Weekend Football Betting Tottenham Hotspur v Newcastle United

Sunday 19th April 1.30pm ko Live on Sky

H2H in Premier League

2008/2009
21/12/2008 Newcastle 2-1 Tottenham
2007/2008
30/03/2008 Tottenham 1-4 Newcastle
22/10/2007 Newcastle 3-1 Tottenham
2006/2007
14/01/2007 Tottenham 2-3 Newcastle
23/12/2006 Newcastle 3-1 Tottenham
2005/2006
01/04/2006 Newcastle 3-1 Tottenham
31/12/2005 Tottenham 2-0 Newcastle
2004/2005
10/04/2005 Tottenham 1-0 Newcastle
21/08/2004 Newcastle 0-1 Tottenham
2003/2004
14/03/2004 Tottenham 1-0 Newcastle
13/12/2003 Newcastle 4-0 Tottenham r

HOME/AWAY AVERAGES (LAST 20 GAMES) TOTTENHAM HOTSPUR – HOME

WON 7 35% 15/8
DRAW 7 35% 15/8
LOST 6 30% 23/10
OVER 2.5 GOALS 6 30% 23/10
UNDER 2.5 GOALS 14 70% 2/5
FOUR GOALS OR MORE 3 15% 11/2
0-0 DRAW 4 20% 4/1

NEWCASTLE UNITED – AWAY

WON 3 15% 11/2
DRAW 8 40% 6/4
LOST 9 45% 6/5
OVER 2.5 GOALS 13 65% 8/15
UNDER 2.5 GOALS 7 35% 15/8
FOUR GOALS OR MORE 6 30% 23/10
0-0 DRAW 3 15% 11/2

H2H (LAST 5 SEASONS – 11 LEAGUE GAMES)

OVER 2.5 GOALS 7 64% 4/7
UNDER 2.5 GOALS 4 36% 7/4
FOUR GOALS OR MORE 6 55% 5/6
0-0 DRAW 0 0% -

THIS SEASONS GOAL AVERAGES PER GAME

THE PREMIERSHIP 2.5 HOME AWAY
TOTTENHAM HOTSPUR 2.3 1.6 3
NEWCASTLE UNITED 2.8 3 2.6

CURRENT FORM TOTTENHAM HOTSPUR - LAST FIVE GAMES

Premier League 07/03/2009 Sunderland 1-1 Tottenham DRAW
Premier League 15/03/2009 Aston Villa 1-2 Tottenham WON
Premier League 21/03/2009 Tottenham 1-0 Chelsea WON
Premier League 04/04/2009 Blackburn 2-1 Tottenham LOST
Premier League 11/04/2009 Tottenham 1-0 West Ham WON

NEWCASTLE UNITED - LAST FIVE GAMES

Premier League 04/03/2009 Newcastle 1-2 Man Utd LOST
Premier League 14/03/2009 Hull 1-1 Newcastle DRAW
Premier League 21/03/2009 Newcastle 1-3 Arsenal LOST
Premier League 04/04/2009 Newcastle 0-2 Chelsea LOST
Premier League 11/04/2009 Stoke 1-1 Newcastle DRAW

TEAM NEWS Roman Pavlyuchenko and Jermaine Jenas are both struggling with injuries and are rated doubtful.   Jermaine Defoe is back in training and could be involved for Tottenham.   Obafemi Martins, Steven Taylor Jose Enrique and Peter Lovenkrands are all doubts for Newcastle.   Joey Barton remains on the sidelines but Mark Viduka is back in the squad.

TOTTENHAM HOTSPUR Squad: Gomes, Corluka, King, Woodgate, Assou-Ekotto, Huddlestone, Lennon, Jenas, Bent, Modric, Keane, Palacios, Pavlyuchenko, Cudicini, Bale, Zokora, Bentley, Dawson, Chimbonda, O’Hara, Hutton, Campbell.  

NEWCASTLE UNITED Squad:Harper, Forster, Krul, Beye, Bassong, Coloccini, S. Taylor, Edgar, Cacapa, Butt, Duff, R. Taylor, Gutierrez, Nolan, Guthrie, Lovenkrands, Geremi, Smith, Martins, Owen, Viduka, Carroll, Xisco, Ranger.      

TOP SCORERS (LEAGUE ONLY)

TOTTENHAM HOTSPUR                                               NEWCASTLE UNITED

PLAYER Goals PLAYER Goals
Darren Bent 10 Michael Owen 8
Aaron Lennon 5 Obafemi Martins 7
Roman Pavlyuchenko 5 Shola Ameobi 4
Jermaine Jenas 3 Damien Duff 3
Robbie Keane 3 Steven Taylor 3
Jermain Defoe 2 Andrew Carroll 3

THE ORACLE’S MATCH PRICES (100% BOOK)

TOTTENHAM                 7/10      59%

DRAW                          14/5      26%

NEWCASTLE                11/2      15%      

ANALYSIS MATCH:   Tottenham are the form team coming into this one with five wins out of seven in the league. They were on course for six out of seven at Blackburn two weeks ago before a poor refereeing decision reduced them to ten men and they conceded two late goals. Tottenham’s form under Harry Redknapp has improved dramatically and they are now on course for a UEFA cup spot.   Newcastle are seven games without a win and have won once in sixteen. They are running out of games and have to start winning soon if they are to have any chance of staying up. Alan Shearer will be targeting three points from this one as a draw simply isn’t good enough at this stage of the season. Newcastle actually have a very good recent record against Tottenham, winning the last six in a row. However, those victories came under different managers and with better players. This current Newcastle side has one just three of their last twenty away games and I’ll be very surprised if they make it seven in a row on Sunday.   Newcastle have drawn twelve of their thirty two games this season which is more than any other Premiership side. At 3.9 on Betfair, the draw is possibly the value call in this market. However, with the carrot of European football in front of them and a near fully fit squad, I think Spurs will probably take all three points.

GOALS:   There is a strong history of high scoring games in this fixture with the last seven in a row featuring three or more and averaging 3.6 goals per game. Newcastle have one of the highest goals per game averages in the division at 2.8 goals per game and have kept just one clean sheet in their last fifteen. It is no coincidence that Shay Given left the club in January. Tottenham on the other hand have only averaged 2.3 goals per game and White Hart Lane has seen fewer goals than any other Premiership ground this season. I think this is partially down to Tottenham struggling in front of goal earlier this season and now that everyone is fit they look to have plenty of goals in the team.   There has never been a goal less draw between these two sides in the history of the Premiership. Newcastle have also scored more goals against Spurs than any other Premiership club. I think this could be an open game with both teams going for the win and consequently, I think evens about over 2.5 goals looks a bit of value here.

GOALSCORERS:   Robbie Keane is Tottenham’s main goal threat but at 13/8 doesn’t offer particular value. Newcastle’s Michael Owen does appear to be a shade of value at 11/4 to score anytime with PaddyPower. Owen has missed a large part of the season through injury but has fantastic goals to game ratio when he does play. He has had a few games to build up match fitness now and I expect to see his name on the score sheet sooner rather than later.  

RECOMMENDATIONS 1pt over 2.5 Goals evens Ladbrokes or 2.04 Betfair

Best Wishes

The Oracle

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