Over Under Soccer Betting

Over Under Soccer Betting

A couple of football bets today from 99Reds over at the Football Bets service.

99Reds is an ex player manager so has a better feel for the game than most.
He is however a soccer stats freak and it is stats research that is the cornerstone of the long term
profitable record he has built up for clients there.

Here are a couple of his suggestionss for today

12.45pm   Liverpool to Beat Man Utd   8/5   Coral, Ladbrokes   1pt

1.00pm   Hereford v Shrewsbury   Over 2.5 goals   23/20   Hills   1pt

To visit his site clieck here ==> Football Betting Tips

.

Football Tip & Each Way Betting

This soccer betting advice actually comes from a service that
is predominantly a horse racing service.

Paul Ruffy who runs it has a good reputation in my book.
I have been receiving his tips for some time now and can confirm
he runs an honest service.

He specialises in exploiting each way betting.
This is one of the few mathematical chinks in the traditional bookmakers armoury.

He puts out the odd bonus sports bet like the below as well.

If at all interested in his service ..well the good news is he
offers a FREE TRIAL.
It is not very obvious on his site but click the link below scroll to page
base and hit the subscribe button.
You will then note the free trial option.

Click Here ==> Visit Paul’s Site

————————————————————————-

Bonus Bets

Aston Villa v Arsenal 12.45
Villa are unbeaten at home but Arsenal have a very good record at Villa
Park. The visitors are without Fabregas but Villa have a small and
inexperienced squad and are missing 5 midfielders in total. The “kids” that
have stepped in for Villa have done well, especially against Man Utd, but
probably the brightest of these young stars, Albrighton, is out today along
with Hogg. And Utd were way under par that day. The result will most likely
mean a midfield threesome of Bannan, Clark and Ireland. It is essentially a
makeshift team that Villa are fielding, they’ve been struggling to score
all season and I feel the likes of Arshavin, Van Persie, Nasri and Chamakh
will out-play them today. Arsenal have had a bad week, but as usual their
troubles tend to get blown out of proportion, up until the 50th minute
against Spurs things were looking very good, and previous away wins at
Everton and Wolves were more in character. The Gunners have the best away
record in the league.
Arsenal 2% stake @ 5/4 Coral
Arsenal -1 (asian handicap) 1.5% stake @ 21/10 Bet365

That’s my strongest football advice of the weekend, but I also think Stoke
are too big at 11/4 against City, that Chelsea will win at Newcastle, and
Tottenham (If van der Vaart plays) are decent at 11/10 v Liverpool. Arsenal
can also be backed at 8/13 in the “draw no bet” market with Bluesquare.
That price again looks value given that they haven’t lost at Villa Park
since 1998.

Weekend Football Betting

Weekend Football Betting Tottenham Hotspur v Newcastle United

Sunday 19th April 1.30pm ko Live on Sky

H2H in Premier League

2008/2009
21/12/2008 Newcastle 2-1 Tottenham
2007/2008
30/03/2008 Tottenham 1-4 Newcastle
22/10/2007 Newcastle 3-1 Tottenham
2006/2007
14/01/2007 Tottenham 2-3 Newcastle
23/12/2006 Newcastle 3-1 Tottenham
2005/2006
01/04/2006 Newcastle 3-1 Tottenham
31/12/2005 Tottenham 2-0 Newcastle
2004/2005
10/04/2005 Tottenham 1-0 Newcastle
21/08/2004 Newcastle 0-1 Tottenham
2003/2004
14/03/2004 Tottenham 1-0 Newcastle
13/12/2003 Newcastle 4-0 Tottenham r

HOME/AWAY AVERAGES (LAST 20 GAMES) TOTTENHAM HOTSPUR – HOME

WON 7 35% 15/8
DRAW 7 35% 15/8
LOST 6 30% 23/10
OVER 2.5 GOALS 6 30% 23/10
UNDER 2.5 GOALS 14 70% 2/5
FOUR GOALS OR MORE 3 15% 11/2
0-0 DRAW 4 20% 4/1

NEWCASTLE UNITED – AWAY

WON 3 15% 11/2
DRAW 8 40% 6/4
LOST 9 45% 6/5
OVER 2.5 GOALS 13 65% 8/15
UNDER 2.5 GOALS 7 35% 15/8
FOUR GOALS OR MORE 6 30% 23/10
0-0 DRAW 3 15% 11/2

H2H (LAST 5 SEASONS – 11 LEAGUE GAMES)

OVER 2.5 GOALS 7 64% 4/7
UNDER 2.5 GOALS 4 36% 7/4
FOUR GOALS OR MORE 6 55% 5/6
0-0 DRAW 0 0% -

THIS SEASONS GOAL AVERAGES PER GAME

THE PREMIERSHIP 2.5 HOME AWAY
TOTTENHAM HOTSPUR 2.3 1.6 3
NEWCASTLE UNITED 2.8 3 2.6

CURRENT FORM TOTTENHAM HOTSPUR - LAST FIVE GAMES

Premier League 07/03/2009 Sunderland 1-1 Tottenham DRAW
Premier League 15/03/2009 Aston Villa 1-2 Tottenham WON
Premier League 21/03/2009 Tottenham 1-0 Chelsea WON
Premier League 04/04/2009 Blackburn 2-1 Tottenham LOST
Premier League 11/04/2009 Tottenham 1-0 West Ham WON

NEWCASTLE UNITED - LAST FIVE GAMES

Premier League 04/03/2009 Newcastle 1-2 Man Utd LOST
Premier League 14/03/2009 Hull 1-1 Newcastle DRAW
Premier League 21/03/2009 Newcastle 1-3 Arsenal LOST
Premier League 04/04/2009 Newcastle 0-2 Chelsea LOST
Premier League 11/04/2009 Stoke 1-1 Newcastle DRAW

TEAM NEWS Roman Pavlyuchenko and Jermaine Jenas are both struggling with injuries and are rated doubtful.   Jermaine Defoe is back in training and could be involved for Tottenham.   Obafemi Martins, Steven Taylor Jose Enrique and Peter Lovenkrands are all doubts for Newcastle.   Joey Barton remains on the sidelines but Mark Viduka is back in the squad.

TOTTENHAM HOTSPUR Squad: Gomes, Corluka, King, Woodgate, Assou-Ekotto, Huddlestone, Lennon, Jenas, Bent, Modric, Keane, Palacios, Pavlyuchenko, Cudicini, Bale, Zokora, Bentley, Dawson, Chimbonda, O’Hara, Hutton, Campbell.  

NEWCASTLE UNITED Squad:Harper, Forster, Krul, Beye, Bassong, Coloccini, S. Taylor, Edgar, Cacapa, Butt, Duff, R. Taylor, Gutierrez, Nolan, Guthrie, Lovenkrands, Geremi, Smith, Martins, Owen, Viduka, Carroll, Xisco, Ranger.      

TOP SCORERS (LEAGUE ONLY)

TOTTENHAM HOTSPUR                                               NEWCASTLE UNITED

PLAYER Goals PLAYER Goals
Darren Bent 10 Michael Owen 8
Aaron Lennon 5 Obafemi Martins 7
Roman Pavlyuchenko 5 Shola Ameobi 4
Jermaine Jenas 3 Damien Duff 3
Robbie Keane 3 Steven Taylor 3
Jermain Defoe 2 Andrew Carroll 3

THE ORACLE’S MATCH PRICES (100% BOOK)

TOTTENHAM                 7/10      59%

DRAW                          14/5      26%

NEWCASTLE                11/2      15%      

ANALYSIS MATCH:   Tottenham are the form team coming into this one with five wins out of seven in the league. They were on course for six out of seven at Blackburn two weeks ago before a poor refereeing decision reduced them to ten men and they conceded two late goals. Tottenham’s form under Harry Redknapp has improved dramatically and they are now on course for a UEFA cup spot.   Newcastle are seven games without a win and have won once in sixteen. They are running out of games and have to start winning soon if they are to have any chance of staying up. Alan Shearer will be targeting three points from this one as a draw simply isn’t good enough at this stage of the season. Newcastle actually have a very good recent record against Tottenham, winning the last six in a row. However, those victories came under different managers and with better players. This current Newcastle side has one just three of their last twenty away games and I’ll be very surprised if they make it seven in a row on Sunday.   Newcastle have drawn twelve of their thirty two games this season which is more than any other Premiership side. At 3.9 on Betfair, the draw is possibly the value call in this market. However, with the carrot of European football in front of them and a near fully fit squad, I think Spurs will probably take all three points.

GOALS:   There is a strong history of high scoring games in this fixture with the last seven in a row featuring three or more and averaging 3.6 goals per game. Newcastle have one of the highest goals per game averages in the division at 2.8 goals per game and have kept just one clean sheet in their last fifteen. It is no coincidence that Shay Given left the club in January. Tottenham on the other hand have only averaged 2.3 goals per game and White Hart Lane has seen fewer goals than any other Premiership ground this season. I think this is partially down to Tottenham struggling in front of goal earlier this season and now that everyone is fit they look to have plenty of goals in the team.   There has never been a goal less draw between these two sides in the history of the Premiership. Newcastle have also scored more goals against Spurs than any other Premiership club. I think this could be an open game with both teams going for the win and consequently, I think evens about over 2.5 goals looks a bit of value here.

GOALSCORERS:   Robbie Keane is Tottenham’s main goal threat but at 13/8 doesn’t offer particular value. Newcastle’s Michael Owen does appear to be a shade of value at 11/4 to score anytime with PaddyPower. Owen has missed a large part of the season through injury but has fantastic goals to game ratio when he does play. He has had a few games to build up match fitness now and I expect to see his name on the score sheet sooner rather than later.  

RECOMMENDATIONS 1pt over 2.5 Goals evens Ladbrokes or 2.04 Betfair

Best Wishes

The Oracle

Football-Bets

Saturday Premier League Bet

Stoke v Newcastle Saturday 11th April 5.30pm ko Live on Setanta  

H2H in Premier League

2008/2009
06/12/2008 Newcastle United 2-2 Stoke City

HOME/AWAY AVERAGES (LAST 20 GAMES) STOKE – HOME (LAST 15 GAMES)

WON 8 53% 9/10
DRAW 4 27% 11/4
LOST 3 20% 4/1
OVER 2.5 GOALS 5 33% 2/1
UNDER 2.5 GOALS 10 67% 1/2
FOUR GOALS OR MORE 3 20% 4/1
0-0 DRAW 2 13% 7/1

NEWCASTLE – AWAY

WON 3 15% 11/2
DRAW 8 40% 6/4
LOST 9 45% 6/5
OVER 2.5 GOALS 13 65% 8/15
UNDER 2.5 GOALS 7 35% 15/8
FOUR GOALS OR MORE 6 30% 23/10
0-0 DRAW 3 15% 11/2

H2H (LAST 5 SEASONS – 1 LEAGUE GAME)

OVER 2.5 GOALS 1 100% -
UNDER 2.5 GOALS 0 0% -
FOUR GOALS OR MORE 1 100% -
0-0 DRAW 0 0% -

THIS SEASONS GOAL AVERAGES PER GAME

THE PREMIERSHIP 2.5 HOME AWAY
STOKE 2.5 2.1 2.9
NEWCASTLE 2.8 3 2.6

CURRENT FORM STOKE – LAST FIVE GAMES

Premier League 01/03/2009 Aston Villa 2-2 Stoke DRAW
Premier League 04/03/2009 Stoke 2-0 Bolton WON
Premier League 14/03/2009 Everton 3-1 Stoke LOST
Premier League 21/03/2009 Stoke 1-0 Middlesbrough WON
Premier League 04/04/2009 West Brom 0-2 Stoke WON

NEWCASTLE – LAST FIVE GAMES

Premier League 01/03/2009 Bolton 1-0 Newcastle LOST
Premier League 04/03/2009 Newcastle 1-2 Man Utd LOST
Premier League 14/03/2009 Hull 1-1 Newcastle DRAW
Premier League 21/03/2009 Newcastle 1-3 Arsenal LOST
Premier League 04/04/2009 Newcastle 0-2 Chelsea LOST

TEAM NEWS Newcastle are without defenders Steven Taylor and Jose Enrique.   Joey Barton and Mark Viduka are closing in on a return but won’t start training again until next week.   Forwards Shola Ameobi and Peter Lovenkrands also remain on the sidelines.   Stoke have the luxury of a near fully fit squad to choose from, Mamady Sidibe is their only absentee.  

STOKE Squad: Sorensen, Wilkinson, Shawcross, Abdoulaye Faye, Higginbotham, Lawrence, Delap, Whelan, Etherington, Beattie, Fuller, Simonsen, Pugh, Cresswell, Olofinjana, Kelly, Camara, Sonko, Amdy Faye, Diao, Cort, Tonge, Griffin.    

NEWCASTLE Squad:Harper, Forster, Krul, Beye, Bassong, Coloccini, Edgar, Cacapa, Butt, Duff, R. Taylor, Gutierrez, Nolan, Guthrie, Geremi, Smith, Martins, Owen, Carroll, Xisco, Ranger.      

TOP SCORERS (LEAGUE ONLY)

STOKE                                                                         NEWCASTLE

PLAYER Goals PLAYER Goals
Ricardo Fuller 8 Michael Owen 8
James Beattie 6 Obafemi Martins 7
Mamady Sidibe 3 Shola Ameobi 4
Ryan Shawcross 3 Damien Duff 3
Rory Delap 2 Steven Taylor 3
Abdoulaye Faye 2 Peter Lövenkrands 2

THE ORACLE’S MATCH PRICES (100% BOOK)

STOKE                          5/4      44%

DRAW                          12/5      29%

NEWCASTLE                11/4      27%      

ANALYSIS

MATCH:   Stoke’s win at West Brom last week was their first on the road this season. It moved them six points clear of the relegation zone and was their third win in four games. They are now unbeaten in six and victory over Newcastle tomorrow would move them nine points clear of the drop zone. Stoke’s home record is up there with that of the big four and they are unbeaten at the Britannia stadium by anyone outside the top six. It is a very difficult place to go and Stoke have kept four clean sheets in their last five home games.

Newcastle on the other hand, are a team in deep trouble. They have no wins in six and just one win from their last fifteen. The club has been nothing short of a circus this season and whilst the appointment of Alan Shearer as manager has pleased the fans, it could well be the final nail in the coffin. Shearer has no experience of management whatsoever and will be hard pressed to get performances out of the same limited pool of talent that far more experienced managers failed with. If we compare his appointment to that of Kevin Keegan, we can see that Keegan took eight games to win his first game. Shearer has just seven to keep Newcastle up.   Appalling away form has been a problem several different Newcastle managers have failed to solve. This season, the Geordies have won just two of fifteen away games. Last season they won just three of nineteen. Going back to the start of last season therefore, Newcastle have won five out of thirty four away games. That’s a win percentage of just fifteen and the equivalent fixed odds price is 11/2. We can say, therefore, that since the start of last season, the true chances of a Newcastle victory away from home is represented by odds of 11/2. Consequently, it is strange that Newcastle are as short as 7/4 to beat Stoke tomorrow considering this price represents 36%, more than double their average win ratio?   Newcastle have lost one of the best keepers in the league in Shay Given, and will be without Steven Taylor and Jose Enrique at the back tomorrow. The loss of Taylor could be especially painful as he would have played an important role against a very direct Stoke side with a significant aerial threat. Joey Barton is still missing in midfield and Michael Owen and Obafemi Martins are still struggling for sharpness after long injury layoffs.   Stoke fought back from two goals down to earn a point at St James’ Park earlier in the season and are more than capable of winning on their own patch. I think that the “Shearer affect” has been given far too much weight and it is interesting to see that Ladbrokes and the Tote are just 6/5 about a home win. The 8/5 on offer by Coral is definite value.

GOALS:   Stoke home games average just 2.1 goals per game whilst Newcastle away average 2.6. Under 2.5 goals is rightfully favourite but offers little value at 8/11. The reverse fixture earlier in the season saw four goals but a repeat is unlikely tomorrow. Stoke have been a lot more solid at the back recently and with Owen and Martins lacking sharpness, I wouldn’t be surprised to see Stoke win to nil.

GOALSCORERS:   James Beattie has bagged six goals for Stoke since signing in January and is a fair price at 15/8 to score anytime with Corals. He should also be on penalty duty and is just 5/4 with Hills. If you want a few quid on someone at a bigger price then you could do worse than backing Ryan Shawcross at 25/1 with Victor Chandler to score the first goal. Shawcross has been particularly dangerous from set pieces recently scoring in three of Stoke’s last five games.

RECOMMENDATIONS 2PTS STOKE TO BEAT NEWCASTLE 8/5 Coral

Best Wishes

The Oracle

www.PremiershipPreview.co.uk

Everton v Bolton

Everton and Bolton

1pt draw between Everton and Bolton in the Premiership, 13/5 Betfred, PaddyPower and Skybet (Saturday 7th February 3pm ko)

Everton have had an extremely tough couple of weeks. Their last five matches have all been against “big four” sides and all have been played in less than a three week period. Wednesday night’s cup replay against Liverpool lasted 120 minutes and would have taken a hell of a lot out of them. Everton’s game plan is based on hard work and they often take a very physical approach. After such a tough run of games I think they are going to be very tired on Saturday and considering Bolton are also a very physical side, I think Everton could be out muscled. The Toffees have a small squad and the same players have played in nearly every game. Fellani and Pienaar both picked up knocks on Wednesday and are doubtful. If they don’t make it the alternatives are teenagers Gosling and Rodwell or Andy Van Der Meyde who has hardly played in two seasons. They will have one new face in the squad as Jo was signed in the transfer window. However, he has hardly played in months himself and is severely lacking match fitness.

Everton have drawn five of their twelve home games this season and have won just three times at Goodison in the league. I expect Bolton to adopt quite a defensive approach and think Everton will struggle to break them down. Tim Cahill is likely to have to play up front on his own as Yakubu, Vaughan and Saha remain out injured, whilst Anichebe has been frozen out after a training ground bust up with David Moyes. Although Everton are always a threat from set plays, I think they are going to struggle to score from open play and could tire dramatically in the closing stages.

Bolton’s recent form has been encouraging. Narrow defeats to Arsenal and Man Utd, both of which were to late goals, were followed by a draw away at Blackburn and victory over Tottenham last week. They are not one of the better sides technically, but they will be difficult to break down and will fight for every ball, not the sort of side Everton want to be playing after such a gruelling few weeks. The reverse fixture at the Reebok stadium earlier this season was decided by an injury time Everton winner and I expect another tight game tomorrow. The draw is a big runner.

Minimum price to take – 9/4

To Visit the Oracle’s site click here ===> Soccer Betting Advice

WBX Premier League Free Bet Member Offers

WBX Premier League Free Bet Member Offers

WBX Members can take advantage of a range of fantastic Premier League free bet offers operating across four of this weekend’s biggest matches.

Wright Man for the Job

WBX Members that bet on any two soccer markets from the Man City vs. Middlesbrough fixture on Saturday 7th February 2009 will be credited with a free 5GBP back bet by WBX if Shaun Wright-Phillips scores a goal at anytime*.

The winger has flourished since his return to Eastlands and will be looking to sign off in style before serving a likely suspension.

Spaniard in the Works

WBX Members that bet on any two soccer markets from the Portsmouth vs. Liverpool fixture on Saturday 7th February 2009 will be credited with a free 5GBP back bet by WBX if Fernando Torres scores a goal at anytime*.

Torres was the match-winner for the Reds last time out in their victory over Chelsea and his side will need him to spark again in the absence of Steve Gerrard.

Keane is Mustard

WBX Members that bet on any two soccer markets from the Tottenham vs. Arsenal fixture on Sunday 8th February 2009 will be credited with a free 5GBP back bet by WBX if Robbie Keane scores a goal at anytime*.

Following his dramatic return to White Hart Lane the Irish striker will be desperate to mark his Spurs homecoming with a goal against their bitter rivals.

King Cole

WBX Members that bet on any two soccer markets from the West Ham vs. Man Utd fixture on Sunday 8th February 2009 will be credited with a free 5GBP back bet by WBX if Carlton Cole scores a goal at anytime*.

The West Ham forward has been in sensational form since the turn of the year and will be keen to impress once again versus the league leaders.

There are up to 14 markets on offer at WBX for every Premier League fixture including Correct Score, Half Time/Full Time, Match Odds and a range of Over/Under Goals markets.

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Football Tips – Free Trial

A brand new football tipping service launched today called PremiershipPreview.
I have arranged a free trial for you at the link below.

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Take up the free trial to pick up the other games this weekend and for the month to come.

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www.PremiershipPreview.co.uk               Friday, 09-Jan-2009
Stoke v Liverpool
Saturday 10th January 5.30pm ko Live on Setanta
 
 
2008/2009
Premier League
20/09/2008
Liverpool
0-0
Stoke City
 
 
HOME/AWAY AVERAGES (LAST 20 GAMES)
 
STOKE – HOME (Last 10 games as Stoke not in Premier League last year)
 
WIN
5
50%
evens
DRAW
2
20%
4/1
LOST
3
30%
23/10
 
 
 
 
OVER 2.5 GOALS
4
40%
6/4
UNDER 2.5 GOALS
6
60%
4/6
 
 
 
 
FOUR GOALS OR MORE
2
20%
4/1
0-0 DRAW
1
10%
9/1
 
 
LIVERPOOL – AWAY
 
WIN
10
50%
evens
DRAW
7
35%
15/8
LOST
3
15%
11/2
 
 
 
 
OVER 2.5 GOALS
7
35%
15/8
UNDER 2.5 GOALS
13
65%
8/15
 
 
 
 
FOUR GOALS OR MORE
5
25%
3/1
0-0 DRAW
3
15%
11/2
 
 
H2H (LAST 5 SEASONS – 1 LEAGUE GAME) (Stoke and Liverpool have only played one League game in last 5 years)
 
OVER 2.5 GOALS
0
0%
 
UNDER 2.5 GOALS
1
100%
 
 
 
 
 
FOUR GOALS OR MORE
0
0%
 
0-0 DRAW
1
100%
 
 
 
 
 
CURRENT FORM
 
STOKE – LAST FIVE GAMES
 
Premier League
 13/12/2008
Stoke
0-0
Fulham
Premier League
20/12/2008
Blackburn
3-0
Stoke
Premier League
26/12/2008
Stoke
0-1
Man Utd
Premier League
28/12/2008
West Ham
2-1
Stoke
English FA Cup
03/01/2009
Hartlepool
2-0
Stoke
 
 
LIVERPOOL– LAST FIVE GAMES
 
Premier League
 13/12/2008
Liverpool
2-2
HullCity
Premier League
21/12/2008
Arsenal
1-1
Liverpool
Premier League
26/12/2008
Liverpool
3-0
Bolton
Premier League
28/12/2008
Newcastle
1-5
Liverpool
English FA Cup
03/01/2009
Preston
0-2
Liverpool
 
 
 
 
TEAM NEWS
 
Ricardo Fuller is suspended for Stoke.
 
Andy Griffin, Amdy Faye and Leon Cort look likely to be ruled out through injury. Mamadie Sidibie is also a doubt but has a better chance of making it.
 
Positive news for Stoke is that Richard Cresswell returns from a ban and Dave Kitson is fit again. Matthew Etherington has also signed from West Ham.
 
Alvaro Arbeloa is still missing for Liverpool as is fellow right back Philip Degen. Therefore Carragher is set to continue at right back. Sami Hyypia, Daniel Agger and fit again Martin Skrtel will compete for the two centre back positions.
 
Aurelio returns at left back to replace Insua, who is now away on international duty with Argentina’s U20 squad.
 
Fernando Torres came off the bench to score in the FA cup last week and should start against Stoke.
 
 
 
 
 
TOP SCORERS (LEAGUE ONLY)
 
STOKE                                                             LIVERPOOL
 
PLAYER
Goals
 
PLAYER
Goals
Ricardo Fuller
6
 
Steven Gerrard
8
Mamady Sidibe
3
 
Robbie Keane
5
Abdoulaye Faye
2
 
Dirk Kuyt
5
Seyi George Olofinjana
2
 
Fernando Torres
5
Liam Lawrence
1
 
Alberto Riera
2
Danny Higginbotham
1
 
Xabi Alonso
2
 
 
 
 
 
THE ORACLE’S MATCH PRICES (100% BOOK)
 
STOKE                         10/1                   9%
DRAW                          4/1                    20%     
LIVERPOOL                  2/5                    71%
 
 
 
ANALYSIS
 
MATCH:
 
League leaders Liverpool travel to Stoke looking to open up a five point gap at the top of the premiership. Their away form is excellent with seven wins from ten and just a single defeat, which was a bit of a freak result against Spurs, in a game they had completely dominated. Stoke, like many promoted sides, started the season very well, but after the initial high of premiership football wore off, their results nosedived. Since beating Arsenal on November the first Stoke have won just once in nine league games, and that was a narrow victory against fellow strugglers WBA. In this time they have failed to score five times and are now facing a fourth defeat on the bounce. They were knocked out of the cup last week by league one Hartlepool, and have scored just once in five games. Their task of beating Liverpool is made all the more difficult by the suspension of top scorer Ricardo Fuller who was sent off against West Ham for slapping his own captain, Andy Griffin, across the face. This incident will surely have damaged morale in the dressing room too. Griffin will also be missing with an injury as will Amdy Faye. It all points to an away win, but best odds of 4/9 are not big enough to warrant backing. Stoke did manage a 0-0 draw at Anfield earlier in the season but they might be a little more adventurous at home and this will play into Liverpool’s hands. Liverpool “to win to nil” is almost a bet at 11/10 with Ladbrokes and the Tote but is just a little too short.
 
 
GOALS:
 
The stats above suggest that there will not be many goals in this one and under 2.5 goals at evens with Stan James and VC is worth a bet. From the tables above you can see that 65% of Liverpool’s last twenty away games have featured two goals or less. At the same time, Stoke’s home games this season have resulted in two goals or less 60% of the time. The previous fixture this season also finished 0-0 yet under 2.5 goals is available at evens, suggesting it is only a 50% possibility. When Manchester United visited Stoke earlier in the season they won by just a single goal, and when Chelsea visited they won by two goals to nil. Both these scorelines are strong possibilities on Saturday. Stoke are going to struggle to score without their top scorer and against a defence that has kept five clean sheets on the road already. Their approach should be negative enough to also ensure that Liverpool do not score more than two.
 
 
GOALSCORERS:
 
With a low goals expectancy, it generally means that anytime goalscorer bets should be avoided. Nobody stands out as any real value. If I had to pick someone out I’d have a couple of quid on either Sammi Hyypia or Daniel Agger to score first at 28/1, but check the line ups first.
 
 
 
RECOMMENDATIONS
 
1pt Under 2.5 goals Evens with StanJames and VC
 

Info for Sunday will be sent around lunchtime on Saturday

Best Wishes and good luck

The Oracle

www.PremiershipPreview.co.uk

Click Here ===> Football Tips – Free Trial