2 year old maidens

Sometimes in life you come across arrogant sods who
deludedly believe they know everything about a subject.

Best thing to do is to pity a little such sorts as their attitude
can hinder them from learning and improving.

I will hold my hands up and say I most definitely
DO NOT know everything about betting.
The reality is I am learning all the time.

Just this week for example I learnt quite a bit about
2 year old maiden races..or more specifically those
that are run late in the season from September to November.

My teacher was Dave Renham ( ex racing post spotlight writer )
who produced a highly detailed research article
on this area of racing for full members over at the PunterProfits site.

Copied below is a small snippet from this research article
where Dave examines these late season 2 year old maidens
investigating how race favourites in such races fare dependant on trainer.

 

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Who are the trainers to follow when their 2yo maidens start favourite at this time of the year?

Here is a table showing all trainers that have secured 8 or more wins.

 

Trainer
Wins
Runs
SR%
Profit/loss
ROI%
Sir Mark Prescott
8
12
66.7
+£6.64
+55.3
Roger Charlton
22
39
56.4
+£14.36
+36.8
Henry Candy
8
16
50.0
+£8.96
+56.0
Bryan Smart
11
23
47.8
+£7.38
+32.1
Michael Bell
16
34
47.1
+£3.62
+10.7
John Gosden
44
94
46.8
+£13.10
+13.9
Mark Johnston
50
107
46.7
+£17.95
+16.8
Marcus Tregoning
10
22
45.5
+£2.67
+12.1
Sir Michael Stoute
50
118
42.4
-£0.57
-0.5
Saeed Bin Suroor
44
104
42.3
+£2.79
+2.7
Brian Meehan
23
55
41.8
+£1.80
+3.3
Paul Cole
10
25
40.0
-£1.75
-7.0
Tim Easterby
8
20
40.0
-£0.46
-2.3
Peter Chapple-Hyam
15
38
39.5
-£6.92
-18.2
Henry Cecil
13
33
39.4
-£3.10
-9.4
Mahmood Al Zarooni
9
24
37.5
+£3.64
+15.2
Richard Fahey
10
27
37.0
-£1.12
-4.1
William Haggas
12
33
36.4
-£5.28
-16.0
Amanda Perrett
9
25
36.0
-£4.40
-17.6
Mick Channon
19
54
35.2
-£2.70
-5.0
Jeremy Noseda
10
29
34.5
-£5.42
-18.7
Richard Hannon
34
100
34.0
-£1.94
-1.9
John Dunlop
20
75
26.7
-£28.54
-38.1
It is not surprising to see so many of the top trainers in this list. Many of their better two year olds will be running at this time of the season. Prescott, Charlton, Candy and Smart do have impressive records. On the other hand John Dunlop’s record is remarkably poor in comparison.
========================================
Picture a betting shop with 100 racing punters within in.
How many would have any clue what so ever about such cold hard facts?Most likely zero or possibly just one.
That one armed with more info than anyone else in the room… could be you.The PunterProfits full member area contains a wealth of such research on different topics.
There are also many opportunities to pick up simple to use daily tips if you
prefer to follow what others say as opposed to assess and calculate for yourself.

If at all interested in testing that site out, contact PunterProfits and
tell them you heard about them here on sports betting blog and ask
about a free trial for sports betting blog viewers.

To visit PunterProfits click here ==> Horse Racing Research


Saturday Horse Racing Stats

Saturday Horse Racing Stats

The below was provided by RacingTrends

for more info click here ==> Horse Racing Blog

=====================================

Sat May 1st 2010

Best races for favourites

2.55 Thirsk

4.15, 5.25 Newmarket

6.45 Doncaster

Trainer stat to note

W Haggas has a good record with horses off track for 8+ weeks assuming they start in the top 3 of the betting. His strike rate is around 30% with profits of just under 30%. He runs Shamali in the 1.55 Newmarket and he is currently 3rd favourite.

Best race for front runners

5.15; 5.45 Thirsk

Strong course trainer stats

Doncaster trainer stats

Trainer Wins Runs Strike Rate (%) Profit ROI (%) Engagements
M P Tregoning 5 13 38.5 +£3.30 +25.4 8.20
H R A Cecil 7 34 20.6 +£12.00 +35.3 7.15

Newmarket trainer stats

Trainer Wins Runs Strike Rate (%) Profit ROI (%) Engagements
J H M Gosden 80 416 19.2 +£115.79 +27.8 5.25
J R Best 10 56 17.9 +£56.75 +101.3 3.05, 3.05, 4.15
H Candy 14 85 16.5 +£33.25 +39.1 3.40
A P O’Brien 16 98 16.3 +£21.89 +22.3 3.05, 3.05, 3.05

Trainer Records at Newmarket

Dave Renham Provides an informative service over at www.RacingTrends.co.uk

His clients tend to be canny punters who appreciate the importance of having good stats and information to hand when making betting decissions.

Below is just a tiny sample of some of the information they got from Dave today.

It is a quick and ready reconer to the top trainers at Newmarket.

Newmarket Trainer Stats

ALL RACES 2005-2009 (ordered by strike rate – 5 or more wins)

Trainer
Wins
Runs
Strike
Rate (%)
Profit
ROI
(%)
J
Bolger
8
26
30.8
+£22.57
+86.8
G
Swinbank
8
35
22.9
+£19.45
+55.6
J
Gosden
75
358
21.0
+£145.46
+40.6
T
Tate
5
24
20.8
+£28.00
+116.7
H
Cecil
33
162
20.4
+£8.81
+5.4
S
Bin Suroor
45
224
20.1
-£17.78
-7.9
J
R Best
9
49
18.4
+£61.75
+126.0
J
Portman
5
29
17.2
+£50.50
+174.1
H
Candy
11
69
15.9
+£27.75
+40.2
A
O’Brien
14
88
15.9
-£3.83
-4.4
R
Charlton
19
120
15.8
-£9.57
-8.0
M
Tregoning
11
71
15.5
+£3.58
+5.1
B
Smart
6
40
15.0
+£14.00
+35.0
Sir
M Stoute
50
344
14.5
-£69.18
-20.1
R
Beckett
11
83
13.3
+£33.13
+39.9
J
Noseda
30
229
13.1
-£72.77
-31.8
63
513
12.3
-£43.17
-8.4
W
Haggas
23
194
11.9
-£31.11
-16.0
R
Hannon
63
537
11.7
-144.36
-26.9
J
Fanshawe
22
194
11.3
-£81.00
-41.8
C
Cox
8
75
10.7
+£2.33
+3.1
R
Cowell
5
47
10.6
-£2.00
-4.3
B
Millman
5
47
10.6
-£4.80
-10.2
H
Morrison
12
115
10.4
-£13.63
-11.9
G
Butler
8
77
10.4
-£10.42
-13.5
A
Balding
12
116
10.3
-£4.00
-3.5
T
Mills
6
60
10.0
-£18.17
-30.3
E
Vaughan
5
51
9.8
-£21.25
-41.7
G
Huffer
5
51
9.8
+£7.25
+14.2
L
Cumani
15
154
9.7
-£53.72
-34.9
C
Wall
11
113
9.7
-£34.87
-30.9
6
62
9.7
+£34.50
+55.7
M
Johnston
24
251
9.6
-£57.75
-23.0
D
Elsworth
29
306
9.5
-£101.32
-33.1
M
Wigham
5
53
9.4
-£2.25
-4.3
W
Swinburn
8
87
9.2
-£18.44
-21.2
P
Chapple-Hyam
20
219
9.1
-£83.35
-38.1
M
Channon
33
372
8.9
-£67.63
-18.2
B
Meehan
30
355
8.5
-£83.21
-23.4
Miss
Gay Kelleway
8
95
8.4
-£1.50
-1.6
M
Jarvis
21
252
8.3
-114.29
-45.4
E
Dunlop
17
214
7.9
-£83.88
-39.2
N
Callaghan
13
167
7.8
-£66.75
-40.0
J
Toller
7
90
7.8
+£21.00
+23.3
T
Barron
5
67
7.5
-£29.67
-44.3
M
Bell
14
188
7.5
-£68.30
-36.3
Mrs
A Perrett
11
155
7.1
-£50.75
-32.7
W
Musson
7
99
7.1
-£28.00
-28.3
D
Nicholls
6
85
7.1
-£40.63
-47.8
J
Dunlop
24
349
6.9
-£123.25
-35.3
M
Quinn
5
75
6.7
-£18.50
-24.7
P
Cole
9
147
6.1
-£67.75
-46.1
W
Jarvis
6
104
5.8
-£71.47
-68.7
K
Ryan
8
139
5.8
-£50.00
-36.0
J
Pearce
5
93
5.4
-£48.00
-51.6
M
Tompkins
10
222
4.5
-£112.00
-50.5
C
Brittain
8
198
4.0
-£68.50
-34.6