
-£57.75
-23.0
D
Elsworth
29
306
9.5
-£101.32
-33.1
M
Wigham
5
53
9.4
-£2.25
-4.3
W
Swinburn
8
87
9.2
-£18.44
-21.2
P
Chapple-Hyam
20
219
9.1
-£83.35
-38.1
M
Channon
33
372
8.9
-£67.63
-18.2
B
Meehan
30
355
8.5
-£83.21
-23.4
Miss
Gay Kelleway
8
95
8.4
-£1.50
-1.6
M
Jarvis
21
252
8.3
-114.29
-45.4
E
Dunlop
17
214
7.9
-£83.88
-39.2
N
Callaghan
13
167
7.8
-£66.75
-40.0
J
Toller
7
90
7.8
+£21.00
+23.3
T
Barron
5
67
7.5
-£29.67
-44.3
M
Bell
14
188
7.5
-£68.30
-36.3
Mrs
A Perrett
11
155
7.1
-£50.75
-32.7
W
Musson
7
99
7.1
-£28.00
-28.3
D
Nicholls
6
85
7.1
-£40.63
-47.8
J
Dunlop
24
349
6.9
-£123.25
-35.3
M
Quinn
5
75
6.7
-£18.50
-24.7
P
Cole
9
147
6.1
-£67.75
-46.1
W
Jarvis
6
104
5.8
-£71.47
-68.7
K
Ryan
8
139
5.8
-£50.00
-36.0
J
Pearce
5
93
5.4
-£48.00
-51.6
M
Tompkins
10
222
4.5
-£112.00
-50.5
C
Brittain
8
198
4.0
-£68.50
-34.6