Favourite Stats – National Hunt Racing

Knowing how favourites fare at different courses and for certain race types
is pretty useful information to be aware of before you place a bet.

If you fancy a favourite and the stats favourite back it up then you can go
at it with increased confidence.

On the other hand in situations where long term stats indicate favourites to
be poor value investments

you can perhaps lay the favourite or oppose it with a longer odds selection.

As a general rule the more you know, the more informed horse
betting
decisions you will be making.

Dave from RacingTrends has provided us with the below for today’s National
Hunt race meetings.

It is just a small snippet from a much more comprehensive horse racing stats
email his clients receive daily.

===================================

COURSE
FAVOURITE STATS NATIONAL HUNT –

this is
a section looking at the stats for favourites at courses in certain race types

Bangor-On-Dee
favourites

Race type

Wins

Bets

SR %

Profit

ROI %

Race times

handicap chases

30

126

23.8

-£27.18

-21.6

3.50, 5.00

novice / beginner chases

20

58

34.5

-£13.85

-23.9

3.20

handicap hurdles

35

129

27.1

-£7.25

-5.6

4.25

non handicap hurdles

59

134

44.0

-£10.42

-7.8

2.15

novice hurdles

42

95

44.2

-£6.95

-7.3

2.50

bumpers

8

24

33.3

-£0.14

-0.6

5.35

Kelso
favourites

Race type

Wins

Bets

SR %

Profit

ROI %

Race times

handicap chases

34

114

29.8

£5.88

5.2

3.30, 4.40

handicap hurdles

24

110

21.8

-£17.00

-15.5

3.00, 4.05

novice hurdles

32

71

45.1

£1.19

1.7

2.30

bumpers

2

13

15.4

-£7.77

-59.8

5.15

Newbury
favourites

Race type

Wins

Bets

SR %

Profit

ROI %

Race times

handicap chases

31

120

25.8

-£6.46

-5.4

2.05, 3.40, 4.15

handicap hurdles

19

73

26.0

-£4.69

-6.4

1.30, 2.40

novice hurdles

25

65

38.5

-£11.81

-18.2

3.10

bumpers

4

15

26.7

-£4.38

-29.2

4.50

Stratford
favourites

Race type

Wins

Bets

SR %

Profit

ROI %

Race times

handicap chases

38

149

25.5

-£11.61

-7.8

2.45, 3.45, 4.55

handicap hurdles

28

136

20.6

-£35.58

-26.2

4.20, 5.25

non handicap hurdles

61

159

38.4

-£21.12

-13.3

3.15

novice hurdles

30

81

37.0

-£20.19

-24.9

2.10

Provided by Dave Renham of www.RacingTrends.co.uk

PS if interested contact Dave, tell him you saw this post and ask if he has any free trial spots available.

National Hunt Horse Racing Statistics

National Hunt Horse Racing Statistics

As Michael Caine would say ..”not a lot of people know that”

Knowing more than most is a great position to be in when making betting decissions.

The info below is a snippet from todays message from Dave Renham’s RacingTrends Service.

It is a mere snippet.

His full message coantains much much more about favourite stats, trainer stats and draw bias etc.

RacignTrends is well worth a look if you are thinking punter who likes to do your own thing instead of blindly following tips. You will find Dave’s research a  great aid giving you racing insights most others do not have access to.

——————————————–


POSITIVE STATS – (TRAINER / SIRE / DRAW)

Please note – some are price** or going* dependent

4.30    Ayr – King Sandor **: Positive Sire Stats – King’s Theatre NH racing must be top 2 in the betting SR 34% ROI +14%) (win & pl 62%)

1.20    Newbury – Oasis Knight: N Henderson – hurdle races; off track for 6 months or more; class 2 or lower; SR 34% ROI +46% (win & pl 54%)

2.25    Newbury – Riverside Theatre **: Positive Sire Stats – King’s Theatre NH racing must be top 2 in the betting SR 34% ROI +14%) (win & pl 62%)

3.35    Newbury – Tiger O’toole **: Positive Sire Stats – King’s Theatre NH racing must be top 2 in the betting SR 34% ROI +14%) (win & pl 62%)

2.40    Warwick – Kilmurry **: Positive Sire Stats – King’s Theatre NH racing must be top 2 in the betting SR 34% ROI +14%) (win & pl 62%)

3.45    Warwick – Alfie Sherrin **: J O’Neill – novice/beginner chases must be priced 8/1 or shorter; NOT Grade 1 tracks SR 31% ROI +19% (win & pl 52%)

4.55    Warwick – Dark Shadow: N Henderson – 4yos on debut SR 36% ROI +36% (win & pl 57%)

4.55    Warwick – Theatre Guide **: Positive Sire Stats – King’s Theatre NH racing must be top 2 in the betting SR 34% ROI +14%) (win & pl 62%)

NEGATIVE STATS -

Please note – some are price** or going* dependent

5.05    Ayr – Glengap: Poor Sire Stats – Needle Gun in hurdles races; SR 4% ROI -74% (win & pl 21%)

4.05    Newbury – Jokers Legacy **: Poor Trainer Stat – T Vaughan – horses wearing headgear; must be 3rd or bigger in the betting; SR 5% ROI -64% (win & pl 20%)

4.40    Newbury – Star Neuville **: Poor jockey stat – A Mc Coy in bumpers; horses MUST BE priced 5/1 or bigger SR 4% ROI -70% (win & pl 19%)

Saturday National Hunt Favourite Statistics

COURSE FAVOURITE STATS NATIONAL HUNT – this is a section looking at the stats for favourites at courses in certain race types

Ayr favourites

Race type

Wins

Bets

SR %

Profit

ROI (%)

Race Times

handicap chases

43

130

33.1

+£3.90

+3.0

2.40, 3.15, 4.25

novice / beginner chases

30

51

58.8

+£5.63

+11.0

2.10

handicap hurdles

37

119

31.1

-£8.71

-7.3

3.50, 4.55

novice hurdles

38

74

51.4

-£6.82

-9.2

1.40

Newbury favourites

Race type

Wins

Bets

SR %

Profit

ROI (%)

Race Times

non handicap chases

29

61

47.5

-£5.80

-9.5

2.30, 3.40

novice / beginner chases

20

37

54.1

-£1.14

-3.1

1.30

handicap hurdles

26

88

29.6

+£5.35

+6.1

2.00

non handicap hurdles

53

118

44.9

+£6.42

+5.4

3.05

novice hurdles

40

90

44.4

+£3.77

+4.2

4.15

bumpers

10

43

23.3

-£9.52

-22.2

4.45

Warwick favourites

Race type

Wins

Bets

SR %

Profit

ROI (%)

Race Times

handicap chases

32

84

38.1

+£13.19

+15.7

3.20

novice / beginner chases

30

55

54.6

+£3.99

+7.3

1.45, 2.15

handicap hurdles

30

84

35.7

+£19.42

+23.1

2.50, 4.30

novice hurdles

30

79

38.0

-£19.42

-24.6

3.55

The above is just a small snippet of the horse racing statistics from the Saturday email of the RacingTrends service.

For those of you who are interested in self improvement .. a Free Horse Racing Course is also availalbe from RacingTrends.