Soccer Corners Betting

Betting on the number of corners in a soccer match might seem to some a little strange. Likk betting on two fly’s on a wall perhaps.

It starts to make a lot more sense however if you maintain a big database of soccer statistics  and use that to carefully pinpoint value in a bet.

It can certainly make watching a live match more interesting.

You find yourself screaming at the TV to the defender shouting “push him wide .. don’t let him cut inside”.

I have a corner bet today for you.

It comes from an ex bookmaker odds compiler called Phil who is one of the advisors over at Football Bets

Arsenal v Wolves (3:00pm)
OVER 11 Corners at 10/11 Bet365 next best  (4/5 Sky ) 1pt

This one may or may not win but he has a very good long term record of profit and healthy return on investment.

There is a no quibble refund guarantee there to protect you if for some reason you find the service not suitable for you personally.

Worth a test if you can see the sense in having bookmaker trained ex odds compilers directing your betting  action.

Saturday Soccer Betting

Saturday Soccer Betting

A few football bets for you today from Phil over at the Football Bets site

Phil used to work in a bookmakers and in fact turned down work as an football odds compiler to focus on his own betting.

He is one of several expert soccer advisors over at the football bets website.

I can’t promise success today with these bets but following his advice is a shrewd move long term as he has a very good record for strike rate and profitability.

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Morning Guys 2 singles and a mixed treble for today
Which all look decent value.

Birmingham v Arsenal
OVER 35 booking points at evens extrabet 1pt

Celtic to win with a clean sheet v Kilmarnock at 10/11 BoyleSports 1pt

Mixed Treble
Arsenal to get most corners v Birmingham
Chelsea to get most corners v Aston Villa
Shrewsbury to beat Darlington

This bet pays 21/20 at williamhill have 1pt on it

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Soccer Betting Tips

Soccer Betting Tips for the weekend of Sat Dec 5th

These tips come from a bloke who uses the name 99 reds.

They are devised from his personal ratings.

He is one of the candidates going for the job of official soccer advisor over at www.football-bets.co.uk

His month long tipping interview there has racked up very good profits so far.

Double    Charlton / Norwich     Stake 1 point        Pays 6/4  Skybet

Double    Spurs / Ipswich     Stake 0.2 points         Pays 8/1  Skybet

Single      Spurs      Stake 0.5 points                         Pays 6/4  Skybet

Single      Ipswich     Stake 0.3 points                      Pays 11/4  Skybet

Lay           Arsenal      Stake 1 point                            Liability  0.3 points

Lay          Fiorentina    Stake 1 point                          Liability  0.64 points

Free Soccer Betting Tip

Liverpool v Newcastle United

Sunday 3rd May 1.30pm ko Live on
Setanta

TEAM NEWS  
Captain Steven Gerrard is fit again for Liverpool after injury.  
Philip Degen is back in training but is still not fit enough to be included
in the squad.   Newcastle will be without defenders Steven Taylor and
Jose Enrique.   Midfielders Jonas Gutierrez and Joey Barton are both
available again after injury.      

Liverpool Squad: Reina, Arbeloa, Carragher,
Skrtel, Agger, Hyypia, Aurelio, Dossena, Insua, Benayoun, Gerrard, Alonso, Mascherano,
Babel, Lucas, Kuyt, Torres, Riera, Ngog, Cavalieri.
 
Newcastle Squad: Harper, Forster, Krul,
Beye, Bassong, Coloccini, Edgar, Cacapa, Butt, Duff, R Taylor, Gutierrez, Nolan,
Guthrie, Barton, Lovenkrands, Geremi, Smith, Martins, Owen, Viduka, Carroll,
Xisco, Ranger.

 

 

TOP SCORERS (LEAGUE ONLY)  
LIVERPOOL                
                       
                       
NEWCASTLE UNITED
 

PLAYER
Goals
PLAYER
Goals
Steven
Gerrard
13
Michael
Owen
8
Fernando
Torres
13
Obafemi
Martins
7
Dirk
Kuyt
10
Shola
Ameobi
4
Yossi
Benayoun
6
Damien
Duff
3
Robbie
Keane
5
Steven
Taylor
3
Alberto
Riera
3
Andrew
Carroll
3

 

THE ORACLE’S
MATCH PRICES (100% BOOK)
 

LIVERPOOL                             
1/4        80%

DRAW             
                       
11/2      15%     

NEWCASTLE UNITED              
18/1      5%      

ANALYSIS  

MATCH:   Newcastle let us down last week and after watching that game,
I will be amazed if they stay up. They just don’t seem to have the quality
needed to get them out of trouble and they are hugely lacking in confidence.
The introduction of Alan Shearer as manager as had no effect whatsoever with
Newcastle winning just two points out of a possible twelve under his charge.
They are now without a win in nine games.   Liverpool are now unbeaten
in twenty eight home games and have not lost at Anfield to anyone outside the
big four since November 2004. Liverpool are playing with a lot of confidence
going forward right now and are boosted by the return of Steven Gerrard. They
have scored fifteen goals in their last four matches and stuck five past Newcastle
at St James’ Park earlier in the season. The Geordies will again be without
Steven Taylor at the back and Jose Enrique’s comeback from injury last
week lasted all of twenty minutes. The loss of Enrique is especially painful
as Newcastle have no cover for the left back position and Damien Duff may have
to fill in.   The last three fixtures between these two sides have resulted
in an aggregate score of 11-1 to Liverpool and I think there is the potential
for another big score line tomorrow.  

GOALS:   With the number of goals Liverpool are scoring right now, it’s
hard to look past over 2.5 goals. Liverpool’s last five games have featured
three goals or more and just one of their last nine in all competitions has
featured two or less. Their last nine fixtures average 4.8 goals per game! Four
goals or more at 7/4 with Blue Square might be worth an interest although you
might be relying on Liverpool getting all of them.  

GOALSCORERS:   Fernando Torres has to be the bet here at 10/11 to score
anytime. It sounds short but when you look at the stats it’s not short
enough. Torres is just one short of fifty goals for Liverpool in just seventy
appearances which is an incredible statistic. He seems to score most of his
goals in home games and he has four in the last three. The return of Steven
Gerrard should also provide him with more chances. The Tote, Ladbrokes and Hills
are just 4/7 so 10/11 looks a bit of value in a game with a high goals expectancy.
     
 

RECOMMENDATIONS  

1pt Fernando Torres to score anytime 10/11
Coral or 5/6 S James

Best Wishes

The Oracle

www.PremiershipPreview.co.uk

Weekend Football Betting

Weekend Football Betting Tottenham Hotspur v Newcastle United

Sunday 19th April 1.30pm ko Live on Sky

H2H in Premier League

2008/2009
21/12/2008 Newcastle 2-1 Tottenham
2007/2008
30/03/2008 Tottenham 1-4 Newcastle
22/10/2007 Newcastle 3-1 Tottenham
2006/2007
14/01/2007 Tottenham 2-3 Newcastle
23/12/2006 Newcastle 3-1 Tottenham
2005/2006
01/04/2006 Newcastle 3-1 Tottenham
31/12/2005 Tottenham 2-0 Newcastle
2004/2005
10/04/2005 Tottenham 1-0 Newcastle
21/08/2004 Newcastle 0-1 Tottenham
2003/2004
14/03/2004 Tottenham 1-0 Newcastle
13/12/2003 Newcastle 4-0 Tottenham r

HOME/AWAY AVERAGES (LAST 20 GAMES) TOTTENHAM HOTSPUR – HOME

WON 7 35% 15/8
DRAW 7 35% 15/8
LOST 6 30% 23/10
OVER 2.5 GOALS 6 30% 23/10
UNDER 2.5 GOALS 14 70% 2/5
FOUR GOALS OR MORE 3 15% 11/2
0-0 DRAW 4 20% 4/1

NEWCASTLE UNITED – AWAY

WON 3 15% 11/2
DRAW 8 40% 6/4
LOST 9 45% 6/5
OVER 2.5 GOALS 13 65% 8/15
UNDER 2.5 GOALS 7 35% 15/8
FOUR GOALS OR MORE 6 30% 23/10
0-0 DRAW 3 15% 11/2

H2H (LAST 5 SEASONS – 11 LEAGUE GAMES)

OVER 2.5 GOALS 7 64% 4/7
UNDER 2.5 GOALS 4 36% 7/4
FOUR GOALS OR MORE 6 55% 5/6
0-0 DRAW 0 0% -

THIS SEASONS GOAL AVERAGES PER GAME

THE PREMIERSHIP 2.5 HOME AWAY
TOTTENHAM HOTSPUR 2.3 1.6 3
NEWCASTLE UNITED 2.8 3 2.6

CURRENT FORM TOTTENHAM HOTSPUR - LAST FIVE GAMES

Premier League 07/03/2009 Sunderland 1-1 Tottenham DRAW
Premier League 15/03/2009 Aston Villa 1-2 Tottenham WON
Premier League 21/03/2009 Tottenham 1-0 Chelsea WON
Premier League 04/04/2009 Blackburn 2-1 Tottenham LOST
Premier League 11/04/2009 Tottenham 1-0 West Ham WON

NEWCASTLE UNITED - LAST FIVE GAMES

Premier League 04/03/2009 Newcastle 1-2 Man Utd LOST
Premier League 14/03/2009 Hull 1-1 Newcastle DRAW
Premier League 21/03/2009 Newcastle 1-3 Arsenal LOST
Premier League 04/04/2009 Newcastle 0-2 Chelsea LOST
Premier League 11/04/2009 Stoke 1-1 Newcastle DRAW

TEAM NEWS Roman Pavlyuchenko and Jermaine Jenas are both struggling with injuries and are rated doubtful.   Jermaine Defoe is back in training and could be involved for Tottenham.   Obafemi Martins, Steven Taylor Jose Enrique and Peter Lovenkrands are all doubts for Newcastle.   Joey Barton remains on the sidelines but Mark Viduka is back in the squad.

TOTTENHAM HOTSPUR Squad: Gomes, Corluka, King, Woodgate, Assou-Ekotto, Huddlestone, Lennon, Jenas, Bent, Modric, Keane, Palacios, Pavlyuchenko, Cudicini, Bale, Zokora, Bentley, Dawson, Chimbonda, O’Hara, Hutton, Campbell.  

NEWCASTLE UNITED Squad:Harper, Forster, Krul, Beye, Bassong, Coloccini, S. Taylor, Edgar, Cacapa, Butt, Duff, R. Taylor, Gutierrez, Nolan, Guthrie, Lovenkrands, Geremi, Smith, Martins, Owen, Viduka, Carroll, Xisco, Ranger.      

TOP SCORERS (LEAGUE ONLY)

TOTTENHAM HOTSPUR                                               NEWCASTLE UNITED

PLAYER Goals PLAYER Goals
Darren Bent 10 Michael Owen 8
Aaron Lennon 5 Obafemi Martins 7
Roman Pavlyuchenko 5 Shola Ameobi 4
Jermaine Jenas 3 Damien Duff 3
Robbie Keane 3 Steven Taylor 3
Jermain Defoe 2 Andrew Carroll 3

THE ORACLE’S MATCH PRICES (100% BOOK)

TOTTENHAM                 7/10      59%

DRAW                          14/5      26%

NEWCASTLE                11/2      15%      

ANALYSIS MATCH:   Tottenham are the form team coming into this one with five wins out of seven in the league. They were on course for six out of seven at Blackburn two weeks ago before a poor refereeing decision reduced them to ten men and they conceded two late goals. Tottenham’s form under Harry Redknapp has improved dramatically and they are now on course for a UEFA cup spot.   Newcastle are seven games without a win and have won once in sixteen. They are running out of games and have to start winning soon if they are to have any chance of staying up. Alan Shearer will be targeting three points from this one as a draw simply isn’t good enough at this stage of the season. Newcastle actually have a very good recent record against Tottenham, winning the last six in a row. However, those victories came under different managers and with better players. This current Newcastle side has one just three of their last twenty away games and I’ll be very surprised if they make it seven in a row on Sunday.   Newcastle have drawn twelve of their thirty two games this season which is more than any other Premiership side. At 3.9 on Betfair, the draw is possibly the value call in this market. However, with the carrot of European football in front of them and a near fully fit squad, I think Spurs will probably take all three points.

GOALS:   There is a strong history of high scoring games in this fixture with the last seven in a row featuring three or more and averaging 3.6 goals per game. Newcastle have one of the highest goals per game averages in the division at 2.8 goals per game and have kept just one clean sheet in their last fifteen. It is no coincidence that Shay Given left the club in January. Tottenham on the other hand have only averaged 2.3 goals per game and White Hart Lane has seen fewer goals than any other Premiership ground this season. I think this is partially down to Tottenham struggling in front of goal earlier this season and now that everyone is fit they look to have plenty of goals in the team.   There has never been a goal less draw between these two sides in the history of the Premiership. Newcastle have also scored more goals against Spurs than any other Premiership club. I think this could be an open game with both teams going for the win and consequently, I think evens about over 2.5 goals looks a bit of value here.

GOALSCORERS:   Robbie Keane is Tottenham’s main goal threat but at 13/8 doesn’t offer particular value. Newcastle’s Michael Owen does appear to be a shade of value at 11/4 to score anytime with PaddyPower. Owen has missed a large part of the season through injury but has fantastic goals to game ratio when he does play. He has had a few games to build up match fitness now and I expect to see his name on the score sheet sooner rather than later.  

RECOMMENDATIONS 1pt over 2.5 Goals evens Ladbrokes or 2.04 Betfair

Best Wishes

The Oracle

Football-Bets

Weekend Offers From Paddy Power

Weekend Offers From Paddy Power

White at Home!

Spurs v Arsenal
Sunday 8th February 1.30pm, Sky Sports 1

If Robbie Keane scores 1st or last in this game Paddy Power will refund all losing 1st/last goalscorer, correct score & scorecast singles on the match.

Applies to singles placed before kick off only
Max Refund €300/£200 per customer/bet.
Paddy Power football rules apply.
Applies to 1st/last goalscorer, correct score & scorecast bets only.
Applies to win part of EW Goalscorer bets only.
If Keane plays no part in the match special will revert to last goal scored outside the box.
Own goals do not count.
Does not apply to customers whose language of registration is Spanish.

Ell-ev-en Offer!

Six Nations 2009
Ireland v France
England v Italy
Scotland v Wales

If any Number 11 scores the last try in any of this weekend’s Six Nations matches then Paddy Power will refund all losing all losing try scorer and winning margin bets on that match.

Applies to single bets placed before kick off only.
Applies to 1st tryscorer, last tryscorer, 1st team tryscorer, to score a try in 80mins and winning margin bets only.
Max refund €300/£200 per customer bet.
Paddy Power Rugby rules apply.

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