Over Under Soccer Bet

Louise the lady soccer tipster who uses her maths degree to battle the bookmakers with had a great weekend last weekend with five out of seven winning over under soccer bets.  ( Rather than try and be a jack of all trades she is firmly focussed on the over under betting market )

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Over Under Soccer Betting

Over Under Soccer Betting

A couple of football bets today from 99Reds over at the Football Bets service.

99Reds is an ex player manager so has a better feel for the game than most.
He is however a soccer stats freak and it is stats research that is the cornerstone of the long term
profitable record he has built up for clients there.

Here are a couple of his suggestionss for today

12.45pm   Liverpool to Beat Man Utd   8/5   Coral, Ladbrokes   1pt

1.00pm   Hereford v Shrewsbury   Over 2.5 goals   23/20   Hills   1pt

To visit his site clieck here ==> Football Betting Tips

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Soccer Betting Tips

Soccer Betting Tip

The following is a section of this weekends message from Tammboy
one of the expert advisors over at the football bets site.

Tammboy is an ex bookmaker trained odds compiler
now using his knowledge to help punters win cash
at soccer betting instead of his old bookmaker masters.

For more info on him go to ==> Soccer Betting Tips

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Ayr vs. Queen of the South

Bookmakers seem to have over-reacted to Ayr’s shock victory in the cup over Hearts.
Ayr sit bottom of the table and have conceded twice as many goals as scored so far this season.
They’re also part-timers and for that reason a tough midweek game against Hearts should
take its toll on Saturday. Queen of the South are full time and have had an extra day to recover.
That might not mean much but they’re also the superior side:
Queens won 3 of the 4 league games contested last season and at 7/4 looks a massive price.

SD1 – Queen of the South WIN @ 7/4 (vs. Ayr) – 1 Star Bet  at VC

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Saturday Football Betting Tips

This weekends free soccer betting tips come from 99Reds.

99Reds is an ex lower league manager and player who now uses his stats and ratings to find value in the soccer betting markets. He is one of a team of experts over at the Football Bets website.

His records there indicate you would be sitting on in excess of £5000 net profit had you backed each of his advices so far with a £100 level stake.

His fellow experts at the football bets website are also doing pretty well.

See here ==> Football Results

Anyhow here is what his stats and research indicate offers a bit of value for today.

Win Double   Forest and Norwich   23/20   Tote   1pt  -

Forest have 7 wins and 2 draws from their 9 games at home to bottom half teams plus
Preston have a number of injuries that will deplete them tonight and they have not
kept a clean sheet against a top half side away. In the game at Norwich,
Doncaster have multiple injuries and have only taken 2 points from 8 away
games against top half teams and they have also failed to keep a clean sheet away to a top half team.

Bournemouth v Sheffield Wednesday   Over 2.5 goals   10/11   William Hill   1pt  -

Bournemouth have a home record of 10-6 for Overs and Wednesday have an
away record of 9-6 for Overs, which relates to 4/6, so 10/11 does give value.
Also Bournemouth home games to bottom half teams are averaging 3.3 goals
and Wednesday away games to top half teams are averaging 3.4 goals.

Asian Handicap Betting

ASIAN HANDICAP:

A market that causes a great deal of confusion but often offers very good value. It got the name “Asian handicap” because it is the preferred form of betting in the far east. Profit margins are far lower than most other markets, often just a couple of percent. I will try to explain how they work as simply as I can. Don’t worry if you don’t understand it straight away, many people don’t, take your time and read over what I have written a couple of times. You can play around with it on Betfair too, just pick a game, click on Asian handicaps and click the “back” box. A bet slip will appear on the right hand side explaining what you win or lose from each outcome.

The simplest type of Asian handicap is exactly the same bet as draw no bet. Both teams will appear with a +0 next to them, the bet is void in the event of a draw.

Another type of Asian handicap is to back a team +1 or -1. You might back an outsider +1 or back a strong favourite -1. Backing a strong favourite -1 is basically backing them to win by more than one goal. If they win by exactly one goal then you lose nothing and your stake is returned as the one goal margin they have won by is cancelled out by the -1 handicap. If they win by two or more then your bet is a winner.

A slightly more complicated Asian handicap is backing a team to win +1.5 or -1.5. This should be thought of in exactly the same way as over/under 2.5 goals. If the team you are backing -1.5 wins by two goals then your bet is a winner, if they win by only one goal then your bet is a loser.

It is the same as backing a team -1 only you have no insurance if the team wins by one goal. Remember if you back a team -1 and they win by one, then you get your money back, but if you back them -1.5 and they win by one then the bet is a loser. The most complicated Asian handicap is when the previous two bets are combined and you are given the option of backing a team -1 & -1.5. Although it looks very complicated it is actually quite simple. All you have to do to understand it is split the bet in two. Half of your bet is for “team A” to win -1 and the other half of your stake is for “team A” to win -1.5. If we back team A at evens to win -1 & -1.5 for a £100 stake, then the following will happen:

Team A wins by 2 goals or more = win £100 (Both parts of the bet have won)

Team A wins by 1 goal = lose £50 (you get your money back for the first part of the bet but lose £50 on the second part)

Team A does not win = lose £100 (both parts of your bet have lost)

Asian handicaps are most useful if you want to back a short priced favourite to win by a big margin or for an outsider to only lose by a small margin or to draw. For example, if you back a team +1 then you have both the draw and them winning as positive results.

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This was written by a professional odds compiler.
More from him in the free soccer betting course over at www.Football-Bets.co.uk

Free Soccer Betting Tip

Liverpool v Newcastle United

Sunday 3rd May 1.30pm ko Live on
Setanta

TEAM NEWS  
Captain Steven Gerrard is fit again for Liverpool after injury.  
Philip Degen is back in training but is still not fit enough to be included
in the squad.   Newcastle will be without defenders Steven Taylor and
Jose Enrique.   Midfielders Jonas Gutierrez and Joey Barton are both
available again after injury.      

Liverpool Squad: Reina, Arbeloa, Carragher,
Skrtel, Agger, Hyypia, Aurelio, Dossena, Insua, Benayoun, Gerrard, Alonso, Mascherano,
Babel, Lucas, Kuyt, Torres, Riera, Ngog, Cavalieri.
 
Newcastle Squad: Harper, Forster, Krul,
Beye, Bassong, Coloccini, Edgar, Cacapa, Butt, Duff, R Taylor, Gutierrez, Nolan,
Guthrie, Barton, Lovenkrands, Geremi, Smith, Martins, Owen, Viduka, Carroll,
Xisco, Ranger.

 

 

TOP SCORERS (LEAGUE ONLY)  
LIVERPOOL                
                       
                       
NEWCASTLE UNITED
 

PLAYER
Goals
PLAYER
Goals
Steven
Gerrard
13
Michael
Owen
8
Fernando
Torres
13
Obafemi
Martins
7
Dirk
Kuyt
10
Shola
Ameobi
4
Yossi
Benayoun
6
Damien
Duff
3
Robbie
Keane
5
Steven
Taylor
3
Alberto
Riera
3
Andrew
Carroll
3

 

THE ORACLE’S
MATCH PRICES (100% BOOK)
 

LIVERPOOL                             
1/4        80%

DRAW             
                       
11/2      15%     

NEWCASTLE UNITED              
18/1      5%      

ANALYSIS  

MATCH:   Newcastle let us down last week and after watching that game,
I will be amazed if they stay up. They just don’t seem to have the quality
needed to get them out of trouble and they are hugely lacking in confidence.
The introduction of Alan Shearer as manager as had no effect whatsoever with
Newcastle winning just two points out of a possible twelve under his charge.
They are now without a win in nine games.   Liverpool are now unbeaten
in twenty eight home games and have not lost at Anfield to anyone outside the
big four since November 2004. Liverpool are playing with a lot of confidence
going forward right now and are boosted by the return of Steven Gerrard. They
have scored fifteen goals in their last four matches and stuck five past Newcastle
at St James’ Park earlier in the season. The Geordies will again be without
Steven Taylor at the back and Jose Enrique’s comeback from injury last
week lasted all of twenty minutes. The loss of Enrique is especially painful
as Newcastle have no cover for the left back position and Damien Duff may have
to fill in.   The last three fixtures between these two sides have resulted
in an aggregate score of 11-1 to Liverpool and I think there is the potential
for another big score line tomorrow.  

GOALS:   With the number of goals Liverpool are scoring right now, it’s
hard to look past over 2.5 goals. Liverpool’s last five games have featured
three goals or more and just one of their last nine in all competitions has
featured two or less. Their last nine fixtures average 4.8 goals per game! Four
goals or more at 7/4 with Blue Square might be worth an interest although you
might be relying on Liverpool getting all of them.  

GOALSCORERS:   Fernando Torres has to be the bet here at 10/11 to score
anytime. It sounds short but when you look at the stats it’s not short
enough. Torres is just one short of fifty goals for Liverpool in just seventy
appearances which is an incredible statistic. He seems to score most of his
goals in home games and he has four in the last three. The return of Steven
Gerrard should also provide him with more chances. The Tote, Ladbrokes and Hills
are just 4/7 so 10/11 looks a bit of value in a game with a high goals expectancy.
     
 

RECOMMENDATIONS  

1pt Fernando Torres to score anytime 10/11
Coral or 5/6 S James

Best Wishes

The Oracle

www.PremiershipPreview.co.uk

Weekend Offers From Paddy Power

Weekend Offers From Paddy Power

White at Home!

Spurs v Arsenal
Sunday 8th February 1.30pm, Sky Sports 1

If Robbie Keane scores 1st or last in this game Paddy Power will refund all losing 1st/last goalscorer, correct score & scorecast singles on the match.

Applies to singles placed before kick off only
Max Refund €300/£200 per customer/bet.
Paddy Power football rules apply.
Applies to 1st/last goalscorer, correct score & scorecast bets only.
Applies to win part of EW Goalscorer bets only.
If Keane plays no part in the match special will revert to last goal scored outside the box.
Own goals do not count.
Does not apply to customers whose language of registration is Spanish.

Ell-ev-en Offer!

Six Nations 2009
Ireland v France
England v Italy
Scotland v Wales

If any Number 11 scores the last try in any of this weekend’s Six Nations matches then Paddy Power will refund all losing all losing try scorer and winning margin bets on that match.

Applies to single bets placed before kick off only.
Applies to 1st tryscorer, last tryscorer, 1st team tryscorer, to score a try in 80mins and winning margin bets only.
Max refund €300/£200 per customer bet.
Paddy Power Rugby rules apply.

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