Cheltenham Racing Advice

A small snippet from todays message from the excellent www.RacingTrends.co.uk

3.35 Cheltenham – Cleeve Hurdle (Grade 2) – 3m

POSITIVE TRENDS

Market position: 8 of the last 10 winners came from the top four in the betting.
LTO course: 6 of the last 10 winners raced at either Cheltenham or Haydock last time out.
Position LTO: 8 of the last 10 winners finished in the first four LTO.
Beaten favourites: 13 beaten favourites have contested this race and 6 have won. Backing all runners would have produced a huge profit of £39.73 (ROI +305.6%).
Course form: 6 of the last 10 winners had previously won at Cheltenham.
Sex: Mares / fillies have had just 2 runners but both won!
Career wins: Horses with 6 or more career wins have provided 6 of the winners.

NEGATIVE TRENDS

Favourites (inc. joints): There have been 3 winning favourites (including joints) from 11 and backing all selections would have produced a loss of £4.90 (ROI -44.5%).
Position LTO: Horses that finished 5th or worst LTO have provided just 2 winners from 32 for a loss of £15.00 (ROI -46.9%).
Headgear: Horses wearing headgear have managed just 1 win from 20.
Price: All 28 horses priced 20/1 or bigger have been beaten. Only two of them have been placed (both 3rd).

GENERAL STATS

Trainers: Two wins apiece for Alan King and Howard Johnson.
Age: 5 year olds have provided 3 wins from 11 qualifiers (SR 27.3%); 6 year olds have provided 1 win from 18 qualifiers (SR 5.6%); 7 year olds have provided 1 win from 17 qualifiers (SR 5.9%); 8 year olds have provided 1 win from 13 qualifiers (SR 7.7%); 9 year olds have provided 4 wins from 14 qualifiers (SR 28.6%); 10 year olds or older have provided 0 winners from 15 qualifiers (SR 0%).

Trends analysis: favourites have struggled in recent years with just 1 win in the last 6 seasons. However, in general is a decent guide with 8 of the last 10 winners coming from the top four of the betting. Horses that raced at Cheltenham or Haydock last time out have done well as have beaten favourites. It also pays to look for a decent run LTO and a horse that has numerous career wins to his/her name. Female runners are rare but the 2 runners have both won. In terms of age, horses aged 10 or older have struggled (only 1 placed effort from 15 runners).

Trainer Stats For Newbury

COURSE TRAINER STATS FOR NEWBURY

These stats were provided by Dave Renham of www.RacingTrends.co.uk

RacingTrends members receive a wealth of well
researched horse racing information on a daily basis.

These Trainer For Course Stats are just the tip of the iceberg really.

RacingTrends is a useful service for those who do not like to follow simple tips like sheep but instead prefer to make their own betting decissions.

RacingTrends and all the well researched info provided daily cuts out a lot of the necessary grunt research work to such an approach.

ALL RACE TYPES 2005 – Thursday
25th Nov 2010

(ordered by strike rate – min 3 runs or 1 win)

Trainer
Wins
Runs
Strike Rate (%)
Profit
ROI (%)
P F Nicholls
62
231
26.8
+£12.23
+5.3
Nick Williams
7
27
25.9
+£29.21
+108.2
N J Henderson
59
287
20.6
-£14.38
-5.0
D McCain Jnr
4
20
20.0
+£17.83
+89.1
O Sherwood
9
49
18.4
+£32.71
+66.7
C R Egerton
8
46
17.4
+£26.11
+56.8
P J Hobbs
39
234
16.7
-£15.93
-6.8
Miss R Curtis
1
7
14.3
-£4.00
-57.1
J Howard Johnson
3
25
12.0
-£17.64
-70.5
M Bradstock
2
17
11.8
-£8.25
-48.5
T R George
8
68
11.8
+£2.33
+3.4
C L Tizzard
5
43
11.6
-£8.25
-19.2
D Pipe
13
113
11.5
-£12.73
-11.3
A King
18
194
9.3
-£53.35
-27.5
Jonjo O’Neill
12
131
9.2
-£61.00
-46.6
N J Gifford
4
44
9.1
-£11.00
-25.0
W J Greatrex
1
11
9.1
+£2.00
+18.2
Noel T Chance
4
53
7.6
+£2.75
+5.2
Miss Venetia Williams
8
107
7.5
-£51.35
-48.0
G L Moore
9
130
6.9
+£15.00
+11.5
A W Carroll
2
30
6.7
-£1.50
-5.0
K C Bailey
2
31
6.5
-£13.00
-41.9
N A Twiston-Davies
9
155
5.8
-£77.03
-49.7
P R Webber
4
80
5.0
-£59.50
-74.4
Miss E C Lavelle
4
93
4.3
-£55.50
-59.7
R Rowe
2
50
4.0
-£19.00
-38.0
Miss H C Knight
3
77
3.9
-£59.75
-77.6
R H Buckler
2
53
3.8
-£36.00
-67.9
Ian Williams
1
48
2.1
-£38.00
-79.2

Newbury Trainer Stats ALL
HURDLES 2005 – Thursday 25th Nov 2010

(ordered by strike rate – min 3 runs or 1 win)

Trainer
Wins
Runs
Strike Rate (%)
Profit
ROI (%)
Nick Williams
3
13
23.1
-£1.96
-15.1
P F Nicholls
21
96
21.9
-£14.20
-14.8
P J Hobbs
28
129
21.7
+£14.29
+11.1
N J Henderson
35
172
20.4
-£0.77
-0.4
Miss R Curtis
1
5
20.0
-£2.00
-40.0
J Howard Johnson
3
18
16.7
-£10.64
-59.1
O Sherwood
4
27
14.8
+£14.33
+53.1
T R George
4
29
13.8
-£1.67
-5.8
A King
12
114
10.5
-£44.68
-39.2
A W Carroll
2
22
9.1
+£6.50
+29.5
Noel T Chance
3
34
8.8
+£4.75
+14.0
D Pipe
5
57
8.8
-£37.48
-65.8
C L Tizzard
1
12
8.3
-£8.25
-68.8
D McCain Jnr
1
13
7.7
-£8.67
-66.7
N J Gifford
1
13
7.7
£0.00
+0.0
G L Moore
7
99
7.1
+£27.00
+27.3
Jonjo O’Neill
5
72
6.9
-£45.75
-63.5
Miss Venetia Williams
3
48
6.3
-£29.00
-60.4
Miss H C Knight
2
39
5.1
-£28.25
-72.4
P R Webber
2
39
5.1
-£29.00
-74.4
N A Twiston-Davies
3
68
4.4
-£16.90
-24.9
C R Egerton
1
24
4.2
+£10.00
+41.7
Miss E C Lavelle
2
49
4.1
-£32.00
-65.3
Ian Williams
1
35
2.9
-£25.00
-71.4

Newbury Trainer Stats ALL
CHASES 2005 – Thursday 25th Nov 2010

(ordered by strike rate – min 3 runs or 1 win)

Trainer
Wins
Runs
Strike Rate (%)
Profit
ROI (%)
W J Greatrex
1
2
50.0
+£11.00
+550.0
C R Egerton
7
18
38.9
+£20.11
+111.7
P F Nicholls
38
117
32.5
+£31.93
+27.3
K C Bailey
2
7
28.6
+£11.00
+157.1
M Bradstock
2
7
28.6
+£1.75
+25.0
O Sherwood
4
16
25.0
+£14.38
+89.8
D McCain Jnr
1
5
20.0
+£5.00
+100.0
Nick Williams
2
11
18.2
-£4.83
-43.9
N J Henderson
13
75
17.3
-£24.98
-33.3
C L Tizzard
4
25
16.0
+£6.00
+24.0
N J Gifford
3
19
15.8
+£1.00
+5.3
D Pipe
8
55
14.6
+£25.75
+46.8
T R George
4
36
11.1
+£7.00
+19.4
P J Hobbs
10
92
10.9
-£34.23
-37.2
A King
5
49
10.2
-£3.67
-7.5
R Rowe
2
20
10.0
+£11.00
+55.0
Noel T Chance
1
10
10.0
+£7.00
+70.0
Miss Venetia Williams
5
57
8.8
-£20.35
-35.7
N A Twiston-Davies
6
75
8.0
-£48.13
-64.2
Miss E C Lavelle
2
28
7.1
-£7.50
-26.8
Jonjo O’Neill
3
47
6.4
-£21.13
-44.9
P R Webber
1
20
5.0
-£15.00
-75.0
Miss H C Knight
1
21
4.8
-£14.50
-69.0
G L Moore
1
23
4.4
-£14.00
-60.9
R H Buckler
1
26
3.9
-£17.00
-65.4