Free Laying Tips

Free Laying Tips

- 31 out of 33 succesful lays so far.

- A net profit of 24.5 pts after 33 lays ( At Betfair SP )

- They are free.

Sound of interest?

These laying tips are newish to Dave Renham’s Horse Racing Blog

Whist new to his blog they originate from his analysis of years of past data.

They are actually determined from a small portfolio of independant past profitable approaches.

So there is quite a bit of research work behind them but the exact rules Dave wishes to keep secret for obvious reasons.

Worth Noting !

My early gut reaction to these lay selections is that they might best be viewed as a raw set of selections from which to select your own personal subset to actually place cash on.

The obvious area to bear in mind might be restricting yourself to laying below a certain odds band of your choice.

The odds range of selections is quite varied.

Dave on his thread uses a very simple and I guess the industry standard method of monitoring lay success.

ie a one point stake is deemed to be taken on the betting Exchange. Thus you win one point ( before commission ) on every succesful lay but face varying losses if a horse happens to win.

Considering the range of odds on these free lay selections ponder using a laibility based approach.

With this type of approach your risk remains constant no matter what odds.

What varies is how much you win on successful lays.

ie you adjust the stake posted up on Betfair to give yourself a pre determined liability. With this method you are not so afraid of long priced horses as how long a horses odds are will not impact on how much you can lose on a lay ( just how much you can win )

Value if you rememebr is not just about what odds a selection is at.  More key is the available odds to true odds ratio. A liability based aproach can often help you attack value lays at longer odds.

Anyhow..these free laying tips are worth a look.

Coming from Dave you know they are not random hunch type stuff. Much more so the result of a lot of nose to the grindstone research over many years.

Free is a good price :)

Click Here ==> Free Laying Tips

Goodwood Trainer Stats

Goodwood Trainer Stats

The following is a small snippet from todays very comprehensive client message from Racing Trends.

Racign Trends is a service aimed at the more serious racign punter providing lots and lots of extra information on each days racing it is very hard to find elsewhere.

The more you know compared to other betting Exchange users the more likely you are to come out ahead against them.

Not rocket science.

If you don’t like spending six hours a day doing research farm that donkey work out to racing trends.

————————————————–

Goodwood trainer stats ALL RACES 2006 – Thursday 9th Sept 2010
(ordered by strike rate – min 3 runs or 1 win)

Trainer
Wins
Runs
Strike
Rate (%)
Profit
ROI
(%)
Engagements
B
Palling
2
8
25.0
+£19.00
+237.5
5.50
C
F Wall
7
32
21.9
+£21.00
+65.6
3.30
Sir
Michael Stoute
28
131
21.4
+£3.61
+2.8
2.25,
4.05
R
Charlton
11
56
19.6
+£19.41
+34.7
2.25,
3.30
M
Al Zarooni
2
11
18.2
-£7.50
-68.2
4.05
Saeed
Bin Suroor
22
124
17.7
-£46.56
-37.5
3.00,
5.15
B
R Johnson
1
6
16.7
+£2.50
+41.7
2.25,
4.40
B
J Meehan
19
124
15.3
-£29.27
-23.6
2.25,
3.30
M
Johnston
28
188
14.9
+£69.28
+36.8
2.25,
5.15
H
R A Cecil
7
49
14.3
-£6.98
-14.2
4.05
M
Botti
2
14
14.3
-£1.63
-11.6
3.30
J
H M Gosden
17
125
13.6
-£27.51
-22.0
2.25,
5.15
R
Hannon
63
464
13.6
-£79.03
-17.0
2.25,
3.00, 3.30, 3.30, 4.05, 4.40
S
C Williams
2
16
12.5
-£2.67
-16.7
5.50
P
R Chamings
6
50
12.0
-£10.50
-21.0
2.25
W
J Musson
2
17
11.8
+£3.50
+20.6
2.25
Mrs
A J Perrett
20
177
11.3
-£4.38
-2.5
2.25,
3.00
J
L Dunlop
21
188
11.2
-£28.17
-15.0
4.05,
4.40, 5.15
C
G Cox
14
126
11.1
+£8.42
+6.7
3.00,
4.05
Stef
Liddiard
2
18
11.1
-£4.00
-22.2
3.00
M
P Tregoning
12
128
9.4
-£44.48
-34.7
4.05
S
Kirk
7
76
9.2
-£40.38
-53.1
4.05
M
L W Bell
4
44
9.1
-£22.63
-51.4
3.00,
3.00, 4.40
B
R Millman
6
68
8.8
-£20.50
-30.1
2.25,
5.15, 5.50
M
H Tompkins
5
63
7.9
-£8.58
-13.6
4.05
W
R Muir
7
91
7.7
-£17.50
-19.2
4.05
M
R Channon
24
318
7.6
-£86.95
-27.3
4.40,
5.50
G
L Moore
13
189
6.9
-£94.25
-49.9
5.15
D
M Simcock
4
59
6.8
-£30.25
-51.3
2.25,
3.30, 4.40, 5.15
P
F I Cole
6
98
6.1
-£65.00
-66.3
4.40,
5.15
Miss
J Feilden
1
17
5.9
-£15.43
-90.8
2.25
J
A Osborne
2
42
4.8
-£22.00
-52.4
2.25
D
J S Ffrench Davis
1
21
4.8
-£15.50
-73.8
4.05,
5.50
I
A Wood
1
21
4.8
-£8.00
-38.1
3.30
J
W Hills
4
97
4.1
-£65.50
-67.5
5.50
J
J Bridger
2
108
1.9
-£92.50
-85.6
5.50

Saturday Horse Racing Stats

Saturday Horse Racing Stats


The info below comes from Dave over at RacingTrends
This is actually just a small snippet from his comprehensive message for today.
Don’t treat them as simple racing tips.
They are more aimed as little nuggets of well researched facts that can help you when examining a race for yourself.

Few betting Exchange users go into such depth. Over the long term if you
know more than others do ..you should win more than others do when competing
against them on Betfair.

SR stands for strike rate

ROI return on investment

—————————————————-

POSITIVE STATS – (TRAINER / SIRE / DRAW)

Please note – some are price** or going* dependent

2.30 Haydock – Solemn: Positive sire stats – Pivotal aged
5 or younger racing 1 mile or less SR 14.9%; ROI +14.1%

3.05 Haydock – Kansai Spirit: John Gosden in September -
horse ran at Grade 1 track LTO SR 27.2%; ROI +61.7%

4.10 Haydock – Morache Music: P Makin runners that finished
in 1st three LTO and running within 7 days; SR 43.3%; ROI +99.2%

4.45 Haydock – Kalleidoscope: Positive sire stats – Pivotal
aged 5 or younger racing 1 mile or less SR 14.9%; ROI +14.1%

5.15 Haydock – Bowdler’s Magic: Positive Sire Stats – Hernando
3yos on turf over 12f+ SR 22.3%; ROI +58.5%

2.15 Kempton – Signs In The Sand **: S Bin Suroor – June
to September on the all weather; top 4 of the betting SR 38.1%; ROI +43.8%

2.45 Kempton – Holberg **: S Bin Suroor – June to September
on the all weather; top 4 of the betting SR 38.1%; ROI +43.8%

2.45 Kempton – Once More Dubai **: S Bin Suroor – June to
September on the all weather; top 4 of the betting SR 38.1%; ROI +43.8%

3.20 Kempton – Clockmaker: John Gosden in September – horse
ran at Grade 1 track LTO SR 27.2%; ROI +61.7%

4.20 Kempton – Sir Pitt: John Gosden – male runners coming
back after a break of 100+ days; SR 23.1%; ROI +20.5%

4.20 Kempton – Sir Pitt: John Gosden in September – horse
ran at Grade 1 track LTO SR 27.2%; ROI +61.7%

4.20 Kempton – Bravo Bravo: Penalty carriers on the all
weather; male + ran within last 3 days; SR 30.9%; ROI +28.2%

5.25 Kempton – Primaeval: Positive sire stats – Pivotal
aged 5 or younger racing 1 mile or less SR 14.9%; ROI +14.1%

2.55 Thirsk – Green Lightning: M Johnston – 3yos running
in handicaps of 1m4f + in 3yo+ races; off track for 4 weeks or less; SR 27.1%;
ROI +63.6%

5.10 Thirsk – Perignon: G Swinbank – 2yos June to September
ridden by pro jockey; ran in maiden LTO SR 22.7%; ROI +131.6%

5.10 Thirsk – Johnny Castle **: J Gosden – 2yos on turf;
off track for 15 days+, top 3 in betting SR 37.5; ROI +21.8%

5.10 Thirsk – Johnny Castle: John Gosden in Sept/October
- 2yos in non handicaps NOT on debut SR 27.8%; ROI +45.7%

5.10 Thirsk – Johnny Castle: John Gosden in September – horse ran at Grade 1 track LTO SR 27.2%; ROI +61.7%

5.40 Thirsk – Colebrooke **: M Johnston – 2yo males racing
at 7f or more in non handicaps; top 3 of the betting SR 35.4%; ROI +22.7%

5.40 Thirsk – Mutajare **: M Johnston – 2yo males racing
at 7f or more in non handicaps; top 3 of the betting SR 35.4%; ROI +22.7%

NEGATIVE STATS – Please note – some are price** or going*
dependent

1.55 Thirsk – Guinea Seeker **: Poor trainer stat – T Easterby
2yos in Auction races when NOT favourite SR 3.6%; ROI -63%

WBX Premier League Free Bet Offers

Technorati Tags:

WBX Members can take advantage of a range of fantastic Premier League free bet offers operating across four of this weekend’s biggest matches.

The Wonder of Roo

WBX Members that bet on any two soccer markets from the Man Utd vs. Tottenham fixture on Saturday 25th April 2009 will be credited with a free 5GBP back bet by www.WBX.com if Wayne Rooney scores a goal at anytime*.

Rooney was on target in United’s midweek win over Portsmouth and will hope to be once more as the Red Devils continue their march towards another Premier League crown.

Let’s Be Shavin’ You!

WBX Members that bet on any two soccer markets from the Arsenal vs. Middlesbrough fixture on Sunday 26th April 2009 will be credited with a free 5GBP back bet by www.WBX.com if Andrei Arshavin scores a goal at anytime*.

The Russian was unstoppable at Anfield on Tuesday when bagging four goals and is sure to be licking his lips at the prospect of terrorising a fragile ‘Boro defence.

Moment of Diouf

WBX Members that bet on any two soccer markets from the Blackburn vs. Wigan fixture on Sunday 26th April 2009 will be credited with a free 5GBP back bet by www.WBX.com if El Hadji Diouf scores a goal at anytime*.

Sam Allardyce’s side are still very much in a relegation battle and the Senegalese forward, among others, will need to perform in order to fire Rovers to safety.

On the Mark

WBX Members that bet on any two soccer markets from the Newcastle vs. Portsmouth fixture on Monday 27th April 2009 will be credited with a free 5GBP back bet by www.WBX.com if Mark Viduka scores a goal at anytime*.

A proven goal scorer, Viduka looked sharp at White Hart Lane last time out and needs to return to his best if he is to help Newcastle escape the drop.

There are up to 14 markets on offer at www.WBX.com for every Premier League fixture including Correct Score, Half Time/Full Time, Match Odds and a range of Over/Under Goals markets.

*Please refer to the Terms and Conditions of this promotion on the Promotions page of our Help Section (Help > User Guide > Promotions).

Betting Exchange Trading Software

Have you heard of the scalpers trading the markets on Betfair?

A scalper is a person who holds a position for a very short period of time, attempting to make money off of the bid-ask spread. The scalper aims to make lots of very small profits with the idea that lots of small profits can add up.

And it is a lot easier and quicker to make a 1 tick profit than it is to make a 10 tick profit. The best markets for scalping on Betfair are the UK horseracing markets just before the start of the race.

A strict exit strategy must be implemented because one large loss could eliminate the many small gains that you have worked to obtain. Needless to say, discipline to get out of bad trades and risk management is extremely important and if implemented properly it is possible for a scalper to make consistent profits.

Another defining characteristic of scalpers is that they usually don’t know anything about what it is they are buying and selling. They don’t use fundamentals to base their trading decisions on but rather rely on familiar and predictable short term price patterns that they have learnt to recognize and exploit. A scalper doesn’t need to know anything about what he is buying and selling because often the fundamentals don’t apply to such a short term view.

This is true whether the scalper is buying and selling stocks, oil futures or horse racing prices. And the key to success scalping the betting Exchanges on Betfair is speed: the faster you take your profits the less risk you are taking, and the scalper avoids risk at all costs. Risk must be minimized as much as possible which means holding positions for the shortest possible amount of time.

One of the keys to trading in fast moving Betfair live show markets is speed of execution. The fastest finger will get the better prices.

Using the Betfair site itself will not really do. What you need is one click betting software that places bets almost instantaneously.

BetTrader is a such a piece of betting software.

Along with one click betting it comes with a raft of price chasing and hedging features.

If you want to be a carpenter you need a saw.

If you want to be a successful betting Exchange trader you need to invest in the right tools of the trade.

BetTrader software from RacingTraders was built by an experienced betting Exchange trader.

To take out a Free Trial of this betting software ==> Click Here

Leeds V Mk Dons

1pt Leeds to beat Mk Dons in League one, 5/2 Skybet or  (Saturday 20th December 3pm ko)

[ Blog comment 5/2 now gone .. you can get a shade under that price on Betfair betting Exchange ]

Leeds have endured a bad run of results lately with four defeats on the bounce in all competitions. Losing top goalscorer Jermaine Beckford to injury hasn’t helped, but I think Leeds still have a good enough squad to cope without him and should be back to winning ways sooner rather than later. Luciano Becchio has eleven goals in all competitions and is a real threat, whilst Fabien Delph in midfield is one of the brightest young prospects in the lower leagues. They have quality players throughout the squad and are more than capable of turning it around. Boss Gary McAllister is under pressure and so are his under performing players, that’s why playing away from a restless Elland road crowd tomorrow, will probably count as a positive. Mk Dons on the other hand, are in good form at the moment with four wins out of five. However, these wins have all come against  sides struggling in the wrong half of the table. Brighton, Hartlepool, Walsall and Hereford are all teams promotion hopefuls would hope to beat. The one decent side they played in this run was Scunthorpe, who beat them 2-0 at stadium MK. That was their fourth home defeat of the season and Leeds have every chance of making it five. The Dons are missing an important player of their own, as captain and November league one player of the month Dean Lewington, is out injured. Their squad is pretty much the same one that got promoted from league two last season and I think they are overachieving in third place. This one is a price call more than anything. A month ago you would not have got anywhere near 5/2 about a Leeds win. It is an overreaction to the two sides short term form trends and it makes it well worth backing Leeds to end their poor run tomorrow.

Minimum price to take – 2/1

Regards

The Oracle

Click below to visit his site

football bets

WBX Second Birthday Celebration

WBX.COM (World Bet Exchange) celebrates its second birthday on Tuesday November 25th after a “highly successful second year of trading”.

The launch of WBX coincided with the first running of the WBX.COM ‘Fighting Fifth’ Hurdle and the introduction of the WBX Triple Crown.

The WBX Triple Crown rewards connections with £1 million if the Fighting Fifth winner goes on to be victorious in the Christmas Hurdle at Kempton and then the Champion Hurdle at Cheltenham

The WBX Triple Crown has yet to be won but with the third running of the ‘Fighting Fifth’ under the WBX sponsorship banner being run this Saturday we are optimistic of success this year.

Following on from a fantastic first year, when WBX was winner of the 2007 Netprophet Award for Best Exchange and received a Silver Award at Gambling Online Magazine’s Annual Readers’ Poll, WBX has now established itself as a force in the bet Exchange market place.

In the past 12 months alone the company has seen its Members wager over £500 million against each other. This is a staggering amount for a new Exchange launched in only 2006 with the aim of providing an alternative for bet Exchange users.

A recent study of commissions paid at WBX in comparison with the same activity using Betfair’s commission structure revealed WBX Members would have paid 35% more at Betfair.

During the year ended 30th September 2008 WBX has continued to invest in the development of the trading platform with the introduction of innovative technologies and will do so in 2009 and beyond.

The Exchange has recently carried out a significant upgrade, the biggest since launch, which has brought significant improvements to the site. The most notable addition is a new user-friendly market view interface. This allows members to view markets in Exchange View or Sportsbook View. Both are fully customisable through Market Depth and Minimum Win settings.
Members also have access to dutching tools and the ability to share markets on forums and other media via our ‘Market Snapshot’ feature.

WBX Members are now also able to deposit and withdraw funds via Moneybookers in addition to NETeller and NETeller China.

Following the successful recent launch of morning BAGS, WBX will soon be offering markets for every UK greyhound meeting as well ascontinued expansion of its coverage of European soccer. A new handicap interface is also on the horizon.

As well as new markets and functionality there is also the imminent launch of WBX’s PDA/Mobile betting platform, a specially adapted version of WBX optimised for use via PDA/Mobile devices that offers the same value prices and betting opportunities as the main WBX website.

WBX, licensed and regulated in the UK by the Gambling Commission, understands that Members want to know that their stake money is safely and securely held. WBX’s Members Funds are held under trust deed, ring-fenced in separate bank accounts and held within a separate company (WBX Members Funds Limited) that does not otherwise trade. We believe that WBX is still the only Exchange where Members Funds are inspected independently every quarter and where the results are published on the website.

WBX.COM CEO Malcolm Gray said, “When we launched in November 2006 it was always our intention to provide an alternative to the current market leader. We have provided that and will continue to offer a choice to Members, old and new.

We have experienced some fantastic highs through the year but Euro 2008 was particularly good for us. New Members were given a football shirt of a nation of their choice to celebrate the European Championships despite the absence of the Home Nations. As an extra bonus to existing Members we offered free bet specials on all matches.

WBX are committed to providing a reliable, efficient and user-friendly Exchange where Members are rewarded for their support and not punished. It was always our intention to put the Exchange player back in control. With the help of our Members I am hugely optimistic for 2009 and hopefully it will start with the WBX Triple Crown being won for the first time.

I would like to thank all our Members who have joined us so far and the record numbers who are betting on the Exchange on a daily basis and for those yet to join us, why not? We will match your existing commission rate on your current Exchange and you will join an Exchange where you are a person and not just a number”.