Tipster Proofing Service

The below was provided  by Secret Betting Club themselves so its possible more of an advert than a review.

SBC however is a site I can fully vouch for and I know I myself really look forward to their regular tipster reports.

They are a genuine and knowlegable bunch who speak in facts and truths.

I am more than happy to highlight them to my readers here.

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If you are interested in making money betting then the revamped Secret Betting Club (SBC) service will be right up your street.

In an exciting development, all SBC members now receive TWO dedicated betting magazines – one for Sports Betting and one for Horse Racing, full of must-read information.

So whatever your betting preference be it Football, Horse Racing, Rugby, Golf, Cricket, Tennis or Formula 1 you name it…its all covered in easy to follow reviews, tables and reports.

With over five years of experience seeking out the good, the bad and the ugly of the betting world, the team at SBC know exactly what makes money (and also what you need to avoid in order not to lose any!). You can also have peace of mind that they are 100% independent and offer a full money back guarantee if not satisfied once joining up!

Its not only that either as with their very active forum full of free tips, systems and strategies, massive discounts on many popular services and access to their full back catalogue thrown in for free…this is an amazing deal for anyone who likes to bet.

Join today by clicking here to gain instant access or read on for further details..


In the next 24 hours, we will be releasing our very latest Horse Racing betting magazine, which is an absolute must-read for those of you keen to find out the latest on what makes money betting.

Just look at what we have lined up for you…

  • Our exclusive interview with the best racing tipster from the past 7 years (consistently makes a 30% edge). He reveals all about his methods and what makes him so good.
  • The first ever review of the tipster who has made £3,333 at £10 stakes since January 2010 and £1,350 in the last 3 months alone. Find out who it is, their knack for picking out big winners and why we rate them so highly.
  • An update on the fantastic low-risk racing trading strategy and how you can apply it to your own betting. Our trading expert has been showcasing this on our members forum for all to follow and from the first 23 trades is £237 up already.
  • The SBC guide to how to choose a tipster and our step-by-step guide to avoid the scams and get the right one for you. Never get suckered in again!
  • Our full and frank review of Steve Lewis Hamilton, find out if this well known tipster is faring.
  • Plus much, much more besides including all the latest stats, reviews and updates on the best racing tipsters, plus all the free strategies and systems for you to download or follow on our members forum.

Join today via www.secretbettingclub.com to gain instant access.

Two Issues For The Price of One!
At the beginning of May, we took the took the decision to relaunch our SBC Monthly magazine, in response to subscriber demand.

What we’ve come up with is TWO NEW EDITIONS with a natural split in our traditional content and the results are SBC SPORTS BETTING and SBC HORSE RACING

The good news is that despite now producing TWO issues each month, ALL our monthly content is still covered by the ONE Secret Betting Club membership.

You get both monthly magazines, access to our friendly, authoritative forum, article archive and back issues for a mere £69 per year. That’s the equivalent of just £1.32 per week – significantly less than the cost of a weekend broadsheet or a Racing Post. But hurry, this introductory price won’t last forever and new subscriptions will be processed on a strictly first come first served basis.

There are also many other benefits to being an SBC member such as…

  • Access to the many different horse racing and sports betting free strategies, systems and tips posted on our members forum.
  • Access to all the free niche betting tips and strategies posted on our members forum from a variety of betting experts including specialist advice on Cycling, Formula 1, Aussie Rules and Horse Racing.
  • Exclusive savings, discounts and priority deals on many different tipsters and betting products. The savings you’ll make through our SBC Discount Club could well be more than the cost of joining us here at the Secret Betting Club itself!

So if all of this appeals to you why not get started right away and gain instant access by clicking here.

And you can join now safe in the knowledge we offer a full no-quibble money back guarantee if you’re not satisfied – you have everything to gain, and nothing to lose!

Limited Time Deal So Act Now

The £69 a year price is a limited deal though as the cost of a Secret Betting Club membership will be rising soon, so make sure you get in before it does. We simply can’t continue to offer our fantastic service at such low prices forever!

You can also join with confidence as we offer a full 12 month money back guarantee if at any time you are not satisfied with our service. No strings attached so if you’re not 100% pleased with what we do for whatever reason, we will refund you in full.

Seriously, no small print and no hidden conditions. We passionately believe in only providing a service that you find useful.

Our members feel the same, check out what one long-term subscriber had to say recently:


“I’d like to take this opportunity to thank you and Dan for the tremendous service you provide with SBC. After 3 1/2 years of semi-professional gambling, think I’ve finally got the portfolio, experience and general set-up I’ve been striving for. SBC has played a big part in this with service reviews, thought-provoking articles and facilitating access to an active peer group.”

To finally make your betting pay, visit: http://www.secretbettingclub.com

Best Regards,

The Secret Betting Club Team – Dan Jones, Mike Bishop & Greg Gordon

Speed Ratings In Horse Racing

Looking At Races Differently Can Make A Profit

When reading articles about analyzing horse racing you will always find the writers saying that you ‘mustn’t follow the crowd’ or to ‘do things differently’ or something similar. They then go on to outline a method that is not particularly different to anything else that you have ever read!

What they are saying is correct. You do want to do things differently. It is by doing things differently that you will find your edge and by finding your edge you will also find your profit.

Over the course of this article I want to plant some seeds for ways of analyzing a race that you may have never of thought of before. It is these ideas that will ultimately help you to look at a horse race differently to everyone else betting on it and find your long-term profit.

All races have different conditions and they also have different types of runners. This is what determines how you should analyse them. There is less point focusing on speed in a race that is 3 miles long, you would be better off focusing on pace and stamina (for example).

I would like to focus on sprint races as it is something I have been teaching quite a lot recently and with increasing all-weather racing I feel that it is going to be something that you can use in the future.

With sprint races we can focus on speed as our analysis. This in itself is not different but there are many ways to look at a horse from a speed perspective. Some of these can include:

Speed class based on speed figures of winners in previous races

Projected speed

Speed ratings

Collateral speed form

Speed improvements

These are just a few possibilities and I can guarantee that out of the list above, speed ratings will be the only one that has a lot of people using it and even with this you can look at the actual speed ratings in different ways to other people.

However the perspective I would like to focus on here is Speed Improvements. It stands to reason that a runner that is improving in speed has every chance of improving its speed in the race it is about to run.

All you now need to do is simply to find out if the horse has the required speed to compete in the race to make your final selections, but I am getting ahead of myself. Let me go back a bit and investigate how I do this.

First of all I look at each runners last 8 speed figures. I am looking for horses who have a general trend of improvement. This does not mean that I expect them to increase in every single race but that the overall trend of the last 8 races is upwards.

You are now already ahead of most punters because you are focusing on runners who have shown a recent improvement rather than just narrowing your search down to those with the highest figure. A horse that has shown recent improvement would have every reason to continue this trend.

Speed figures, although normally adjusted for these factors, can change for a runner depending on the distance and going. This makes it better for us just to consider the last 8 races that match a similar distance and going condition as the race we are analyzing.

Already in the last 2 paragraphs you have learned how you can identify runners that are improving over the same conditions as the race you are analyzing in a matter of minutes. This on its own is incredibly powerful and can result in profits on its own. However we want to target our selections even more accurately.

We have a shortlist of runners that are improving in speed over the distance and going of todays race. It makes sense to now look at whether or not these runners are fast enough to win the race. While they may be improving it is no use if they do not have the raw speed to win.

Assessing the raw speed of a horse can be very difficult and, contrary to popular belief, cannot be done by just looking for the runner with the highest speed figure. Just using the highest speed figure or the average speed figures of all runners does not work because no rating is 100% accurate. To get around this we use something called confidence intervals. A confidence interval will allow you to assess, with a 90% confidence, the likelihood of a speed rating being between a high and low figure. The actual figure recorded will sit in the middle of these two numbers.

We calculate this figure by:

1)      Calculate the average of the last 8 speed figures

2)      Calculate the standard deviation for these figures

3)      Calculate the standard error for these figures using the result of step 2

4)      Multiply the standard error from step 3 by 1.397

5)      For the lower confidence level subtract the result of step 4 to each of your eight speed figures

6)      For the upper confidence level add the result of step 4 to each of your eight speed figures

For each of your speed ratings from the last eight races you will now have 3 figures. The lower confidence level, the speed rating and the upper confidence level.

How does this help us?

This helps us because we now know, with a 90% confidence, that the slowest the horse ran was the lowest figure and the fastest the horse ran is the highest figure. If we work this out for each of our 8 past speed ratings we can begin to see which of our selections actually have the speed to win the race.

You do this by following these rules:

Find the winner with the highest speed figure in the last 8 races.

Record the lower confidence interval for this speed figure.

Make sure that all of our selections have had a race in their last 8 races where the highest confidence interval is above this figure.

That’s it! Just three simple steps and you have made sure that all your runners actually have the speed to win the race.

What have we actually achieved?

By looking at races from a slightly different perspective we have managed to shortlist the runners that have been improving on the current conditions of the race. We have then narrowed our shortlist down into the final selections by only keeping those that have shown they have the speed to win using a statistical approach.

To make this even easier the Race Advisor features RA Graphs which displays all the information you need to find these selections in easy to read graphs provided for racing every single day.

Michael Wilding
www.RaceAdvisor.co.uk

Author Bio

The Race Advisor was started by Michael Wilding and is aimed at the new and semi-experienced bettor.
We are the leading online resource for learning how to bet profitably providing unique features that are
unavailable elsewhere. There are also over 200 articles on the site looking at different sports and how to profit from them.

Cheltenham Betting Cash Back

I got the following news from BoyleSports yesterday.

It looks like a pretty good deal to me.

For a normal punter it gives you some great insurance against your horse finishing a frustrating second at Cheltemham

Trader and arber mentalities can also build in extra edge.

eg Back at BoyleSports then trade back on Betfair and hope it comes second.

If you don’t have an account with them open one up today I suggest so you arer prepared and ready. For new account openers there is the extra bonus of a £20 free bet.

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Every 2nd Counts
If your horse finishes 2nd in any of the following races on Day 1, we will refund all losing bets on that horse:

1.30 Supreme Novices’ Hurdle
2.05 Arkle Challenge Trophy
2.40 Festival Handicap Steeple Chase
3.20 Champion Hurdle

Terms and Conditions
· Max return €300 or £250 per customer per race.
· Refund will be made in cash.
· Applies to win singles or the win part of each way singles only.
· Does not apply to singles as part of multiple bets.
· Applies to all bets placed from time of offer launch (Thursday 17th February).
· This offer does not affect our ante post rules.
· We reserve the right to alter or withdraw the promotion at any time.

Best Price Guaranteed
Not only that but we are also offering Best Price Guaranteed on all UK and Irish Racing including the Cheltenham Festival. Take an early price or board price & if the starting price is greater, we will pay the better price.

Also if you are a new customer you can Get A free £20 Bet !

To take advantage of this visit BoyleSports

Asian Handicap Betting

ASIAN HANDICAP:

A market that causes a great deal of confusion but often offers very good value. It got the name “Asian handicap” because it is the preferred form of betting in the far east. Profit margins are far lower than most other markets, often just a couple of percent. I will try to explain how they work as simply as I can. Don’t worry if you don’t understand it straight away, many people don’t, take your time and read over what I have written a couple of times. You can play around with it on Betfair too, just pick a game, click on Asian handicaps and click the “back” box. A bet slip will appear on the right hand side explaining what you win or lose from each outcome.

The simplest type of Asian handicap is exactly the same bet as draw no bet. Both teams will appear with a +0 next to them, the bet is void in the event of a draw.

Another type of Asian handicap is to back a team +1 or -1. You might back an outsider +1 or back a strong favourite -1. Backing a strong favourite -1 is basically backing them to win by more than one goal. If they win by exactly one goal then you lose nothing and your stake is returned as the one goal margin they have won by is cancelled out by the -1 handicap. If they win by two or more then your bet is a winner.

A slightly more complicated Asian handicap is backing a team to win +1.5 or -1.5. This should be thought of in exactly the same way as over/under 2.5 goals. If the team you are backing -1.5 wins by two goals then your bet is a winner, if they win by only one goal then your bet is a loser.

It is the same as backing a team -1 only you have no insurance if the team wins by one goal. Remember if you back a team -1 and they win by one, then you get your money back, but if you back them -1.5 and they win by one then the bet is a loser. The most complicated Asian handicap is when the previous two bets are combined and you are given the option of backing a team -1 & -1.5. Although it looks very complicated it is actually quite simple. All you have to do to understand it is split the bet in two. Half of your bet is for “team A” to win -1 and the other half of your stake is for “team A” to win -1.5. If we back team A at evens to win -1 & -1.5 for a £100 stake, then the following will happen:

Team A wins by 2 goals or more = win £100 (Both parts of the bet have won)

Team A wins by 1 goal = lose £50 (you get your money back for the first part of the bet but lose £50 on the second part)

Team A does not win = lose £100 (both parts of your bet have lost)

Asian handicaps are most useful if you want to back a short priced favourite to win by a big margin or for an outsider to only lose by a small margin or to draw. For example, if you back a team +1 then you have both the draw and them winning as positive results.

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This was written by a professional odds compiler.
More from him in the free soccer betting course over at www.Football-Bets.co.uk

Staking Plan Software

Many a punter skilled at identifying value bets has come undone by poor staking.

When it comes to the issue of betting bank management it is important to understand that

the shoe must fit the foot in terms of matching a staking plan to any particular selection set.

It is unlikely that a staking plan suitable for high strike rate betting selections will also be suitable for long shots even if those long shots do make a level stakes profit.

You need to apply a suitable staking plan that is right for your particular bet selections.

There are many weird and wonderful approaches to bet staking and betting bank management.

How do start to find out which is best for you?

Luckily help is at hand in the form of the Staking Machine staking plan software.

This software allows you to analyse past selections  whether they are your own betting selections or those of a tipster you follow.

It produces charts and summary betting profit figures under a range of different staking plans quickly highlighting the most profitable to use for the style of selections you bet.

This software is not free .. it is however very cheap especially when compared to blowing your entire betting bank due to use of an ill thought out and badly researched staking plan.

It is a worthwhile investment if you are any way serious about being a profitable sports bettor.

For a free trial of this software please click here

Cheltenham Statistics

Advised Bets - Opera Mundi (2.00 Cheltenham) – win  ( 10/3 at Betfred )
Maljimar 14/1 Tote / Barbers Shop 7/1 Tote (2.35 Cheltenham) – 2 x half stakes win bets

Firstly some 15 year statistics for the 2.00 at
Cheltenham.

2.00 Cheltenham – The Servo Computer Services Trophy Handicap Steeple Chase (Grade 3) – 3m 3½f

POSITIVE TRENDS

Market: Third and fourth favourites have provided 7 winners from 27 qualifiers and backing all qualifiers would have yielded a profit of £22.50 (ROI +83.3%).

Position LTO: 10 of the 15 winners finished in the first three last time out.
Age: 5, 6 and 7 year olds have produced 7 winners from 32 qualifiers (SR 21.9%) showing a profit of £16.62 (ROI +51.9%).

Class LTO: 10 of the 15 winners raced in the same class last time out. Backing all 39 qualifiers would have produced a profit of £23.75 (ROI +50.5%).

Trainers: The Pipe stable have saddled 4 winners from just 12 runners for a profit of £6.87 (ROI +57.3%).

Sex of horse: Fillies and mares have won 2 races from just 5 qualifiers.

NEGATIVE TRENDS

Market: Second favourites have a dreadful record wins 0 wins from 15 runners.

Price: Horses priced 10/1 or bigger have produced only 2 winners from 57 runners for a loss of £32.00 (ROI -56.1%).

GENERAL STATS

Favourites: There have been 4 winning favourites (including joints) from 20 qualifiers showing a loss of £4.63 (ROI -23.2%).

LTO winners: Horses that won last time out have recorded 4 wins from 25 qualifiers showing a small profit of £2.12 (ROI +8.5%).

Age: 8 year olds have produced 2 winners from 40 qualifiers (SR 5%); 9 year olds have produced 2 winners from 27 qualifiers (SR 7.4%); 10 year olds have produced 2 winners from 22 qualifiers (SR 9.1%); 11 year olds plus have won 2 from 11 (SR 18.2%).

Trends analysis: younger horses (5 to 7yos) have an excellent record winning 47% of the races from just 24% of the runners, and all such runners require very close scrutiny. Recent form seems fairly important with 10 of the 15 winners having finished in the first three on their last run. Third and fourth favourites have a good record, as do horses racing in the same class. In terms of price, horses priced in double figures not surprisingly struggle. The Pipe stable have done well in the past, but it should be noted that both David Pipe’s runners have been pulled up in the past two seasons.

Conclusion – Opera Mundi loves soft / heaby ground with 4 wins and a second from 5 runs on such ground. He is the preferred age bracket although his last run saw him fail to finish. Halcon Genelardais and Flintoff are other I quite like in this heat, but I’m going for Opera Mundi.

2.35 Cheltenham – this race tends to favour the front end of the betting. Barbers Shop is the most interesting for me. Henderson has recently had a poor record in chases at Cheltenham – losing run stretches back to an incredible 41 losers. However, this is a trainer who has previously had a great record in chases at this track and he will surely break the hoodoo soon. The stable have been cracking form and Barbers Shop should go very close. I also like Maljimar who has a good record fresh and well enough on easy ground. I am going split stake on the pair. At big odds Stan is interesting if he can get home in the ground.

3.10 Cheltenham – Sullumo is my pick is an trappy contest with dangers including Valerius.

3.45 Cheltenham – Qanta De Thaix has been backed off the boards having been in double figures on on Betfair last night. Any value has gone, but with the Pipe stable winning this four times in a row earlier in the decade, this is clearly a race they like. At a price I like Jocheski – was 33/1 at Ladbrokes early but 25s around now and bigger on Betfair. His 2nd at Hereford in May is solid form with the 1st, 3rd, 4th, 5th and 6th going on to win at least once since (admittedly the 3rd that day has won on the flat since and not over hurdles). Very close to an account bet but there are too mnay unexposed hurdlers in this for me to go in big.

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This Message was provided by Dave Renham of Racing Trends