Saturday Football Bet

1pt Oldham to beat Hereford in League one, 23/20 William Hill or 11/10 widely available (6/5 available on Ladbrokes shop coupons) (Saturday 17th January 3pm ko)

Oldham’s ten game unbeaten run has taken them up to third in the table, twenty eight points ahead of second bottom Hereford. The Lactics are well placed for a serious promotion push and have made a very shrewd loan signing from Hull, in Dean Windass. Although a veteran now, Windass scored the goal that won Hull promotion to the Premiership and he still has plenty to offer against league one opposition. His experience should prove invaluable in what is an already decent side. Top scorer Lee Hughes is in good form with five goals in his last six games and the likes of Taylor, Liddell and Whittaker are all goal threats too. John Sheridan’s men have not been beaten on the road since October and will fancy their chances against one of the weakest sides in the division.

Hereford have not played a competitive game for twenty days after several postponements and will be struggling for match sharpness. They finished 2008 in a poor run of form with just one win from eight games. The Bulls are the lowest scorers in the league with just seventeen goals scored in twenty three games. I tipped them for relegation at the start of the season and I have seen nothing to change my mind since then. They lie six points adrift of safety and have a mountain to climb. With no money to spend, Graham Turner has been trying to bring in loan signings but has struggled to attract any real quality. Oldham beat Hereford 4-0 at Boundary park earlier in the season and I make them odds on shots to do the double.

Minimum price to take – Evens

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Leeds V Mk Dons

1pt Leeds to beat Mk Dons in League one, 5/2 Skybet or  (Saturday 20th December 3pm ko)

[ Blog comment 5/2 now gone .. you can get a shade under that price on Betfair betting Exchange ]

Leeds have endured a bad run of results lately with four defeats on the bounce in all competitions. Losing top goalscorer Jermaine Beckford to injury hasn’t helped, but I think Leeds still have a good enough squad to cope without him and should be back to winning ways sooner rather than later. Luciano Becchio has eleven goals in all competitions and is a real threat, whilst Fabien Delph in midfield is one of the brightest young prospects in the lower leagues. They have quality players throughout the squad and are more than capable of turning it around. Boss Gary McAllister is under pressure and so are his under performing players, that’s why playing away from a restless Elland road crowd tomorrow, will probably count as a positive. Mk Dons on the other hand, are in good form at the moment with four wins out of five. However, these wins have all come against  sides struggling in the wrong half of the table. Brighton, Hartlepool, Walsall and Hereford are all teams promotion hopefuls would hope to beat. The one decent side they played in this run was Scunthorpe, who beat them 2-0 at stadium MK. That was their fourth home defeat of the season and Leeds have every chance of making it five. The Dons are missing an important player of their own, as captain and November league one player of the month Dean Lewington, is out injured. Their squad is pretty much the same one that got promoted from league two last season and I think they are overachieving in third place. This one is a price call more than anything. A month ago you would not have got anywhere near 5/2 about a Leeds win. It is an overreaction to the two sides short term form trends and it makes it well worth backing Leeds to end their poor run tomorrow.

Minimum price to take – 2/1


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