Racign Tip For Kempton

KEMPTON 4.35

Don Wetherell Claiming Stakes (CLASS 6) (2yo) 6f

This is a 2yo Claiming race. We have 56 of these
races at this time of year. I would look for an each
way bet against the market leaders. Both these are
Fillies coming from 5f races. In 56 races fillies from
5f races were 4-104. None of these had a very recent
run something WANCHAI WHISPER has to overcome
and no filly came from a 5f selling race something that
CHOCOLATE COOKIE has to overcome. There may
be a better alternative. WANNABEE looks outclassed.
BOBBY´S DOLL is too inexperienced. I would not be
with ISHE A LORD whose also far too inexperienced
and horses like him from sellers were 0-38 without at
least 4 career starts. ANNIA has a weak profile and
didnt do enough last time. If you look at horses who
come from 8f races you find that males doing this had
a 0-27 record and those with under 9 previous races
were 0-38 something ARKEN LAD has to overcome.

SELECTION

LITTLE PERISHER has the strongest profile
with backclass a recent run and plenty of runs.
There may be temprement issues but name me
a 2yo claimer that doesnt have that and I felt
he ran better than it looked in a much better
race at Windsor last time. He should win this.

9/2 at PaddyPower

Guy Ward

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Betting Advice For Salisbury

I have a few what I deem stronger bets today but out of respect for clients who pay for my betting advice I must unfortunately refrain from putting them up here.

Still I have an interesting angle for at a race at Salisbury later with a couple of decent priced contenders.

SALISBURY 6.20

BATHWICK TYRES NOVICE AUCTION STAKES
(CLASS 5)(2yo) 6f

6/4 Raine’s Cross, 13/8 Dick Turpin, 8/1 Drift And Dream
12/1 Emma Dora, 12/1 Perfect Ch’I, 25/1 Pherousa
25/1 San Cassiano, 33/1 Fantastic Pick, 33/1 Weliketobouggie 66/1 Bush Master, 66/1 Chocolate Cookie.

This race is a 6f Novice Auction Contest. Salisbury has
12 renewals of this race. This is a race where Fillies have
dominated. They lead 9-3 in the 12 races and there has
been fewer Fillies run as well. They should really be 10-2
ahead as one year they had no chance of winning. I feel
a male horse can win but if they do you know they will
turn out to be pretty smart. Considering unraced horses
are 0-17 in this race lets take out the unraced males first
so SAN CASSIANO and WELIKETOBOUGGIE are out. I cant see a case for BUSH MASTER. No past winner dropped in trip and the male FANTASTIC PICK does not appeal. CHOCOLATE COOKIE doesnt appeal as a debutant and no filly was beaten more than 10 lengths last time so PHEROUSA has to go.

The issue is whether the 3 remaining fillies EMMA DORA – PERFECT CH’I
or DRIFT AND DREAM can beat the a male who has Group form in RAINE´S CROSS and a male that has won his only race in DICK TURPIN. Its much better to come from an Auction maiden so I will take out EMMA DORA. I respect the males but feel the Fillies are advantaged in a race like this. I plan to bet one and save on the other

SELECTION – DRIFT AND DREAM 10/1 Bet365 S James Betfred
SAVER – PERFECT CH’I 16/1 blue sq VC

best wishes
Guy

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